Predictions & Statistics

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Pardubice hold an advantage after winning the first leg 2-1, so Karviná now have a 1-goal deficit to overturn. In the previous meeting, Karviná controlled more possession in the first leg (62% against 38%). Pardubice were also more accurate in attack, recording 5 shots on target to 3. Karviná circulated the ball more often, making 449 passes to 273 and completing 360. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pardubice expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Karviná in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Karviná having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Karviná. Pardubice come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Pardubice won 8 times, Karviná won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:16 from Pardubice's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.