COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
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Estadio La Independencia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.8%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Patriotas Win 61.8%
Draw 5.3%
Barranquilla Win 32.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Patriotas1.14
Barranquilla1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Patriotas Patriotas
WWDLW
18 GF / 20 GA
Barranquilla Barranquilla
WLDWL
28 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
8
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Patriotas Patriotas 17 matches
Barranquilla Barranquilla 23 matches
Patriotas Statistic Barranquilla
5 Wins 7
6 Draws 6
6 Losses 10
18 Goals For 28
20 Goals Against 29
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
8 BTTS Yes 11
11 Over 1.5 19
6 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Barranquilla's more proactive style and Patriotas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Barranquilla. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Barranquilla having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Patriotas Analysis

So far, Patriotas have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 17 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 13:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barranquilla Analysis

Barranquilla are currently 7 in the standings with 20 points from 15 matches. The record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 21:20 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Patriotas won 3 times, Barranquilla won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from Patriotas's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
H2H summary: Patriotas wins 3, draws 0, Barranquilla wins 2

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 14 8 7 48:33 15 50
L W W L D
2 26 14 8 4 36:23 13 50
L W D D L
3 26 14 7 5 29:16 13 49
W W D D L
4 27 14 6 7 37:24 13 48
L L D W D
5 25 12 6 7 35:23 12 42
L L D L D
6 26 9 7 10 25:24 1 34
W W W D L
7 27 8 9 10 23:28 -5 33
L W L L D
8 20 7 8 5 19:16 3 29
W L W D W
9 25 7 7 11 30:32 -2 28
L D D L L
10 19 6 7 6 17:18 -1 25
W D D W D
11 20 6 7 7 22:25 -3 25
L W D D W
12 21 4 9 8 23:26 -3 21
W L D W D
13 21 4 6 11 13:33 -20 18
L L D W D
14 19 3 8 8 18:25 -7 17
L L D W L
15 21 3 7 11 20:35 -15 16
W W D D D
16 20 2 8 10 18:32 -14 14
W L D D L
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)