COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Palogrande
Referee: S. Bismark
Once Caldas
Match Timeline
Cucuta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
Jefry Zapata · Assist: Andrés Roa
Once Caldas
🟨
7'
Juan Castaño
Once Caldas
10'
Andrés Roa · Assist: Pipe Gómez
Once Caldas
14'
Michael Barrios · Assist: Jaime Alvarado
Once Caldas
🔄
23'
Kevin Londoño ↔ Marlon Carabali
Cucuta
36'
Lucas Ríos
Cucuta
🔄
46'
Juan Castaño ↔ Daniel Londoño
Once Caldas
🔄
54'
Jader Quinones ↔ Andres Colorado
Once Caldas
🔄
58'
Juan Ceballos ↔ Samir Mayo
Cucuta
🔄
58'
Mauricio Duarte ↔ Dayan Pérez
Cucuta
🟨
63'
Diego Calcaterra
Cucuta
🔄
65'
Jefry Zapata ↔ Dayro Moreno
Once Caldas
🔄
66'
Pipe Gómez ↔ Edwin Torres
Once Caldas
🟨
67'
Andres Correa
Once Caldas
🔄
68'
Lucas Ríos ↔ Jhonatan Agudelo
Cucuta
🔄
75'
Andrés Roa ↔ Mateo Zuleta
Once Caldas
87'
Mateo Zuleta · Assist: Juan David Cuesta
Once Caldas
90+3'
Dayro Moreno · Assist: Juan David Cuesta
Once Caldas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.7%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Once Caldas Win 72.7%
Draw 10.4%
Cucuta Win 16.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Once Caldas1.61
Cucuta1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Once Caldas Once Caldas
WWDLW
34 GF / 26 GA
Cucuta Cucuta
WLDWL
23 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
17
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
10
5.48
Shots on Goal
3.37

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Once Caldas Once Caldas 23 matches
Cucuta Cucuta 20 matches
Once Caldas Statistic Cucuta
8 Wins 3
12 Draws 8
3 Losses 9
34 Goals For 23
26 Goals Against 36
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
17 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 18
10 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 5
5.48 Shots On Goal 3.37
14.14 Total Shots 7.89
5.38 Corners 3.84
53.8% Ball Possession 44.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Once Caldas's more proactive style and Cucuta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Once Caldas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 34 points compared to Cucuta in 19 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Once Caldas expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cucuta in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cucuta having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cucuta. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Once Caldas Analysis

Once Caldas arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 34 points after 21 matches. The record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 33:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Cucuta Analysis

With 16 points from 19 games and a place of 19, Cucuta still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats with a 22:35 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Once Caldas won 3 times, Cucuta won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:9 from Once Caldas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.6%)
Predicted formations: Once Caldas 4-2-3-1 / Cucuta 4-4-2
H2H summary: Once Caldas wins 3, draws 2, Cucuta wins 2
Stats
Once Caldas Once Caldas
Cucuta Cucuta
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
14
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
7 Corner Kicks 10
15 Fouls 3
1 Offsides 0
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 25
8 Shots on Goal 6
6 Shots off Goal 14
2 Blocked Shots 5
10 Shots insidebox 18
6 Shots outsidebox 7
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
351 Total passes 476
286 Passes accurate 419
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Once Caldas
Formation
Cucuta
Felipe Parra
Felipe Parra
Juan David Cuesta
🎯
Juan David Cuesta
Juan Castaño
Juan Castaño
Jorge Cardona
Jorge Cardona
Andres Correa
Andres Correa
Andrés Roa
🎯
Andrés Roa
Michael Barrios
Michael Barrios
Jaime Alvarado
🎯
Jaime Alvarado
Jader Quinones
Jader Quinones
Pipe Gómez
🎯
Pipe Gómez
Jefry Zapata
Jefry Zapata
Federico Abadía
Federico Abadía
Sebastián Tamara
Sebastián Tamara
Diego Calcaterra
Diego Calcaterra
Victor Mejia
Victor Mejia
Hernán Lópes
Hernán Lópes
Mauricio Duarte
Mauricio Duarte
Leider Berdugo
Leider Berdugo
Kevin Londoño
Kevin Londoño
Juan Ceballos
Juan Ceballos
Lucas Ríos
Lucas Ríos
Jaime Peralta
Jaime Peralta
Once Caldas 4-5-1
Starting XI
99
Felipe Parra
G
22
Juan David Cuesta
🎯 87' 🎯 90+3'
D
16
Juan Castaño
↓ 46' 🟨 7'
D
2
Jorge Cardona
D
3
Andres Correa
🟨 67'
D
20
Andrés Roa
⚽ 10' 🎯 2' ↓ 75'
M
7
Michael Barrios
⚽ 14'
M
15
Jaime Alvarado
🎯 14'
M
42
Jader Quinones
↓ 54'
M
9
Pipe Gómez
🎯 10' ↓ 66'
M
14
Jefry Zapata
⚽ 2' ↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
30
Daniel Londoño
↑ 46'
D
23
Andres Colorado
↑ 54'
M
17
Dayro Moreno
⚽ 90+3' ↑ 65'
F
29
Edwin Torres
↑ 66'
F
28
Mateo Zuleta
⚽ 87' ↑ 75'
M
25
Juan Gallego
G
4
Efraín Navarro
D
19
Tomas García
M
21
Helieyker Guzman
F
Cucuta 5-4-1
Starting XI
12
Federico Abadía
G
33
Sebastián Tamara
D
3
Diego Calcaterra
🟨 63'
D
5
Victor Mejia
D
2
Hernán Lópes
D
27
Mauricio Duarte
↓ 58'
D
10
Leider Berdugo
M
16
Kevin Londoño
↓ 23'
M
8
Juan Ceballos
↓ 58'
M
29
Lucas Ríos
⚽ 36' ↓ 68'
M
9
Jaime Peralta
F
Substitutes
21
Marlon Carabali
F
20
Dayan Pérez
↑ 58'
F
23
Samir Mayo
↑ 58'
D
32
Jhonatan Agudelo
↑ 68'
F
1
Juan David Ramírez
G
4
Jhon Quiñónes
F
17
Leison Ochoa
D
Last matches: Once Caldas
09.08.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Jaguares
1
1
D
06.08.26
Pri
Once Caldas
America de Cali
0
1
L
03.08.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Santa Fe
2
2
D
14.05.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
2
2
D
10.05.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Águilas Doradas
2
2
D
20.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Internacional de Bogota
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pereira
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
30.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Llaneros
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Millonarios
1
4
L
19.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Bucaramanga
1
1
D
13.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pasto
4
2
W
07.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Cali
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Chico
3
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Fortaleza FC
4
2
W
15.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportes Tolima
1
2
L
12.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
Last matches: Cucuta
19.08.26
Pri
Cucuta
Internacional de Bogota
1
1
D
08.08.26
Pri
Cucuta
Fortaleza FC
0
2
L
04.08.26
Pri
Cucuta
Bucaramanga
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Cucuta
Jaguares
0
2
L
24.04.26
Pri
Cucuta
Junior
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Cucuta
Santa Fe
0
5
L
05.04.26
Pri
Cucuta
America de Cali
2
0
W
02.04.26
Pri
Cucuta
Atletico Nacional
0
0
D
28.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Chico
1
0
W
24.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Deportivo Pereira
2
2
D
17.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Llaneros
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Deportivo Cali
0
2
L
09.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Millonarios
0
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Deportivo Pasto
2
3
L
23.02.26
Pri
Cucuta
Deportes Tolima
3
2
W
17.02.26
Pri
Cucuta
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pri
Cucuta
Independiente Medellin
1
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
Cucuta
Águilas Doradas
2
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Cucuta
Fortaleza FC
1
1
D
27.01.26
Pri
Cucuta
Bucaramanga
2
2
D
H2H: Once Caldas vs Cucuta
27.07.26
H2H
Once Caldas
Cucuta
5
1
W
19.01.26
H2H
Cucuta
Once Caldas
1
2
W
23.02.23
H2H
Once Caldas
Cucuta
1
0
W
16.02.23
H2H
Cucuta
Once Caldas
3
1
L
14.10.20
H2H
Once Caldas
Cucuta
1
1
D
03.08.19
H2H
Cucuta
Once Caldas
1
1
D
12.02.19
H2H
Once Caldas
Cucuta
1
2
L
Last matches: Once Caldas
06.08.26
Pri
Once Caldas
America de Cali
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional
1
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Internacional de Bogota
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Millonarios
1
4
L
13.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pasto
4
2
W
28.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Chico
3
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Fortaleza FC
4
2
W
12.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Jaguares
1
1
D
26.01.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Santa Fe
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pasto
1
0
W
26.10.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Union Magdalena
1
0
W
13.10.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Independiente Medellin
1
5
L
26.09.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Chico
5
2
W
13.09.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Envigado
1
0
W
06.09.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
24.08.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportes Tolima
0
1
L
09.08.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Águilas Doradas
1
1
D
H2H at home: Once Caldas
27.07.26
H2H
Once Caldas
Cucuta
5
1
W
23.02.23
H2H
Once Caldas
Cucuta
1
0
W
14.10.20
H2H
Once Caldas
Cucuta
1
1
D
12.02.19
H2H
Once Caldas
Cucuta
1
2
L
Last matches: Cucuta
08.08.26
Pri
Cucuta
Fortaleza FC
0
2
L
04.08.26
Pri
Cucuta
Bucaramanga
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Cucuta
Jaguares
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cucuta
Santa Fe
0
5
L
02.04.26
Pri
Cucuta
Atletico Nacional
0
0
D
24.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Deportivo Pereira
2
2
D
17.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Llaneros
2
2
D
09.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Millonarios
0
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Deportivo Pasto
2
3
L
17.02.26
Pri
Cucuta
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pri
Cucuta
Águilas Doradas
2
3
L
23.01.26
Pri
Cucuta
Internacional de Bogota
1
2
L
28.11.25
Pri
Cucuta
Real Cundinamarca
0
1
L
19.11.25
Pri
Cucuta
Huila
0
2
L
15.11.25
Pri
Cucuta
Jaguares
2
1
W
01.11.25
Pri
Cucuta
Internacional Palmira
1
0
W
19.10.25
Pri
Cucuta
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
10.10.25
Pri
Cucuta
Real Santander
2
0
W
30.09.25
Pri
Cucuta
Depor FC
0
0
D
15.09.25
Pri
Cucuta
Barranquilla
2
1
W
H2H away: Cucuta
27.07.26
H2H
Once Caldas
Cucuta
5
1
L
23.02.23
H2H
Once Caldas
Cucuta
1
0
L
14.10.20
H2H
Once Caldas
Cucuta
1
1
D
12.02.19
H2H
Once Caldas
Cucuta
1
2
W

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
L W W L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L L W W
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L L L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W W W L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D L D W D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
W L W W L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D L L D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D L W L L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W L W D W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W L D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D W W W D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W L
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
D W D W L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
W L D D W
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
W D L L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L L D D D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L L W L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
D L D L L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L L W L
Post season qualification