CYPRUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Stelios Kyriakides Stadium
Referee: A. Kyriakos
Pafos
Match Timeline
Apoel Nicosia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
Lele
Pafos
🔄
24'
Vitor Meer ↔ C. Poursaitidis
Apoel Nicosia
🟨
33'
Konstantinos Laifis
Apoel Nicosia
🟨
37'
Evagoras Antoniou
Apoel Nicosia
🟨
43'
Alexandre Brito
Pafos
45'
N. Ioannou
Pafos
🔄
56'
V. Dragomir ↔ W. Odefalk
Pafos
🔄
63'
E. Antoniou ↔ K. Giannakou
Apoel Nicosia
🔄
63'
M. Tomas ↔ P. Kattirtzis
Apoel Nicosia
🔄
63'
S. Drazic ↔ N. Koutsakos
Apoel Nicosia
🔄
66'
M. Orsic ↔ J. Correia
Pafos
🔄
66'
D. Quina ↔ M. Bassouamina
Pafos
🔄
72'
Lele ↔ Anderson Silva
Pafos
🔄
72'
A. Brito ↔ D. Goldar
Pafos
🟨
75'
Dani Silva
Pafos
🔄
82'
Diego Rosa ↔ G. Tziortzis
Apoel Nicosia
🟨
87'
Constantinos Poursaitides
Apoel Nicosia
🟨
90+4'
David Goldar
Pafos

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
89.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Pafos Win 84.9%
Draw 0%
Apoel Nicosia Win 15.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pafos1.47
Apoel Nicosia1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pafos Pafos
WWDLW
80 GF / 52 GA
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia
WLDWL
53 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.51
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
23
BTTS Yes
17
22
Over 2.5
18
2.36
Shots on Goal
3.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pafos Pafos 49 matches
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia 35 matches
Pafos Statistic Apoel Nicosia
23 Wins 15
13 Draws 7
13 Losses 13
80 Goals For 53
52 Goals Against 43
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.51
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
23 BTTS Yes 17
38 Over 1.5 29
22 Over 2.5 18
13 Over 3.5 9
20 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 9
2.36 Shots On Goal 3.03
6.47 Total Shots 8.38
2.77 Corners 3.94
28.3% Ball Possession 37.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Apoel Nicosia. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pafos expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Apoel Nicosia in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Apoel Nicosia having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Apoel Nicosia arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Pafos Analysis

Pafos arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 59 points after 35 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, while the 64:38 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Correia (10 goals), Anderson Silva (9 goals), D. Luckassen (6 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Apoel Nicosia Analysis

Apoel Nicosia approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 52 points from 35 matches. The overall return of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats with a 53:43 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Drazic (11 goals), Nikolas Koutsakos (7 goals), P. Sotiriou (7 goals), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Pafos won 5 times, Apoel Nicosia won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:14 from Pafos's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Pafos 4-1-4-1 / Apoel Nicosia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Pafos wins 5, draws 4, Apoel Nicosia wins 6

Lineups

Pafos
Formation
Apoel Nicosia
J. Gorter
J. Gorter
O. Mimovic
O. Mimovic
David Luiz
David Luiz
A. Guessand
A. Guessand
N. Ioannou
N. Ioannou
D. Quina
D. Quina
Dani Silva
Dani Silva
A. Brito
A. Brito
M. Orsic
M. Orsic
V. Dragomir
V. Dragomir
Lele
Lele
S. Michos
S. Michos
Nanu
Nanu
E. Antoniou
E. Antoniou
K. Laifis
K. Laifis
Vitor Meer
Vitor Meer
M. Tomas
M. Tomas
Dalcio
Dalcio
Diego Rosa
Diego Rosa
D. Mancini
D. Mancini
S. Drazic
S. Drazic
P. Olayinka
P. Olayinka
Pafos 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
J. Gorter
G
21
O. Mimovic
D
4
David Luiz
D
19
A. Guessand
D
14
N. Ioannou
⚽ 45'
D
8
D. Quina
↓ 66'
M
80
Dani Silva
🟨 75'
M
50
A. Brito
↓ 72' 🟨 43'
M
17
M. Orsic
↓ 66'
M
30
V. Dragomir
↓ 56'
M
18
Lele
⚽ 17' ↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
93
N. Michail
G
77
J. Correia
↑ 66'
M
72
K. Ioannou
D
86
A. Christoforou
M
33
Anderson Silva
↑ 72'
F
42
G. Michael
M
99
A. Papadoudis
G
5
D. Goldar
↑ 72' 🟨 90+4'
D
23
D. Luckassen
D
20
W. Odefalk
↑ 56'
M
9
M. Bassouamina
↑ 66'
F
12
K. Sema
M
Apoel Nicosia 4-3-3
Starting XI
78
S. Michos
G
14
Nanu
D
2
E. Antoniou
↓ 63' 🟨 37'
D
34
K. Laifis
🟨 33'
D
6
Vitor Meer
↓ 24'
D
15
M. Tomas
↓ 63'
M
20
Dalcio
M
29
Diego Rosa
↓ 82'
M
77
D. Mancini
M
9
S. Drazic
↓ 63'
F
99
P. Olayinka
M
Substitutes
91
S. Voniatis
G
45
K. Giannakou
↑ 63'
84
M. Filippidis
M
38
Geovane Meurer
M
86
D. Ioannou
M
21
C. Poursaitidis
↑ 24' 🟨 87'
D
41
A. Angelidis
D
83
I. Orfanidis
23
P. Kattirtzis
↑ 63'
M
92
G. Tziortzis
↑ 82'
M
89
N. Koutsakos
↑ 63'
F
36
C. Appiah
F
Last matches: Pafos
16.05.26
1.
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
2
2
D
10.05.26
1.
Pafos
Aris
2
0
W
06.05.26
1.
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
03.05.26
1.
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
1
2
L
26.04.26
1.
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
3
3
D
18.04.26
1.
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
14.04.26
1.
Pafos
Aris
1
1
D
04.04.26
1.
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
22.03.26
1.
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
14.03.26
1.
Pafos
Akritas
4
0
W
07.03.26
1.
Pafos
Krasava Ypsonas
7
0
W
01.03.26
1.
Pafos
Aris
2
2
D
21.02.26
1.
Pafos
Anorthosis
0
0
D
15.02.26
1.
Pafos
AEL
1
0
W
08.02.26
1.
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
2
4
L
04.02.26
1.
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
31.01.26
1.
Pafos
Ethnikos Achna
1
2
L
28.01.26
UEF
Pafos
Slavia Praha
4
1
W
25.01.26
1.
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
1
2
L
21.01.26
UEF
Pafos
Chelsea
0
1
L
Last matches: Apoel Nicosia
16.05.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
0
3
L
10.05.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
0
2
L
06.05.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
0
1
L
03.05.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
3
3
D
18.04.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
14.04.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
2
3
L
05.04.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
2
1
W
22.03.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
0
1
L
15.03.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
2
1
W
08.03.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Anorthosis
0
2
L
28.02.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
AEL
3
2
W
22.02.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
1
0
W
15.02.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Ethnikos Achna
2
3
L
08.02.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
2
L
04.02.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
0
2
L
31.01.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Olympiakos
2
0
W
23.01.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Aradippou
1
1
D
18.01.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
1
2
L
10.01.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Akritas
2
1
W
H2H: Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia
22.05.26
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
26.04.26
H2H
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
3
3
D
04.02.26
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
31.08.25
H2H
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
0
1
W
12.05.25
H2H
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
1
1
D
06.04.25
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
0
1
L
24.02.25
H2H
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
0
2
W
30.01.25
H2H
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
1
1
D
23.11.24
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
2
1
W
25.09.24
H2H
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
1
0
L
14.04.24
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
0
2
L
03.03.24
H2H
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
1
0
L
17.12.23
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
0
1
L
27.09.23
H2H
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
1
0
L
06.05.23
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
1
1
D
Last matches: Pafos
10.05.26
1.
Pafos
Aris
2
0
W
06.05.26
1.
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
18.04.26
1.
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
22.03.26
1.
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
1
1
D
07.03.26
1.
Pafos
Krasava Ypsonas
7
0
W
21.02.26
1.
Pafos
Anorthosis
0
0
D
08.02.26
1.
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
2
4
L
04.02.26
1.
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
28.01.26
UEF
Pafos
Slavia Praha
4
1
W
25.01.26
1.
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
1
2
L
12.01.26
1.
Pafos
Omonia Aradippou
2
0
W
05.12.25
1.
Pafos
Akritas
4
0
W
26.11.25
UEF
Pafos
Monaco
2
2
D
21.11.25
1.
Pafos
Aris
2
1
W
05.11.25
UEF
Pafos
Villarreal
1
0
W
02.11.25
1.
Pafos
AEL
1
0
W
17.10.25
1.
Pafos
Ethnikos Achna
4
0
W
30.09.25
UEF
Pafos
Bayern München
1
5
L
27.09.25
1.
Pafos
Olympiakos
2
1
W
24.09.25
1.
Pafos
Enosis
3
0
W
H2H at home: Pafos
22.05.26
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
04.02.26
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
W
06.04.25
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
0
1
L
23.11.24
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
2
1
W
14.04.24
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
0
2
L
17.12.23
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
0
1
L
06.05.23
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
1
1
D
Last matches: Apoel Nicosia
10.05.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
0
2
L
06.05.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
0
1
L
18.04.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
0
2
L
22.03.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
0
1
L
15.03.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
2
1
W
28.02.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
AEL
3
2
W
15.02.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Ethnikos Achna
2
3
L
04.02.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
0
2
L
31.01.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Olympiakos
2
0
W
18.01.26
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
1
2
L
29.11.25
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Anorthosis
1
1
D
09.11.25
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Nicosia
2
2
D
27.10.25
1.
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
1
1
D
03.10.25
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Omonia Aradippou
4
0
W
20.09.25
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Akritas
4
0
W
14.09.25
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Enosis
2
0
W
24.08.25
1.
Apoel Nicosia
Krasava Ypsonas
2
1
W
H2H away: Apoel Nicosia
22.05.26
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
L
04.02.26
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
2
0
L
06.04.25
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
0
1
W
23.11.24
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
2
1
L
14.04.24
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
0
2
W
17.12.23
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
0
1
W
06.05.23
H2H
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
1
1
D

Standings

1-division: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 19 4 3 63:17 46 61
W W D L W
2 26 16 5 5 49:22 27 53
W W D L L
3 26 16 5 5 36:22 14 53
D W D W W
4
Pafos Home
26 16 3 7 53:24 29 51
W W D D W
5 26 13 6 7 45:27 18 45
W L W W L
6 26 12 7 7 48:26 22 43
L W D D D
7 26 10 4 12 23:31 -8 34
W L W W D
8 26 10 3 13 31:38 -7 33
L L L W L
9 26 7 11 8 23:33 -10 32
D W W D D
10 26 8 4 14 26:36 -10 28
W L W D D
11 26 6 10 10 22:37 -15 28
L W D L D
12 26 7 5 14 23:48 -25 26
L L L W D
13 26 7 2 17 25:44 -19 23
L L L L W
14 26 0 1 25 5:67 -62 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Cyprus League (Relegation Group)