CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Arnosta Kostala
Referee: D. Vokoun
Pardubice
Match Timeline
Zlin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
42'
D. Smekal · Assist: M. Hlavaty
Pardubice
🔄
46'
M. Hlavaty ↔ S. Misek
Pardubice
🔄
46'
G. Botos ↔ F. Vecheta
Pardubice
🔄
46'
L. Branecky ↔ T. Ulbrich
Zlin
🔄
60'
L. Bartosak ↔ J. Pesek
Zlin
🔄
63'
E. Godwin ↔ R. Saarma
Pardubice
🔄
70'
D. Smekal ↔ A. Tanko
Pardubice
71'
T. Poznar · Assist: T. Ulbrich
Zlin
🔄
73'
T. Poznar ↔ M. Koubek
Zlin
🔄
77'
C. Nombil ↔ J. Kolar
Zlin
🟨
78'
Tom Ulbrich
Zlin
78'
S. Misek
Pardubice
🔄
83'
M. Cupak ↔ S. Kanu
Zlin
🔄
83'
D. Machalik ↔ T. Hellebrand
Zlin
🔄
86'
R. Mahuta ↔ T. Boledovic
Pardubice
89'
A. Tanko · Assist: J. Noslin
Pardubice
🔄
90'
V. Patrak ↔ L. Krobot
Pardubice

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Pardubice Win 66.5%
Draw 23.9%
Zlin Win 9.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pardubice1.36
Zlin1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pardubice Pardubice
WWDLW
36 GF / 45 GA
Zlin Zlin
WLDWL
36 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
19
BTTS Yes
15
14
Over 2.5
16
3.41
Shots on Goal
3.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pardubice Pardubice 29 matches
Zlin Zlin 29 matches
Pardubice Statistic Zlin
10 Wins 9
8 Draws 7
11 Losses 13
36 Goals For 36
45 Goals Against 45
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
19 BTTS Yes 15
25 Over 1.5 21
14 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 11
4 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 9
3.41 Shots On Goal 3.03
10.31 Total Shots 10.86
4.41 Corners 3.9
45.9% Ball Possession 40.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pardubice expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Zlin in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Zlin having the stronger overall control. Pardubice come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Zlin. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Pardubice Analysis

From their first 29 matches, Pardubice have collected 38 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 35:45 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through V. Patrak (11 goals), Abdullahi Tanko (6 goals), D. Smekal (3 goals), with creative support from Abdullahi Tanko (5 assists), Ryan Mahuta (4 assists), D. Smekal (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Zlin Analysis

Zlin sit 10 with 34 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats with a 33:43 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Cupak (7 goals), S. Kanu (5 goals), Jakub Černín (4 goals), with creative support from S. Kanu (4 assists), M. Cupak (3 assists), D. Machalik (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Pardubice won 4 times, Zlin won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from Pardubice's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.54 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90.4%)
Predicted formations: Pardubice 3-4-3 / Zlin 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Pardubice wins 4, draws 5, Zlin wins 4
Stats
Pardubice Pardubice
Zlin Zlin
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 4
15 Fouls 19
1 Offsides 0
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 5
4 Shots outsidebox 5
0 Goalkeeper Saves 1
365 Total passes 281
279 Passes accurate 183
1.47 expected_goals 1.10
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Pardubice
Formation
Zlin
L. Kharatishvili
L. Kharatishvili
J. Noslin
🎯
J. Noslin
S. Bammens
S. Bammens
M. Konecny
M. Konecny
E. Godwin
E. Godwin
M. Hlavaty
🎯
M. Hlavaty
T. Jelinek
T. Jelinek
R. Mahuta
R. Mahuta
D. Smekal
D. Smekal
G. Botos
G. Botos
V. Patrak
V. Patrak
S. Dostal
S. Dostal
M. Kopecny
M. Kopecny
J. Cernin
J. Cernin
J. Didiba
J. Didiba
M. Pisoja
M. Pisoja
C. Nombil
C. Nombil
M. Cupak
M. Cupak
D. Machalik
D. Machalik
L. Branecky
L. Branecky
L. Bartosak
L. Bartosak
T. Poznar
T. Poznar
Pardubice 3-4-3
Starting XI
99
L. Kharatishvili
G
43
J. Noslin
🎯 89'
D
44
S. Bammens
D
32
M. Konecny
D
15
E. Godwin
↓ 63'
M
19
M. Hlavaty
🎯 42' ↓ 46'
M
16
T. Jelinek
M
25
R. Mahuta
↓ 86'
M
9
D. Smekal
⚽ 42' ↓ 70'
F
90
G. Botos
↓ 46'
F
8
V. Patrak
↓ 90'
F
Substitutes
30
A. Mandous
G
18
S. Misek
⚽ 78' ↑ 46'
M
5
J. Hamza
D
40
T. Boledovic
↑ 86'
D
17
L. Krobot
↑ 90'
F
77
R. Saarma
↑ 63'
M
10
F. Vecheta
↑ 46'
F
28
A. Tanko
⚽ 89' ↑ 70'
F
39
S. Kopasek
D
35
V. Samuel
F
Zlin 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
17
S. Dostal
G
23
M. Kopecny
D
24
J. Cernin
D
6
J. Didiba
D
82
M. Pisoja
19
C. Nombil
↓ 77'
M
26
M. Cupak
↓ 83'
M
8
D. Machalik
↓ 83'
M
30
L. Branecky
↓ 46'
M
31
L. Bartosak
↓ 60'
M
88
T. Poznar
⚽ 71' ↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
34
M. Knobloch
G
91
J. Kalabiska
D
10
J. Pesek
↑ 60'
F
15
M. Koubek
↑ 73'
F
14
S. Kanu
↑ 83'
F
39
A. Krapka
D
4
T. Ulbrich
🎯 71' ↑ 46' 🟨 78'
M
22
M. Fukala
D
28
J. Kolar
↑ 77'
D
5
K. Penkevics
M
53
T. Hellebrand
↑ 83'
M
Last matches: Pardubice
18.07.26
Fri
Pardubice
Vysočina Jihlava
5
0
W
09.07.26
Fri
Pardubice
Cracovia Krakow
0
2
L
05.07.26
Fri
Pardubice
Rapid Vienna
2
2
D
01.07.26
Fri
Pardubice
Žilina
2
2
D
01.07.26
Fri
Pardubice
Odra Opole
1
1
D
10.05.26
Cze
Pardubice
Karviná
1
3
L
02.05.26
Cze
Pardubice
Karviná
2
1
W
19.04.26
Cze
Pardubice
Plzen
1
0
W
12.04.26
Cze
Pardubice
Sigma Olomouc
2
1
W
04.04.26
Cze
Pardubice
Dukla Praha
2
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Pardubice
Slovan Liberec
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cze
Pardubice
Mlada Boleslav
0
2
L
08.03.26
Cze
Pardubice
Karviná
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cze
Pardubice
Teplice
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cze
Pardubice
Slovácko
0
2
L
15.02.26
Cze
Pardubice
FK Jablonec
0
2
L
08.02.26
Cze
Pardubice
Bohemians 1905
2
1
W
01.02.26
Cze
Pardubice
Slavia Praha
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
Pardubice
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
0
W
20.01.26
Fri
Pardubice
Hammarby FF
0
0
D
Last matches: Zlin
18.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Slask Wroclaw
1
3
L
15.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Polonia Warszawa
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1
2
L
03.07.26
Fri
Zlin
AS Trencin
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Zlin
Skalica
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Zlin
Hanácká
0
2
L
20.06.26
Fri
Zlin
Petržalka
3
3
D
23.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Slovácko
1
0
W
16.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
0
2
L
12.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Teplice
2
4
L
09.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Mlada Boleslav
1
1
D
02.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Dukla Praha
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cze
Zlin
Teplice
3
2
W
11.04.26
Cze
Zlin
Bohemians 1905
1
2
L
04.04.26
Cze
Zlin
FK Jablonec
0
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Zlin
Vysočina Jihlava
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cze
Zlin
Slavia Praha
1
3
L
08.03.26
Cze
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
2
6
L
01.03.26
Cze
Zlin
Plzen
3
0
W
H2H: Pardubice vs Zlin
25.04.26
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
3
1
W
25.10.25
H2H
Zlin
Pardubice
2
2
D
04.05.24
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
2
0
W
14.04.24
H2H
Zlin
Pardubice
1
1
D
04.11.23
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
0
1
L
21.05.23
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
1
2
L
19.02.23
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
2
1
W
30.08.22
H2H
Zlin
Pardubice
2
1
L
10.05.22
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
1
1
D
19.03.22
H2H
Zlin
Pardubice
4
1
L
23.10.21
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
0
0
D
25.04.21
H2H
Zlin
Pardubice
0
4
W
20.12.20
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
0
0
D
Last matches: Pardubice
01.07.26
Fri
Pardubice
Žilina
2
2
D
10.05.26
Cze
Pardubice
Karviná
1
3
L
12.04.26
Cze
Pardubice
Sigma Olomouc
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Pardubice
Slovan Liberec
1
2
L
28.02.26
Cze
Pardubice
Teplice
1
1
D
15.02.26
Cze
Pardubice
FK Jablonec
0
2
L
01.02.26
Cze
Pardubice
Slavia Praha
1
1
D
15.01.26
Fri
Pardubice
Vysočina Jihlava
2
0
W
07.12.25
Cze
Pardubice
Hradec Králové
1
0
W
22.11.25
Cze
Pardubice
Slovan Liberec
0
4
L
01.11.25
Cze
Pardubice
Dukla Praha
1
1
D
18.10.25
Cze
Pardubice
Mlada Boleslav
2
1
W
04.10.25
Cze
Pardubice
Karviná
2
1
W
01.10.25
Cze
Pardubice
Baník Ostrava
0
1
L
20.09.25
Cze
Pardubice
Slovácko
1
1
D
30.08.25
Cze
Pardubice
Bohemians 1905
1
1
D
03.08.25
Cze
Pardubice
Sparta Praha
1
3
L
18.07.25
Cze
Pardubice
Plzen
1
5
L
H2H at home: Pardubice
25.04.26
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
3
1
W
04.05.24
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
2
0
W
04.11.23
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
0
1
L
21.05.23
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
1
2
L
19.02.23
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
2
1
W
10.05.22
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
1
1
D
23.10.21
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
0
0
D
20.12.20
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
0
0
D
Last matches: Zlin
18.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Slask Wroclaw
1
3
L
15.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Polonia Warszawa
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Zlin
AS Trencin
3
1
W
16.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
0
2
L
09.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Mlada Boleslav
1
1
D
11.04.26
Cze
Zlin
Bohemians 1905
1
2
L
08.03.26
Cze
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
2
6
L
21.02.26
Cze
Zlin
Hradec Králové
0
0
D
14.02.26
Cze
Zlin
Dukla Praha
0
0
D
01.02.26
Cze
Zlin
Slovan Liberec
0
2
L
06.12.25
Cze
Zlin
Mlada Boleslav
1
3
L
23.11.25
Cze
Zlin
Slovácko
0
2
L
01.11.25
Cze
Zlin
FK Jablonec
3
1
W
18.10.25
Cze
Zlin
Slavia Praha
0
0
D
28.09.25
Cze
Zlin
Plzen
1
0
W
31.08.25
Cze
Zlin
Sparta Praha
1
3
L
16.08.25
Cze
Zlin
Sigma Olomouc
0
1
L
02.08.25
Cze
Zlin
Karviná
1
0
W
19.07.25
Cze
Zlin
Teplice
3
1
W
H2H away: Zlin
25.04.26
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
3
1
L
04.05.24
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
2
0
L
04.11.23
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
0
1
W
21.05.23
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
1
2
W
19.02.23
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
2
1
L
10.05.22
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
1
1
D
23.10.21
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
0
0
D
20.12.20
H2H
Pardubice
Zlin
0
0
D

Standings

1. Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 21 8 1 63:23 40 71
W L W W W
2 30 19 6 5 60:33 27 63
W W D W L
3 30 15 8 7 50:34 16 53
L W D W W
4 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L L D L
5 30 14 7 9 43:34 9 49
L W W D L
6 30 12 10 8 43:30 13 46
L L L L L
7 30 12 7 11 34:34 0 43
W W L W L
8 30 11 8 11 39:46 -7 41
L W W W W
9 30 12 3 15 43:51 -8 39
L L W L L
10 30 10 6 14 26:35 -9 36
W L W W W
11 30 8 11 11 44:52 -8 35
L W L D D
12
Zlin Away
30 9 7 14 37:48 -11 34
W L L D W
13 30 6 11 13 29:38 -9 29
W W W W D
14 30 4 11 15 20:42 -22 23
L L W L L
15 30 5 8 17 26:45 -19 23
W W L L W
16 30 5 7 18 25:45 -20 22
W W W W L
Championship round
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation Round