COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
03.04.2026 01:30
Estadio Palogrande
Referee: Jhon Ospina
Once Caldas
Match Timeline
Independiente Medellin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
E. Larrosa
Independiente Medellin
🔄
46'
K. Tamayo ↔ J. Patino
Once Caldas
🔄
46'
E. Mena Perea ↔ D. Catano
Independiente Medellin
🔄
46'
D. Moreno ↔ B. Perlaza
Independiente Medellin
🟨
63'
A. Serna
Independiente Medellin
🔄
67'
L. Sanchez ↔ J. Alvarado
Once Caldas
🔄
67'
D. Quinones ↔ M. Zuleta
Once Caldas
🔄
68'
J. Montano ↔ Yony Gonzalez
Independiente Medellin
🔄
68'
F. Fabra ↔ H. Palacios
Independiente Medellin
🔄
78'
J. Cardona ↔ K. A. Cuesta Rodriguez
Once Caldas
🔄
79'
A. Serna ↔ D. Moreno
Independiente Medellin
⚽
81'
M. Zuleta · Assist: J. D. Cuesta Santos
Once Caldas
⚽
84'
B. Perlaza · Assist: D. Catano
Independiente Medellin
🟨
86'
D. Catano
Independiente Medellin
🟨
88'
M. Zuleta
Once Caldas
🟨
90'
K. A. Cuesta Rodriguez
Once Caldas
🟨
90+4'
R. Mejia
Once Caldas
🔄
90'
J. Quinones ↔ A. Roa
Once Caldas

Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Once Caldas Win 0%
Draw 0%
Independiente Medellin Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Once Caldas1.48
Independiente Medellin1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Once Caldas Once Caldas
WWDLW
26 GF / 19 GA
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin
WLDWL
27 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
13
BTTS Yes
15
7
Over 2.5
13
5.43
Shots on Goal
4.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Once Caldas Once Caldas 16 matches
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 matches
Once Caldas Statistic Independiente Medellin
6 Wins 7
8 Draws 6
2 Losses 6
26 Goals For 27
19 Goals Against 24
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
13 BTTS Yes 15
15 Over 1.5 16
7 Over 2.5 13
3 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 3
5.43 Shots On Goal 4.76
13.57 Total Shots 14.59
5.21 Corners 5.53
53.2% Ball Possession 51.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Once Caldas won 3 times, Independiente Medellin won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:26 from Once Caldas's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Once Caldas 4-1-4-1 / Independiente Medellin 3-4-3
H2H summary: Once Caldas wins 3, draws 7, Independiente Medellin wins 5

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
D L W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
W W L D D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L W W D L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W D L W D
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L L W L L
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D D L L W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W L W W D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D L L W D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W W W D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D W W D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
D L W D L
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L L D L D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W W D W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L W L L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D L D D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L L D D D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
W L W W L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W L L W W
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W L L D L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L D D L D
Post season qualification