COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
06.08.2026 01:30
Estadio Palogrande
Referee: Jhon Alexander Ospina Londono, Colombia
Once Caldas
Match Timeline
America de Cali
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Josen Escobar
America de Cali
🟨
24'
Michael Barrios
Once Caldas
VAR
37'
Juan David Cuesta
Once Caldas
VAR
44'
Jefry Zapata
Once Caldas
🟥
45'
Jefry Zapata
Once Caldas
🟨
45+1'
Luis Quiñones
America de Cali
🟨
50'
Dany Rosero
America de Cali
🟨
51'
Yeison Guzmán
America de Cali
🔄
62'
J. Alvarado ↔ J. Quinones
Once Caldas
🔄
68'
T. Angel ↔ A. Ramos
America de Cali
🔄
68'
J. Escobar ↔ Y. Quintero
America de Cali
🔄
70'
A. Roa ↔ M. Zuleta
Once Caldas
🔄
71'
P. Gomez ↔ D. Moreno
Once Caldas
71'
D. Rosero · Assist: L. Quinones
America de Cali
🔄
77'
L. Quinones ↔ E. Tortolero
America de Cali
🟨
80'
Jader Quinones
Once Caldas
🔄
82'
M. Barrios ↔ E. Torres
Once Caldas
🔄
83'
M. Castillo ↔ B. Cordoba
America de Cali
🔄
83'
J. Palacios ↔ M. Mina
America de Cali

Once Caldas vs America de Cali Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 63.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
63.4%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Once Caldas Win 45%
Draw 18.4%
America de Cali Win 36.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Once Caldas1.32
America de Cali1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Once Caldas Once Caldas
WWDLW
41 GF / 29 GA
America de Cali America de Cali
WLDWL
39 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
19
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
11
5.74
Shots on Goal
4.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Once Caldas Once Caldas 25 matches
America de Cali America de Cali 27 matches
Once Caldas Statistic America de Cali
9 Wins 14
13 Draws 5
3 Losses 8
41 Goals For 39
29 Goals Against 23
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
19 BTTS Yes 10
21 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 13
3 Failed To Score 5
5.74 Shots On Goal 4.61
14.57 Total Shots 13.43
5.39 Corners 3.65
53.5% Ball Possession 55.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward America de Cali. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Once Caldas expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and America de Cali in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward America de Cali having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Once Caldas Analysis

Placed 5 with 33 points from 19 outings, Once Caldas continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses, while the 31:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Andrés Roa (1 goals), Michael Barrios (1 goals), Jefry Zapata (1 goals), with creative support from Juan David Cuesta (2 assists), Andrés Roa (1 assists), Jaime Alvarado (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

America de Cali Analysis

Placed 4 with 33 points from 19 outings, America de Cali continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 25:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Yeison Guzmán (1 goals), Tilman Palacios (1 goals), with creative support from Luis Quiñones (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Once Caldas won 2 times, America de Cali won 5 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:15 from Once Caldas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.6%)
Predicted formations: Once Caldas 4-2-3-1 / America de Cali 4-4-2
H2H summary: Once Caldas wins 2, draws 8, America de Cali wins 5

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D D L D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L D L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W D W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L L W D D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L W W D W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D W D D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
W D D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D D L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D L D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L D D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
W L L L D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W W D D L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
D L W W D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L D L W D
Post season qualification