30.08.2026 22:00
Starlight Stadium
Referee: S. Noshinravani
Pacific FC
Match Timeline
HFX Wanderers FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
D. Konincks
HFX Wanderers FC
34'
T. Gomulka · Assist: Y. R. Toualy
Pacific FC
🟨
37'
Sven Zitman
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
48'
Juan David Quintana
Pacific FC
53'
L. Callegari · Assist: F. Linder
HFX Wanderers FC
56'
K. Chung · Assist: Y. R. Toualy
Pacific FC
🔄
60'
A. Reid ↔ N. Pierre
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
66'
Jason Bahamboula
HFX Wanderers FC
VAR
67'
Jason Bahamboula
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
72'
A. Daniels ↔ M. Vales
Pacific FC
🔄
72'
R. Kratt ↔ A. Diaz
Pacific FC
75'
R. Telfer
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
79'
I. Johnston ↔ K. Sow
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
79'
S. Zitman ↔ F. Troisi
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
83'
Y. R. Toualy ↔ J. Belluz
Pacific FC
🔄
83'
T. Gomulka ↔ L. Browning Lagerfeldt
Pacific FC
🔄
83'
M. Bustos ↔ S. Hundal
Pacific FC
85'
D. Konincks
Pacific FC
🔄
90'
L. Olguin ↔ A. Rampersad
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
90+1'
J. Bahamboula ↔ T. Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC
90'
D. Konincks · Assist: M. Vales
Pacific FC

Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.54
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
78.8%
1.33
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.54
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
1.60
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Pacific FC Win 21.2%
Draw 24.6%
HFX Wanderers FC Win 54.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pacific FC1.24
HFX Wanderers FC1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pacific FC Pacific FC
WWDLW
18 GF / 36 GA
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
WLDWL
25 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.25
2.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
13
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
10
1.76
Shots on Goal
2.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pacific FC Pacific FC 17 matches
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 20 matches
Pacific FC Statistic HFX Wanderers FC
0 Wins 5
5 Draws 6
12 Losses 9
18 Goals For 25
36 Goals Against 30
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
2.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
13 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 7
0 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 5
1.76 Shots On Goal 2.05
5.24 Total Shots 5.47
1.94 Corners 2.47
23.9% Ball Possession 25.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. HFX Wanderers FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 20 points while Pacific FC sit 8 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward HFX Wanderers FC having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward HFX Wanderers FC.

Pacific FC Analysis

Pacific FC sit 8 with 5 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats with a 18:34 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Bustos (1 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

HFX Wanderers FC Analysis

HFX Wanderers FC sit 5 with 20 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 25:30, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Pacific FC won 5 times, HFX Wanderers FC won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:25 from Pacific FC's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (78.8%)
Predicted formations: Pacific FC 4-2-2-2 / HFX Wanderers FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Pacific FC wins 5, draws 5, HFX Wanderers FC wins 5

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 5 2 42:13 29 50
D W W W W
2 22 14 4 4 34:16 18 46
D W D L W
3 22 10 4 8 34:37 -3 34
L D W L W
4 23 9 4 10 31:29 2 31
D L W L L
5 22 6 5 11 31:37 -6 23
W L L W L
6 20 5 8 7 29:42 -13 23
W D D L D
7 21 6 4 11 29:38 -9 22
L L W D L
8 22 1 8 13 26:44 -18 11
D L D D W