Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
78.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Paris FC
Stade Brestois 29
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Paris FC
34 matches
Stade Brestois 29
31 matches
| Paris FC | Statistic | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 10 |
| 11 | Draws | 9 |
| 12 | Losses | 12 |
| 44 | Goals For | 42 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.79 | Shots On Goal | 3.52 |
| 11.38 | Total Shots | 10.97 |
| 4.38 | Corners | 3.87 |
| 51.1% | Ball Possession | 43.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Stade Brestois 29. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Stade Brestois 29 arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
Paris FC sit 12 with 38 points after 31 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses, while the 40:47 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Kebbal (9 goals), M. Munetsi (4 goals), A. Gory (3 goals), with creative support from I. Kebbal (4 assists), M. Simon (3 assists), M. Lopez (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Stade Brestois 29 approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 38 points from 30 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 41:47, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Del Castillo (8 goals), Ludovic Ajorque (7 goals), J. Dina Ebimbe (5 goals), with creative support from Ludovic Ajorque (9 assists), R. Del Castillo (3 assists), Kamory Doumbia (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Paris FC won 2 times, Stade Brestois 29 won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:7 from Paris FC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.
Paris FC
8
1
5
6
4
3
Lineups
Paris FC
FSV Mainz 05
Paris FC
VfB Stuttgart
Paris FC
Como
Paris FC
Reims
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
Rennes
Paris FC
Lille
Paris FC
Metz
Paris FC
Monaco
Paris FC
Lorient
Paris FC
Le Havre
Paris FC
Strasbourg
Paris FC
Lyon
Paris FC
Nice
Paris FC
Toulouse
Paris FC
Lens
Paris FC
Auxerre
Paris FC
Lorient
Paris FC
Marseille
Paris FC
Angers
Stade Brestois 29
Venezia
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Briochin
Stade Brestois 29
Guingamp
Stade Brestois 29
Al Wakrah
Stade Brestois 29
Concarneau
Stade Brestois 29
Angers
Stade Brestois 29
Strasbourg
Stade Brestois 29
Paris Saint Germain
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
Rennes
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
Monaco
Stade Brestois 29
Le Havre
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
Lille
Stade Brestois 29
Lorient
Stade Brestois 29
Nice
Stade Brestois 29
Toulouse
Paris FC
Reims
Paris FC
Paris Saint Germain
Paris FC
Lille
Paris FC
Monaco
Paris FC
Le Havre
Paris FC
Nice
Paris FC
Lens
Paris FC
Marseille
Paris FC
Angers
Paris FC
Toulouse
Paris FC
Auxerre
Paris FC
Rennes
Paris FC
Lyon
Paris FC
Nantes
Paris FC
Lorient
Paris FC
Strasbourg
Paris FC
Metz
Paris FC
Sochaux
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Briochin
Stade Brestois 29
Paris Saint Germain
Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
Monaco
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
Lille
Stade Brestois 29
Nice
Stade Brestois 29
Lyon
Stade Brestois 29
Avranches
Stade Brestois 29
Rennes
Stade Brestois 29
Strasbourg
Stade Brestois 29
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
Le Havre
Stade Brestois 29
Lorient
Stade Brestois 29
Angers
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
Stade Brestois 29
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29
Nice
Stade Brestois 29
Marseille
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 |
Paris FC
Home
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
| 12 |
Stade Brestois 29
Away
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|