ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio 9 de Mayo
Referee: J. C. Andrade Arreaga
Orense SC
Match Timeline
Aucas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
L. Arroyo · Assist: R. Bolanos
Aucas
🟨
27'
Steven Quiñónez
Orense SC
38'
S. Vasquez · Assist: A. Herrera
Orense SC
🔄
57'
R. Bolanos ↔ P. Guzman
Aucas
58'
S. Quinonez · Assist: S. Vasquez
Orense SC
🔄
61'
R. Jaramilo ↔ E. Pluas
Orense SC
🔄
75'
M. Bermudez ↔ E. S. Zambrano Pesantez
Orense SC
🔄
75'
A. Garcia ↔ B. Carabali
Aucas
VAR
87'
Gonzalo Martin Rostagno
Orense SC
🔄
90+1'
G. Rostagno ↔ B. Vinan
Orense SC
🔄
90+2'
M. Parrales ↔ D. Quintero
Orense SC
🔄
90+1'
M. Vera ↔ T. Serpa
Aucas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.7%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
78.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-3
-
-
Probability Distribution
Orense SC Win 33.3%
Draw 19.5%
Aucas Win 47.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orense SC1.05
Aucas1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orense SC Orense SC
WWDLW
23 GF / 28 GA
Aucas Aucas
WLDWL
23 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
13
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
7
3.65
Shots on Goal
4.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orense SC Orense SC 20 matches
Aucas Aucas 22 matches
Orense SC Statistic Aucas
6 Wins 11
5 Draws 5
9 Losses 6
23 Goals For 23
28 Goals Against 20
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
13 BTTS Yes 7
17 Over 1.5 10
11 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 10
5 Failed To Score 7
3.65 Shots On Goal 4.45
9.55 Total Shots 12.55
3.3 Corners 5.2
46.7% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Aucas's more proactive style and Orense SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Aucas. Orense SC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Aucas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 32 points while Orense SC sit 10 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Orense SC expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Aucas in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aucas having the stronger overall control.

Orense SC Analysis

Orense SC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 23 points from 18 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 22:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Herrera (5 goals), Erick Zambrano (2 goals), Sergio Vásquez (2 goals), with creative support from Erick Zambrano (3 assists), Valentín Burgoa (2 assists), A. Herrera (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aucas Analysis

Aucas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 32 points after 18 outings. The return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 21:16, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Bruno Miranda (5 goals), Andres Mena (3 goals), Snayder Porozo (3 goals), with creative support from Andres Mena (2 assists), Piero Guzmán (2 assists), Santiago Morales (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Orense SC won 3 times, Aucas won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from Orense SC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.79 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.5%)
Predicted formations: Orense SC 5-3-2 / Aucas 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Orense SC wins 3, draws 5, Aucas wins 6
Stats
Orense SC Orense SC
Aucas Aucas
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Goal 3
2 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 2
8 Shots insidebox 7
2 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
402 Total passes 286
341 Passes accurate 217
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Orense SC
Formation
Aucas
J. Ortiz
J. Ortiz
A. Lorenzo
A. Lorenzo
S. Callegari
S. Callegari
S. Quinonez
S. Quinonez
B. Caicedo
B. Caicedo
S. Vasquez
🎯
S. Vasquez
G. Rostagno
G. Rostagno
R. Jaramilo
R. Jaramilo
A. Herrera
🎯
A. Herrera
M. Parrales
M. Parrales
M. Bermudez
M. Bermudez
H. Piedra
H. Piedra
A. Zova
A. Zova
L. Gustavino
L. Gustavino
S. Morales
S. Morales
A. Garcia
A. Garcia
S. Tapiero
S. Tapiero
E. Preciado
E. Preciado
M. Vera
M. Vera
A. Mena
A. Mena
R. Bolanos
🎯
R. Bolanos
L. Arroyo
L. Arroyo
Orense SC 4-3-3
Starting XI
22
J. Ortiz
G
5
A. Lorenzo
D
6
S. Callegari
D
4
S. Quinonez
⚽ 58' 🟨 27'
D
15
B. Caicedo
D
7
S. Vasquez
⚽ 38' 🎯 58'
M
21
G. Rostagno
↓ 90+1'
M
25
R. Jaramilo
↓ 61'
M
11
A. Herrera
🎯 38'
F
10
M. Parrales
↓ 90+2'
F
19
M. Bermudez
↓ 75'
Substitutes
12
R. Silva
G
13
A. Mena
F
54
E. S. Zambrano Pesantez
↑ 75'
M
8
D. Armas
M
77
B. Vinan
↑ 90+1'
D
14
E. Pluas
↑ 61'
M
2
B. Quinonez
D
50
E. Hernandez
M
33
D. Quintero
↑ 90+2'
F
52
Y. Bravo
D
53
L. Garces
F
57
S. Mairongo
M
Aucas 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
13
H. Piedra
G
37
A. Zova
D
16
L. Gustavino
D
2
S. Morales
D
63
A. Garcia
↓ 75'
D
14
S. Tapiero
M
10
E. Preciado
M
57
M. Vera
↓ 90+1'
M
18
A. Mena
M
11
R. Bolanos
🎯 19' ↓ 57'
29
L. Arroyo
⚽ 19'
F
Substitutes
1
I. Chaves
G
5
T. Serpa
↑ 90+1'
M
21
P. Guzman
↑ 57'
M
20
D. S. Espinosa
F
31
B. Carabali
↑ 75'
D
Last matches: Orense SC
23.08.26
Lig
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
0
3
L
16.08.26
Lig
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
W
09.08.26
Lig
Orense SC
Delfin SC
1
1
D
01.08.26
Lig
Orense SC
Libertad
0
3
L
26.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
20.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
2
L
17.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Emelec
0
2
L
11.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Manta FC
0
0
D
07.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
01.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
0
3
L
23.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
19.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
09.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
2
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Macara
2
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
22.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
3
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Delfin SC
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Libertad
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
0
2
L
24.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Aucas
2
3
L
Last matches: Aucas
23.08.26
Lig
Aucas
Delfin SC
1
0
W
17.08.26
Lig
Aucas
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
08.08.26
Lig
Aucas
Leones del Norte
3
0
W
02.08.26
Lig
Aucas
Emelec
2
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Macara
1
4
L
19.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
16.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
0
3
L
12.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
08.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
31.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
26.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Manta FC
3
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
3
L
09.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Libertad
2
3
L
28.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Delfin SC
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Aucas
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
17.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Leones del Norte
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Emelec
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Macara
1
0
W
24.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Orense SC
3
2
W
H2H: Orense SC vs Aucas
23.07.26
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
2
1
W
24.03.26
H2H
Aucas
Orense SC
3
2
L
21.09.25
H2H
Aucas
Orense SC
0
0
D
25.05.25
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
2
1
W
03.08.24
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
4
0
W
02.03.24
H2H
Aucas
Orense SC
2
0
L
03.12.23
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
1
2
L
24.06.23
H2H
Aucas
Orense SC
2
0
L
09.07.22
H2H
Aucas
Orense SC
2
0
L
20.02.22
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
1
1
D
08.08.21
H2H
Aucas
Orense SC
0
0
D
06.03.21
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
2
2
D
29.11.20
H2H
Aucas
Orense SC
4
1
L
19.09.20
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
2
2
D
Last matches: Orense SC
16.08.26
Lig
Orense SC
Deportivo Cuenca
2
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
17.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Emelec
0
2
L
07.07.26
Lig
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
2
L
23.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
1
2
L
09.05.26
Lig
Orense SC
Leones del Norte
2
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Delfin SC
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Orense SC
Libertad
2
1
W
19.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Mushuc Runa SC
3
2
W
10.03.26
Lig
Orense SC
Manta FC
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
H2H at home: Orense SC
23.07.26
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
2
1
W
25.05.25
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
2
1
W
03.08.24
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
4
0
W
03.12.23
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
1
2
L
20.02.22
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
1
1
D
06.03.21
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
2
2
D
19.09.20
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
2
2
D
Last matches: Aucas
23.08.26
Lig
Aucas
Delfin SC
1
0
W
02.08.26
Lig
Aucas
Emelec
2
0
W
19.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
12.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
31.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
3
L
02.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Libertad
2
3
L
23.04.26
Lig
Aucas
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
17.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Leones del Norte
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Macara
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
H2H away: Aucas
23.07.26
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
2
1
L
25.05.25
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
2
1
L
03.08.24
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
4
0
L
03.12.23
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
1
2
W
20.02.22
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
1
1
D
06.03.21
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
2
2
D
19.09.20
H2H
Orense SC
Aucas
2
2
D

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 22 1 3 64:26 38 67
W W W W W
2
Aucas Away
26 13 5 8 30:26 4 44
W L W W L
3 26 12 7 7 45:23 22 43
W D L W D
4 25 12 6 7 33:25 8 42
D W W W W
5 26 12 5 9 26:20 6 41
W W L W W
6 26 10 9 7 28:20 8 39
W D L D L
7 26 9 8 9 28:28 0 35
L W L D W
8 25 9 7 9 28:29 -1 34
D W W W W
9 26 8 9 9 32:34 -2 33
D D W W L
10 26 8 9 9 25:29 -4 33
W D D L D
11 26 9 5 12 22:32 -10 32
D L L L W
12 26 8 6 12 30:39 -9 30
L W D L L
13 26 8 8 10 21:31 -10 29
L W D L L
14 26 8 2 16 23:37 -14 26
L L L L W
15 26 6 6 14 17:28 -11 24
L L D L L
16 26 4 5 17 12:37 -25 17
L L W L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs