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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
25.10.2026 19:45
Parc des Princes

Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Paris Saint Germain Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lyon Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paris Saint Germain1.65
Lyon1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
WWDLW
17 GF / 13 GA
Lyon Lyon
WLDWL
34 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
2
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
7
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
11
8
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 9 matches
Lyon Lyon 17 matches
Paris Saint Germain Statistic Lyon
4 Wins 9
3 Draws 3
2 Losses 5
17 Goals For 34
13 Goals Against 22
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
7 BTTS Yes 10
8 Over 1.5 16
7 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 3
8 Shots On Goal 6
21.86 Total Shots 13.82
5.29 Corners 4.91
66.1% Ball Possession 51.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 10 times, Lyon won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:17 from Paris Saint Germain's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3 / Lyon 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Paris Saint Germain wins 10, draws 2, Lyon wins 3

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
2
Lyon Away
6 3 2 1 11:4 7 11
L W D W D
3 5 3 2 0 8:3 5 11
W D W W D
4 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
L W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
6 5 2 2 1 8:7 1 8
W W L D D
7 6 2 1 3 11:10 1 7
W L D L L
8 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D L W L
9 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
10 5 1 3 1 9:9 0 6
W D D L D
11 5 2 0 3 7:12 -5 6
W W L L L
12 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
L L W D D
13 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
L D W L D
14 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
W D L D L
15 5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
W L D L D
16 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
17 5 1 0 4 7:8 -1 3
L L L L W
18 5 0 2 3 4:7 -3 2
L D L D L
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