COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio La Independencia
Patriotas
Match Timeline
Depor FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
44'
F. Torres
Patriotas
🔄
46'
C. Cano ↔ C. Cabezas
Depor FC
🟨
47'
Patriotas
Patriotas
🟨
50'
Depor FC
Depor FC
61'
K. Alvarez
Patriotas
🔄
68'
M. Gomez ↔ J. Montes
Patriotas
🔄
68'
F. Figueroa ↔ T. Molina
Patriotas
🔄
68'
E. Arango ↔ S. E. Bello Vivas
Patriotas
🔄
68'
J. Julio ↔ J. Zamora
Depor FC
🔄
68'
G. Eraso ↔ S. Saavedra
Depor FC
🟨
76'
Depor FC
Depor FC
🔄
79'
J. Delgado ↔ J. Galindo
Depor FC
🔄
83'
J. Campana ↔ D. Montien
Patriotas
🔄
87'
K. Alvarez ↔ J. Angulo
Patriotas
🟨
90+1'
Patriotas
Patriotas
🟨
90+2'
Depor FC
Depor FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.1%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Patriotas Win 71.1%
Draw 5%
Depor FC Win 24%
Expected Goals (xG)
Patriotas1.28
Depor FC1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Patriotas Patriotas
WWDLW
19 GF / 21 GA
Depor FC Depor FC
WLDWL
16 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
9
BTTS Yes
13
6
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Patriotas Patriotas 18 matches
Depor FC Depor FC 18 matches
Patriotas Statistic Depor FC
5 Wins 1
7 Draws 8
6 Losses 9
19 Goals For 16
21 Goals Against 29
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
9 BTTS Yes 13
12 Over 1.5 15
6 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Depor FC. Patriotas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 21 points compared to Depor FC in 15 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Depor FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Depor FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Patriotas Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Patriotas have collected 21 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 18:20 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Depor FC Analysis

Depor FC sit 15 with 11 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats with a 16:29 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Patriotas won 4 times, Depor FC won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:5 from Patriotas's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
H2H summary: Patriotas wins 4, draws 3, Depor FC wins 0