SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
07.09.2026 17:05
Behrn Arena
Referee: Adam Ladeback, Sweden
Orebro SK
Match Timeline
Ostersunds FK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
Amar Begić
Ostersunds FK
🟨
36'
Hugo Azzi
Ostersunds FK
50'
M. Watson
Ostersunds FK
🔄
60'
E. Ibrahimbegovic ↔ J. Ortmark
Orebro SK
🔄
68'
E. Ozkan ↔ D. Molls
Ostersunds FK
🔄
75'
C. Edwards ↔ J. Masllorens
Ostersunds FK
🔄
76'
E. Rakip ↔ C. Redenstrand
Orebro SK
🔄
83'
M. Watson ↔ V. Sandberg
Orebro SK
🔄
83'
K. Holmberg ↔ G. Bovalina
Orebro SK
🔄
83'
M. Palomino ↔ A. Stensrud
Ostersunds FK

Orebro SK vs Ostersunds FK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.2%
Odds 2.51
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.86
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.2%
2.51
BTTS Yes
63.2%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.86
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
1.67
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Orebro SK Win 24.3%
Draw 15.5%
Ostersunds FK Win 60.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orebro SK1.3
Ostersunds FK1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orebro SK Orebro SK
WWDLW
39 GF / 40 GA
Ostersunds FK Ostersunds FK
WLDWL
38 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.34
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
16
BTTS Yes
17
16
Over 2.5
13
1.83
Shots on Goal
1.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orebro SK Orebro SK 29 matches
Ostersunds FK Ostersunds FK 29 matches
Orebro SK Statistic Ostersunds FK
9 Wins 11
10 Draws 9
10 Losses 9
39 Goals For 38
40 Goals Against 36
1.34 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
16 BTTS Yes 17
22 Over 1.5 22
16 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 6
10 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 7
1.83 Shots On Goal 1.95
2.67 Total Shots 3.37
1.67 Corners 2.89
25.2% Ball Possession 28.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Ostersunds FK's more proactive style and Orebro SK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ostersunds FK. Ostersunds FK carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 35 points while Orebro SK sit 15 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Orebro SK Analysis

Orebro SK approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 19 points from 20 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats with a 20:32 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ostersunds FK Analysis

Placed 4 with 35 points from 21 outings, Ostersunds FK continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, while the 30:23 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Orebro SK won 6 times, Ostersunds FK won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:22 from Orebro SK's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
Predicted formations: Orebro SK 3-4-3 / Ostersunds FK 3-4-3
H2H summary: Orebro SK wins 6, draws 4, Ostersunds FK wins 5

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 4 4 48:16 32 55
W D W D W
2 25 13 6 6 46:33 13 45
D W W L W
3 25 13 5 7 44:33 11 44
W W L D W
4 25 11 10 4 33:24 9 43
D W D W D
5 25 11 7 7 39:26 13 40
W W L W D
6 25 9 9 7 38:34 4 36
L D W W L
7 25 11 3 11 38:38 0 36
L W L L D
8 25 9 9 7 38:40 -2 36
L D L W L
9 25 9 7 9 41:35 6 34
W D L W D
10 24 8 5 11 36:45 -9 29
L W L D L
11 25 8 5 12 33:45 -12 29
W L W D W
12 24 7 7 10 31:33 -2 28
L W D L D
13 25 5 9 11 27:39 -12 24
L D W L D
14 24 4 11 9 28:35 -7 23
L L L L D
15 25 5 8 12 39:48 -9 23
L D D L L
16 24 5 1 18 16:51 -35 16
L L W W L
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