ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio 9 de Mayo
Referee: A. Diaz
Orense SC
Match Timeline
Universidad Catolica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
E. Mejia · Assist: M. Alonso
Universidad Catolica
31'
B. Vinan
Orense SC
VAR
39'
Eddy Mejía
Universidad Catolica
🟥
40'
Eddy Mejía
Universidad Catolica
🟨
42'
Mauro Díaz
Universidad Catolica
🟨
53'
Renny Jaramillo
Orense SC
🔄
68'
R. Jaramilo ↔ N. Molina
Orense SC
🔄
68'
V. Burgoa ↔ M. Bermudez
Orense SC
🟨
75'
Óscar Quiñónez
Orense SC
76'
B. Palacios
Universidad Catolica
🔄
79'
M. Alonso ↔ D. Nazareno
Universidad Catolica
🔄
80'
A. Herrera ↔ E. Caicedo
Orense SC
🔄
80'
S. Vasquez ↔ D. Armas
Orense SC
🔄
84'
B. Quinonez ↔ S. Mina
Orense SC
🟨
85'
Byron Palacios
Universidad Catolica
🔄
87'
B. Palacios ↔ J. Fajardo
Universidad Catolica
🟨
90'
Jhon Chancellor
Universidad Catolica
🔄
90+4'
M. Diaz ↔ A. Rodriguez
Universidad Catolica

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Orense SC Win 62.8%
Draw 0%
Universidad Catolica Win 37.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orense SC1.31
Universidad Catolica1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orense SC Orense SC
WWDLW
20 GF / 17 GA
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
WLDWL
29 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
10
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
8
4.21
Shots on Goal
4.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orense SC Orense SC 14 matches
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 17 matches
Orense SC Statistic Universidad Catolica
6 Wins 7
4 Draws 5
4 Losses 5
20 Goals For 29
17 Goals Against 19
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
10 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 2
4.21 Shots On Goal 4.69
10 Total Shots 13.44
3.29 Corners 4.69
46.9% Ball Possession 57.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Universidad Catolica. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Orense SC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Orense SC Analysis

Orense SC are currently 6 in the standings with 22 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 20:17 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Agustin Herrera (6 goals), A. Mena (3 goals), E. S. Zambrano Pesantez (2 goals), with creative support from E. S. Zambrano Pesantez (3 assists), V. Burgoa (2 assists), P. Velasco (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Universidad Catolica Analysis

Universidad Catolica approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 2 with 23 points from 14 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 24:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through B. Palacios (5 goals), E. Clavijo (4 goals), José Fajardo (3 goals), with creative support from Mauro Díaz (6 assists), E. Mejia (2 assists), Jhon Chancellor (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Orense SC won 2 times, Universidad Catolica won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:27 from Orense SC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Orense SC 4-2-3-1 / Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Orense SC wins 2, draws 5, Universidad Catolica wins 8
Stats
Orense SC Orense SC
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 5
14 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 1
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots off Goal 7
5 Blocked Shots 1
15 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 8
443 Total passes 272
381 Passes accurate 217
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Orense SC
Formation
Universidad Catolica
R. Silva
R. Silva
B. Quinonez
B. Quinonez
A. Lorenzo
A. Lorenzo
O. Quinonez
O. Quinonez
B. Vinan
B. Vinan
S. Vasquez
S. Vasquez
R. Jaramilo
R. Jaramilo
E. S. Zambrano Pesantez
E. S. Zambrano Pesantez
A. Mena
A. Mena
V. Burgoa
V. Burgoa
A. Herrera
A. Herrera
J. Lara
J. Lara
G. Anangono
G. Anangono
L. Canga
L. Canga
Jhon Chancellor
Jhon Chancellor
E. Valencia
E. Valencia
J. Cacciabue
J. Cacciabue
L. Moreno
L. Moreno
M. Alonso
🎯
M. Alonso
M. Diaz
M. Diaz
E. Mejia
E. Mejia
B. Palacios
B. Palacios
Orense SC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
R. Silva
G
2
B. Quinonez
↓ 84'
D
5
A. Lorenzo
D
45
O. Quinonez
🟨 75'
D
77
B. Vinan
⚽ 31'
D
7
S. Vasquez
↓ 80'
M
25
R. Jaramilo
↓ 68' 🟨 53'
M
54
E. S. Zambrano Pesantez
M
13
A. Mena
M
10
V. Burgoa
↓ 68'
M
11
A. Herrera
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
22
J. Ortiz
G
6
S. Callegari
D
3
S. Mina
↑ 84'
D
26
N. Molina
↑ 68'
M
21
G. Rostagno
M
17
E. Caicedo
↑ 80'
F
9
P. Charpentier
F
8
D. Armas
↑ 80'
M
14
E. Pluas
M
4
S. Quinonez
D
19
M. Bermudez
↑ 68'
50
E. Hernandez
M
Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
J. Lara
G
29
G. Anangono
D
33
L. Canga
D
4
Jhon Chancellor
🟨 90'
D
44
E. Valencia
D
5
J. Cacciabue
M
15
L. Moreno
M
32
M. Alonso
🎯 21' ↓ 79'
M
28
M. Diaz
↓ 90+4' 🟨 42'
M
30
E. Mejia
⚽ 21' 🟥 40'
M
18
B. Palacios
⚽ 76' ↓ 87' 🟨 85'
F
Substitutes
22
R. Romo
G
6
D. Palacios
D
7
J. Fajardo
↑ 87'
F
1
L. Cueva
G
37
C. Medina
D
19
M. Sevillano
M
23
A. Rodriguez
↑ 90+4'
M
24
D. Nazareno
↑ 79'
10
F. Martinez
M
13
E. Rose
F
26
S. Yanez
F
17
R. Troya
M
Last matches: Orense SC
07.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
01.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
0
3
L
19.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
2
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Macara
2
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
22.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
3
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Delfin SC
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Libertad
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
24.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Aucas
2
3
L
19.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
2
W
15.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Emelec
1
2
L
10.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Manta FC
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
Last matches: Universidad Catolica
06.07.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
2
3
L
31.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
0
1
L
16.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
2
2
D
09.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
1
2
L
01.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
27.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Macara
4
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
2
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
W
09.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
4
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
3
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
13.02.26
CON
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
3
4
L
06.02.26
CON
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
1
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Universidad Catolica
Sporting Cristal
1
3
L
H2H: Orense SC vs Universidad Catolica
23.05.26
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
29.11.25
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
0
0
D
25.10.25
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
2
1
W
09.08.25
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
20.04.25
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
2
0
L
14.09.24
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
2
2
D
31.03.24
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
5
1
L
16.09.23
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
18.04.23
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
1
1
D
18.09.22
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
2
0
L
01.05.22
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
06.11.21
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
1
0
L
22.05.21
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
0
3
L
18.10.20
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
23.02.20
H2H
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
4
0
L
Last matches: Orense SC
07.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
09.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
2
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Delfin SC
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Libertad
2
1
W
19.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
2
W
10.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Manta FC
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
H2H at home: Orense SC
23.05.26
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
25.10.25
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
2
1
W
09.08.25
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
14.09.24
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
2
2
D
16.09.23
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
01.05.22
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
W
22.05.21
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
0
3
L
18.10.20
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
Last matches: Universidad Catolica
31.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
0
1
L
09.05.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
1
2
L
27.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
06.02.26
CON
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
1
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Universidad Catolica
Sporting Cristal
1
3
L
H2H away: Universidad Catolica
23.05.26
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
W
25.10.25
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
2
1
L
09.08.25
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
14.09.24
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
2
2
D
16.09.23
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
W
01.05.22
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
0
L
22.05.21
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
0
3
W
18.10.20
H2H
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 1 3 36:18 18 40
W W L W W
2 17 8 5 4 20:13 7 29
W L W W L
3 17 8 5 4 20:16 4 29
W D W L W
4 17 8 3 6 19:14 5 27
L W D W W
5 17 8 3 6 18:19 -1 27
L W D W W
6 17 7 5 5 28:17 11 26
L L W D L
7 17 7 2 8 19:17 2 23
W W W L W
8 17 6 5 6 16:18 -2 23
W D L L W
9 17 6 4 7 22:24 -2 22
L L L W W
10 17 5 6 6 22:23 -1 21
W D D L L
11 17 5 5 7 18:19 -1 20
W D L W L
12 17 6 5 6 14:17 -3 20
D W W D D
13 17 5 4 8 14:20 -6 19
L L D L L
14 17 4 5 8 9:16 -7 17
D L L D L
15 17 4 5 8 17:25 -8 17
L L W L D
16 17 3 3 11 7:23 -16 12
L W L D L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs