GREECE SUPER LEAGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium
Referee: G. Kikacheishvili
Panathinaikos
Match Timeline
PAOK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Sotiris Kontouris
Panathinaikos
30'
M. Ozdoev · Assist: D. Pelkas
PAOK
35'
A. Mythou · Assist: A. Zivkovic
PAOK
🟨
45'
Ahmed Touba
Panathinaikos
🔄
46'
S. Kontouris ↔ R. Sanches
Panathinaikos
🔄
50'
E. Palmer-Brown ↔ J. Hernandez
Panathinaikos
🔄
59'
A. Mythou ↔ A. Jeremejeff
PAOK
🔄
60'
D. Pelkas ↔ L. Ivanusec
PAOK
68'
A. Gnezda Cerin · Assist: K. Swiderski
Panathinaikos
🔄
69'
J. Sanchez ↔ J. Kenny
PAOK
VAR
73'
Giannis Konstantelias
PAOK
🟨
78'
Andrija Živković
PAOK
🔄
81'
S. Andino ↔ M. Pantovic
Panathinaikos
81'
V. Taborda
Panathinaikos
🔄
88'
G. Konstantelias ↔ G. Giakoumakis
PAOK
🟨
90+2'
Luka Ivanušec
PAOK

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
75.5%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Panathinaikos Win 49.1%
Draw 5.2%
PAOK Win 45.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Panathinaikos1.14
PAOK1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
WWDLW
63 GF / 51 GA
PAOK PAOK
WLDWL
81 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
25
BTTS Yes
19
22
Over 2.5
24
4.22
Shots on Goal
4.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 49 matches
PAOK PAOK 45 matches
Panathinaikos Statistic PAOK
19 Wins 23
18 Draws 13
12 Losses 9
63 Goals For 81
51 Goals Against 41
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
25 BTTS Yes 19
35 Over 1.5 33
22 Over 2.5 24
11 Over 3.5 13
17 Clean Sheets 22
15 Failed To Score 11
4.22 Shots On Goal 4.56
12.12 Total Shots 12.11
4.43 Corners 4.8
48.9% Ball Possession 54.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward PAOK. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Panathinaikos expected to line up in 5-4-1 and PAOK in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward PAOK having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Panathinaikos Analysis

Placed 4 with 51 points from 30 outings, Panathinaikos continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 45:30 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Alexander Jeremejeff (8 goals), Anastasios Bakasetas (5 goals), K. Swiderski (5 goals), with creative support from D. Calabria (4 assists), Anastasios Bakasetas (3 assists), Tete (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

PAOK Analysis

PAOK arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 62 points after 30 matches. Their overall return of 18 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 56:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Konstantelias (8 goals), Giorgos Giakoumakis (7 goals), M. Ozdoev (7 goals), with creative support from A. Zivkovic (10 assists), Taison (6 assists), M. Ozdoev (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos won 4 times, PAOK won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:23 from Panathinaikos's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Panathinaikos 5-4-1 / PAOK 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Panathinaikos wins 4, draws 3, PAOK wins 8
Stats
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
PAOK PAOK
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
10
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
10 Corner Kicks 6
12 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 2
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots off Goal 10
3 Blocked Shots 2
12 Shots insidebox 15
5 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
454 Total passes 414
365 Passes accurate 328
1.61 expected_goals 2.63
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Panathinaikos
Formation
PAOK
A. Lafont
A. Lafont
D. Calabria
D. Calabria
E. Palmer-Brown
E. Palmer-Brown
A. Touba
A. Touba
G. Kyriakopoulos
G. Kyriakopoulos
S. Kontouris
S. Kontouris
A. Gnezda Cerin
A. Gnezda Cerin
S. Andino
S. Andino
V. Taborda
V. Taborda
A. Zaroury
A. Zaroury
K. Swiderski
🎯
K. Swiderski
J. Pavlenka
J. Pavlenka
J. Sanchez
J. Sanchez
T. Kedziora
T. Kedziora
G. Michailidis
G. Michailidis
A. R. Baba
A. R. Baba
M. Ozdoev
M. Ozdoev
C. Zafeiris
C. Zafeiris
A. Zivkovic
🎯
A. Zivkovic
D. Pelkas
🎯
D. Pelkas
G. Konstantelias
G. Konstantelias
A. Mythou
A. Mythou
Panathinaikos 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
40
A. Lafont
G
2
D. Calabria
D
14
E. Palmer-Brown
↓ 50'
D
5
A. Touba
🟨 45'
D
77
G. Kyriakopoulos
D
18
S. Kontouris
↓ 46' 🟨 28'
M
16
A. Gnezda Cerin
⚽ 68'
M
10
S. Andino
↓ 81'
M
20
V. Taborda
⚽ 81'
M
9
A. Zaroury
M
19
K. Swiderski
🎯 68'
F
Substitutes
12
L. Chaves
G
70
K. Kotsaris
31
F. Djuricic
M
52
T. Vilhena
M
4
P. Chirivella
M
8
R. Sanches
↑ 46'
M
27
G. Kotsiras
D
6
M. Siopis
M
72
M. Pantovic
↑ 81'
M
26
J. Hernandez
↑ 50'
D
88
A. Jagusic
M
23
P. Pantelidis
PAOK 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Pavlenka
G
35
J. Sanchez
↓ 69'
D
16
T. Kedziora
D
5
G. Michailidis
D
21
A. R. Baba
D
27
M. Ozdoev
⚽ 30'
M
20
C. Zafeiris
M
14
A. Zivkovic
🎯 35' 🟨 78'
M
10
D. Pelkas
🎯 30' ↓ 60'
M
65
G. Konstantelias
↓ 88'
M
56
A. Mythou
⚽ 35' ↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
99
A. Tsiftsis
G
6
D. Lovren
D
11
Taison
F
8
S. Meite
M
7
G. Giakoumakis
↑ 88'
F
23
J. Sastre
D
19
A. Jeremejeff
↑ 59'
F
3
J. Kenny
↑ 69'
D
4
A. Vogliacco
D
18
L. Ivanusec
↑ 60' 🟨 90+2'
F
32
G. Taylor
D
22
A. Bianco
M
Last matches: Panathinaikos
13.05.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
1
L
10.05.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
1
2
L
03.05.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
0
0
D
19.04.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
2
L
05.04.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
PAOK
0
0
D
22.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Asteras Tripolis
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Real Betis
0
4
L
15.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Panetolikos
0
0
D
12.03.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Real Betis
1
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Levadiakos
4
1
W
04.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
OFI
4
1
W
01.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
3
1
W
26.02.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Plzen
1
1
D
22.02.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
OFI
2
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Plzen
2
2
D
15.02.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Larisa
1
1
D
08.02.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Kifisia
3
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
AS Roma
1
1
D
25.01.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Atromitos
0
0
D
Last matches: PAOK
13.05.26
Sup
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
1
1
D
10.05.26
Sup
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
03.05.26
Sup
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
3
1
W
19.04.26
Sup
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
0
3
L
05.04.26
Sup
PAOK
Panathinaikos
0
0
D
22.03.26
Sup
PAOK
Volos NFC
1
2
L
15.03.26
Sup
PAOK
Levadiakos
3
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
0
D
04.03.26
Sup
PAOK
Kifisia
4
1
W
01.03.26
Sup
PAOK
Asteras Tripolis
2
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
PAOK
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
22.02.26
Sup
PAOK
Larisa
1
1
D
19.02.26
UEF
PAOK
Celta Vigo
1
2
L
15.02.26
Sup
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
0
0
D
08.02.26
Sup
PAOK
Aris Thessalonikis
0
0
D
01.02.26
Sup
PAOK
Panserraikos
4
1
W
29.01.26
UEF
PAOK
Lyon
2
4
L
22.01.26
UEF
PAOK
Real Betis
2
0
W
18.01.26
Sup
PAOK
OFI
3
0
W
10.01.26
Sup
PAOK
Panetolikos
3
0
W
H2H: Panathinaikos vs PAOK
17.05.26
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
2
2
D
05.04.26
H2H
PAOK
Panathinaikos
0
0
D
11.02.26
H2H
PAOK
Panathinaikos
2
0
L
04.02.26
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
0
1
L
21.12.25
H2H
PAOK
Panathinaikos
2
0
L
09.11.25
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
2
1
W
27.04.25
H2H
PAOK
Panathinaikos
2
1
L
13.04.25
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
3
1
W
05.01.25
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
2
1
W
15.09.24
H2H
PAOK
Panathinaikos
0
0
D
15.05.24
H2H
PAOK
Panathinaikos
4
1
L
31.03.24
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
2
3
L
21.02.24
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
1
2
L
14.02.24
H2H
PAOK
Panathinaikos
0
1
W
28.01.24
H2H
PAOK
Panathinaikos
2
1
L
Last matches: Panathinaikos
03.05.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
0
0
D
19.04.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
2
L
15.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Panetolikos
0
0
D
12.03.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Real Betis
1
0
W
04.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
OFI
4
1
W
01.03.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
3
1
W
19.02.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
Plzen
2
2
D
15.02.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Larisa
1
1
D
01.02.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Kifisia
3
0
W
29.01.26
UEF
Panathinaikos
AS Roma
1
1
D
11.01.26
Sup
Panathinaikos
Panserraikos
3
0
W
14.12.25
Sup
Panathinaikos
Volos NFC
2
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
Panathinaikos
Plzen
0
0
D
30.11.25
Sup
Panathinaikos
AEK Athens FC
2
3
L
27.11.25
UEF
Panathinaikos
Sturm Graz
2
1
W
09.11.25
Sup
Panathinaikos
PAOK
2
1
W
26.10.25
Sup
Panathinaikos
Asteras Tripolis
2
0
W
05.10.25
Sup
Panathinaikos
Atromitos
1
0
W
02.10.25
UEF
Panathinaikos
GO Ahead Eagles
1
2
L
21.09.25
Sup
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
H2H at home: Panathinaikos
17.05.26
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
2
2
D
04.02.26
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
0
1
L
09.11.25
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
2
1
W
13.04.25
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
3
1
W
05.01.25
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
2
1
W
31.03.24
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
2
3
L
21.02.24
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
1
2
L
Last matches: PAOK
10.05.26
Sup
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
0
3
L
22.03.26
Sup
PAOK
Volos NFC
1
2
L
08.03.26
Sup
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
0
D
04.03.26
Sup
PAOK
Kifisia
4
1
W
26.02.26
UEF
PAOK
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
22.02.26
Sup
PAOK
Larisa
1
1
D
08.02.26
Sup
PAOK
Aris Thessalonikis
0
0
D
29.01.26
UEF
PAOK
Lyon
2
4
L
10.01.26
Sup
PAOK
Panetolikos
3
0
W
14.12.25
Sup
PAOK
Atromitos
0
2
L
11.12.25
UEF
PAOK
Ludogorets
3
3
D
30.11.25
Sup
PAOK
Levadiakos
3
2
W
09.11.25
Sup
PAOK
Panathinaikos
1
2
L
02.11.25
Sup
PAOK
Panserraikos
5
0
W
23.10.25
UEF
PAOK
Lille
4
3
W
19.10.25
Sup
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
2
0
W
02.10.25
UEF
PAOK
Celta Vigo
1
3
L
28.09.25
Sup
PAOK
Asteras Tripolis
3
3
D
14.09.25
Sup
PAOK
OFI
2
1
W
H2H away: PAOK
17.05.26
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
2
2
D
04.02.26
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
0
1
W
09.11.25
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
2
1
L
13.04.25
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
3
1
L
05.01.25
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
2
1
L
31.03.24
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
2
3
W
21.02.24
H2H
Panathinaikos
PAOK
1
2
W

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 6 2 49:17 32 60
D D W D W
2 26 17 7 2 45:11 34 58
D W D L W
3
PAOK Away
26 17 6 3 52:17 35 57
D D D W L
4 26 14 7 5 44:26 18 49
D L L D L
5 26 12 6 8 51:37 14 42
L W W W L
6 26 10 2 14 34:45 -11 32
W L L L W
7 26 9 4 13 26:38 -12 31
L L L L L
8 26 6 12 8 20:27 -7 30
W W W W W
9 26 7 8 11 26:30 -4 29
W L W L L
10 26 6 9 11 32:42 -10 27
W D L W W
11 26 7 5 14 24:38 -14 26
L D D W L
12 26 4 11 11 22:39 -17 23
L W D D D
13 26 4 5 17 16:55 -39 17
L D L L D
14 26 3 8 15 22:41 -19 17
W D W D W