BRAZIL SERIE B
24.05.2026 23:30
Estádio Germano Krüger
Referee: A. Gomes Stefano
Operario-PR
Match Timeline
Criciuma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Neto Paraíba
Operario-PR
🟨
24'
Bruno Alves
Criciuma
🟨
32'
Nicolas
Criciuma
🟨
38'
Matheus Trindade
Operario-PR
🔄
46'
Mikael Doka ↔ Maguinho
Operario-PR
🔄
46'
Nicolas ↔ Waguininho
Criciuma
🔄
46'
Bruno Alves ↔ Willean Lepo
Criciuma
🟨
58'
Fellipe Mateus
Criciuma
🔄
61'
Fellipe Mateus ↔ Gui Lobo
Criciuma
🔄
63'
Aylon ↔ Felipe Augusto
Operario-PR
🔄
70'
R. Otero ↔ Jhonata Robert
Criciuma
🔄
75'
Moraes ↔ Pedro Vilhena
Operario-PR
🔄
75'
Eduardo ↔ Jean Irmer
Criciuma
76'
Marcelo Hermes
Criciuma
🔄
79'
Neto Paraiba ↔ E. Torres
Operario-PR
🔄
79'
Pablo ↔ Caio Dantas
Operario-PR
87'
Matheus Trindade
Operario-PR

Operario-PR vs Criciuma Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Operario-PR Win 55.6%
Draw 0%
Criciuma Win 44.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Operario-PR0.96
Criciuma1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Operario-PR Operario-PR
WWDLW
9 GF / 12 GA
Criciuma Criciuma
WLDWL
10 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
3
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
2
4.78
Shots on Goal
3.44

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Operario-PR Operario-PR 9 matches
Criciuma Criciuma 9 matches
Operario-PR Statistic Criciuma
3 Wins 3
3 Draws 4
3 Losses 2
9 Goals For 10
12 Goals Against 8
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
3 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 2
4.78 Shots On Goal 3.44
13.11 Total Shots 12.89
5.67 Corners 6.22
53.6% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Criciuma's more proactive style and Operario-PR's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Operario-PR have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Criciuma. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Operario-PR expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Criciuma in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Criciuma having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Operario-PR Analysis

With 12 points from 9 games and a place of 12, Operario-PR still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 9:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Gabriel Boschilia (4 goals), Pablo (3 goals), Aylon (1 goals), with creative support from Aylon (2 assists), Mikael Doka (2 assists), Gabriel Boschilia (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Criciuma Analysis

Criciuma are currently 8 in the standings with 13 points from 9 matches. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 10:8 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through Bruno Alves (3 goals), Nicolas (2 goals), Waguininho (2 goals), with creative support from Romarinho (2 assists), Nicolas (1 assists), Rómulo Otero (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Operario-PR won 6 times, Criciuma won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:7 from Operario-PR's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.11 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Operario-PR 4-2-3-1 / Criciuma 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Operario-PR wins 6, draws 2, Criciuma wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 25 11 8 6 28:22 6 41
D W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
10 25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17 25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
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