FRANCE LIGUE 1
25.10.2026 19:45
Parc des Princes

Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Paris Saint Germain Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lyon Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paris Saint Germain1.38
Lyon1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
WWDLW
8 GF / 11 GA
Lyon Lyon
WLDWL
27 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
2.08
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
5
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
8
6.25
Shots on Goal
5.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 6 matches
Lyon Lyon 13 matches
Paris Saint Germain Statistic Lyon
1 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 4
8 Goals For 27
11 Goals Against 19
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.08
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
5 BTTS Yes 8
6 Over 1.5 13
5 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 2
6.25 Shots On Goal 5.86
18 Total Shots 15.14
5.25 Corners 5.71
67.8% Ball Possession 54.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 10 times, Lyon won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:17 from Paris Saint Germain's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3 / Lyon 4-3-3
H2H summary: Paris Saint Germain wins 10, draws 2, Lyon wins 3

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 5:1 4 9
W W W
2
Lyon Away
3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
W D W
3 3 2 1 0 5:2 3 7
W D W
4 2 1 1 0 3:0 3 4
W D
5 2 1 1 0 5:4 1 4
W D
6 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
W D
7 2 1 0 1 6:4 2 3
L W
8 2 1 0 1 4:2 2 3
L W
9 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 2:5 -3 3
W L
11 2 0 2 0 4:4 0 2
D D
12 3 0 2 1 5:6 -1 2
L D D
13 2 0 1 1 4:5 -1 1
L D
14 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
L D
15 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
D L
16 3 0 1 2 2:5 -3 1
L D L
17 2 0 1 1 0:3 -3 1
L D
18 3 0 0 3 4:11 -7 0
L L L
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation