ITALY SERIE A
22.08.2026 18:45
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Referee: Daniele Perenzoni, Italy
Parma
Match Timeline
Cagliari
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Zé Pedro
Cagliari
🟨
57'
Jacopo Fazzini
Cagliari
🔄
66'
A. Bernabe ↔ P. Almqvist
Parma
🔄
66'
J. Pedro ↔ G. Zappa
Cagliari
🔄
66'
J. Fazzini ↔ M. Felici
Cagliari
🔄
66'
P. Mendy ↔ G. Borrelli
Cagliari
🔄
75'
M. Keita ↔ R. Kouda
Parma
🔄
75'
S. Lontani ↔ O. Diallo
Parma
79'
A. Romano · Assist: M. Adopo
Cagliari
🔄
85'
M. Troilo ↔ B. Cremaschi
Parma
🔄
85'
A. Konate ↔ N. Elphege
Parma
🔄
87'
A. Obert ↔ G. Aurelio
Cagliari
🔄
87'
D. Maldini ↔ K. Mutandwa
Cagliari

Parma vs Cagliari Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 61.8%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
61.8%
-
BTTS No
70.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Parma Win 38.2%
Draw 19.2%
Cagliari Win 42.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Parma0.66
Cagliari0.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Parma Parma
WWDLW
5 GF / 5 GA
Cagliari Cagliari
WLDWL
4 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
0.8
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.4
3
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
1
8
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Parma Parma 6 matches
Cagliari Cagliari 5 matches
Parma Statistic Cagliari
1 Wins 2
4 Draws 3
1 Losses 0
5 Goals For 4
5 Goals Against 2
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.4
3 BTTS Yes 1
5 Over 1.5 1
0 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 2
8 Shots On Goal 3
12 Total Shots 15
3 Corners 3
35% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Parma won 2 times, Cagliari won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:25 from Parma's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.8%)
Predicted formations: Parma 4-3-3 / Cagliari 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Parma 3, Cagliari 4
H2H summary: Parma wins 2, draws 5, Cagliari wins 8

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 8:0 8 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 4:1 3 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 3:0 3 6
W W
5 2 2 0 0 3:1 2 6
W W
6 2 2 0 0 2:0 2 6
W W
7 2 1 1 0 4:3 1 4
W D
8 2 1 1 0 3:2 1 4
W D
9 2 1 0 1 3:1 2 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
L W
11 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
W L
12 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
L W
13 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
L W
14 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
L L
15 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
L L
16 2 0 0 2 0:3 -3 0
L L
17
Parma Home
2 0 0 2 0:3 -3 0
L L
18 2 0 0 2 3:7 -4 0
L L
19 2 0 0 2 0:4 -4 0
L L
20 2 0 0 2 0:7 -7 0
L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation