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SWEDEN › ALLSVENSKAN
18.10.2026 14:30
Gamla Ullevi

Orgryte IS vs Gais Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Orgryte IS Win 26.1%
Draw 11.6%
Gais Win 62.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orgryte IS1.03
Gais1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orgryte IS Orgryte IS
WWDLW
32 GF / 66 GA
Gais Gais
WLDWL
45 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.32
2.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
16
BTTS Yes
12
16
Over 2.5
13
3.61
Shots on Goal
4.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orgryte IS Orgryte IS 30 matches
Gais Gais 34 matches
Orgryte IS Statistic Gais
5 Wins 16
8 Draws 7
17 Losses 11
32 Goals For 45
66 Goals Against 33
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
2.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
16 BTTS Yes 12
26 Over 1.5 24
16 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 15
10 Failed To Score 9
3.61 Shots On Goal 4.56
10.57 Total Shots 14.48
3.96 Corners 5.08
43% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Gais's more proactive style and Orgryte IS's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Orgryte IS have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Orgryte IS expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Gais in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gais having the stronger overall control. Gais carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 30 points while Orgryte IS sit 15 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gais.

Orgryte IS Analysis

Orgryte IS sit 15 with 15 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats with a 25:49 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Noah Christoffersson (8 goals), T. Sana (3 goals), Jerome Tibbling Ugwo (3 goals), with creative support from T. Sana (6 assists), O. Parker-Price (4 assists), W. Hofvander (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gais Analysis

So far, Gais have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 30 points from 23 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 28:21 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Salter (6 goals), R. Þorkelsson (4 goals), R. Niklasson (3 goals), with creative support from W. Milovanovic (4 assists), R. Niklasson (3 assists), S. Salter (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Orgryte IS won 3 times, Gais won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:23 from Orgryte IS's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Orgryte IS 5-4-1 / Gais 4-3-3
H2H summary: Orgryte IS wins 3, draws 6, Gais wins 6

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 53:28 25 54
W W W W L
2 23 14 2 7 48:21 27 44
W L W W W
3 23 13 4 6 49:21 28 43
L W W D L
4 23 11 7 5 35:22 13 40
W W W L W
5 23 10 9 4 42:30 12 39
W W D D L
6 23 11 3 9 38:33 5 36
W L W D W
7 23 10 5 8 34:36 -2 35
L W W L W
8 23 10 5 8 32:41 -9 35
W W W W W
9 23 9 6 8 36:40 -4 33
L L D L D
10
Gais Away
23 8 6 9 28:21 7 30
L W L D W
11 23 8 6 9 36:41 -5 30
W L L W L
12 23 5 8 10 28:39 -11 23
D L D D L
13 23 5 5 13 20:35 -15 20
D L L W L
14 23 5 4 14 21:37 -16 19
L L L L L
15 23 3 6 14 25:52 -27 15
L L L D L
16 23 3 5 15 16:44 -28 14
L W L L W
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation