BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Germano Krüger
Referee: L. Guimaraes
Operario-PR
Match Timeline
Vila Nova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Pablo
Operario-PR
🟨
23'
Dudu Dos Santos
Vila Nova
VAR
35'
Everton Galdino
Vila Nova
🟨
37'
Maxwell
Operario-PR
🟨
45+2'
João Vieira
Vila Nova
🔄
69'
Maxwell ↔ Vinicius Mingotti
Operario-PR
🟨
74'
Moraes Júnior
Operario-PR
🔄
75'
H. Pereira ↔ Aylon
Operario-PR
🔄
83'
Everton Galdino ↔ Nathan Camargo
Vila Nova
🔄
87'
Pablo ↔ Caio Dantas
Operario-PR
🔄
87'
Marquinhos Gabriel ↔ Dodo
Vila Nova
🔄
87'
Janderson ↔ Emerson Urso
Vila Nova
🔄
87'
Andre Luis ↔ Gustavo Puskas
Vila Nova
🔄
88'
A. Torres ↔ Neto Paraiba
Operario-PR

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.3%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Operario-PR Win 66.3%
Draw 11.8%
Vila Nova Win 21.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Operario-PR1.22
Vila Nova1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Operario-PR Operario-PR
WWDLW
30 GF / 31 GA
Vila Nova Vila Nova
WLDWL
35 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
13
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
10
4.48
Shots on Goal
3.96

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Operario-PR Operario-PR 23 matches
Vila Nova Vila Nova 23 matches
Operario-PR Statistic Vila Nova
10 Wins 12
5 Draws 4
8 Losses 7
30 Goals For 35
31 Goals Against 25
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
13 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 16
15 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 6
4.48 Shots On Goal 3.96
14.65 Total Shots 12.96
5.3 Corners 4.96
52.9% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Vila Nova arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Operario-PR expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Vila Nova in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vila Nova having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Vila Nova. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Operario-PR Analysis

Placed 5 with 35 points from 21 outings, Operario-PR continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 29:28 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Gabriel Boschilia (9 goals), Pablo (5 goals), Vinicius Diniz (3 goals), with creative support from Mikael Doka (3 assists), Aylon (2 assists), Gabriel Feliciano (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Vila Nova Analysis

Vila Nova approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 3 with 37 points from 22 matches. Their record of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 29:25, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through João Vieira (3 goals), Ryan Lima (3 goals), Rafael Silva (3 goals), with creative support from Marquinhos Gabriel (6 assists), Janderson (4 assists), João Vieira (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Operario-PR won 1 times, Vila Nova won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:13 from Operario-PR's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Operario-PR 4-3-3 / Vila Nova 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Operario-PR wins 1, draws 6, Vila Nova wins 5

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 25 11 8 6 28:22 6 41
D W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
10 25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17 25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
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