COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Palogrande

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 63.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
63.4%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Once Caldas Win 45%
Draw 18.4%
America de Cali Win 36.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Once Caldas1.33
America de Cali1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Once Caldas Once Caldas
WWDLW
39 GF / 27 GA
America de Cali America de Cali
WLDWL
32 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.23
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
18
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
10
5.59
Shots on Goal
4.32

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Once Caldas Once Caldas 24 matches
America de Cali America de Cali 26 matches
Once Caldas Statistic America de Cali
9 Wins 13
12 Draws 5
3 Losses 8
39 Goals For 32
27 Goals Against 23
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
18 BTTS Yes 10
20 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 12
3 Failed To Score 5
5.59 Shots On Goal 4.32
14.23 Total Shots 13.32
5.45 Corners 3.45
53.2% Ball Possession 55%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward America de Cali. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Once Caldas expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and America de Cali in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward America de Cali having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Once Caldas Analysis

Placed 5 with 33 points from 19 outings, Once Caldas continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses, while the 31:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Andrés Roa (1 goals), Michael Barrios (1 goals), Jefry Zapata (1 goals), with creative support from Juan David Cuesta (2 assists), Andrés Roa (1 assists), Jaime Alvarado (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

America de Cali Analysis

Placed 4 with 33 points from 19 outings, America de Cali continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 25:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Yeison Guzmán (1 goals), Tilman Palacios (1 goals), with creative support from Luis Quiñones (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Once Caldas won 2 times, America de Cali won 4 times, while 9 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from Once Caldas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.6%)
Predicted formations: Once Caldas 4-2-3-1 / America de Cali 4-4-2
H2H summary: Once Caldas wins 2, draws 9, America de Cali wins 4
Last matches: Once Caldas
27.07.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Cucuta
5
1
W
14.05.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
2
2
D
10.05.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Águilas Doradas
2
2
D
20.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Internacional de Bogota
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pereira
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
30.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Llaneros
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Millonarios
1
4
L
19.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Bucaramanga
1
1
D
13.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pasto
4
2
W
07.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Cali
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Chico
3
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Fortaleza FC
4
2
W
15.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportes Tolima
1
2
L
12.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Jaguares
1
1
D
30.01.26
Pri
Once Caldas
America de Cali
1
1
D
Last matches: America de Cali
26.07.26
Pri
America de Cali
Internacional de Bogota
2
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
America de Cali
Houston Dynamo
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
America de Cali
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
America de Cali
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pri
America de Cali
Santa Fe
0
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
America de Cali
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportivo Cali
0
1
L
23.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Fortaleza FC
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Millonarios
3
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Cucuta
0
2
L
02.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Bucaramanga
2
0
W
30.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
26.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Llaneros
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Águilas Doradas
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportes Tolima
1
1
D
10.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportivo Pasto
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
America de Cali
Alianza Valledupar
3
0
W
23.02.26
Pri
America de Cali
Jaguares
3
0
W
19.02.26
Pri
America de Cali
Junior
1
2
L
H2H: Once Caldas vs America de Cali
30.01.26
H2H
America de Cali
Once Caldas
1
1
D
14.01.26
H2H
America de Cali
Once Caldas
1
1
D
20.09.25
H2H
America de Cali
Once Caldas
2
1
L
05.04.25
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
3
0
W
04.12.24
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
3
0
W
24.11.24
H2H
America de Cali
Once Caldas
1
1
D
15.11.24
H2H
America de Cali
Once Caldas
3
0
L
28.04.24
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
0
0
D
26.10.23
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
1
1
D
14.05.23
H2H
America de Cali
Once Caldas
0
0
D
27.08.22
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
1
1
D
28.02.22
H2H
America de Cali
Once Caldas
2
0
L
07.08.21
H2H
America de Cali
Once Caldas
1
0
L
21.03.21
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
1
1
D
07.03.20
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
1
1
D
Last matches: Once Caldas
27.07.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Cucuta
5
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional
1
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Internacional de Bogota
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Millonarios
1
4
L
13.03.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pasto
4
2
W
28.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Chico
3
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Fortaleza FC
4
2
W
12.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Junior
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Jaguares
1
1
D
26.01.26
Pri
Once Caldas
Santa Fe
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pasto
1
0
W
26.10.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Union Magdalena
1
0
W
13.10.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Independiente Medellin
1
5
L
26.09.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Chico
5
2
W
13.09.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Envigado
1
0
W
06.09.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
24.08.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Deportes Tolima
0
1
L
09.08.25
Pri
Once Caldas
Águilas Doradas
1
1
D
H2H at home: Once Caldas
05.04.25
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
3
0
W
04.12.24
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
3
0
W
28.04.24
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
0
0
D
26.10.23
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
1
1
D
27.08.22
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
1
1
D
21.03.21
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
1
1
D
07.03.20
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
1
1
D
Last matches: America de Cali
26.07.26
Pri
America de Cali
Internacional de Bogota
2
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
America de Cali
Houston Dynamo
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
America de Cali
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
America de Cali
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pri
America de Cali
Santa Fe
0
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportivo Cali
0
1
L
23.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Fortaleza FC
2
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
America de Cali
Cucuta
0
2
L
30.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
1
2
L
20.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Águilas Doradas
1
0
W
10.03.26
Pri
America de Cali
Deportivo Pasto
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
America de Cali
Alianza Valledupar
3
0
W
19.02.26
Pri
America de Cali
Junior
1
2
L
05.02.26
Pri
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
1
2
L
25.01.26
Pri
America de Cali
Chico
1
0
W
05.12.25
Pri
America de Cali
Junior
1
2
L
02.12.25
Pri
America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
1
1
D
21.11.25
Pri
America de Cali
Atletico Nacional
0
1
L
14.11.25
Pri
America de Cali
Independiente Medellin
0
3
L
06.11.25
Pri
America de Cali
Chico
2
0
W
H2H away: America de Cali
05.04.25
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
3
0
L
04.12.24
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
3
0
L
28.04.24
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
0
0
D
26.10.23
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
1
1
D
27.08.22
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
1
1
D
21.03.21
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
1
1
D
07.03.20
H2H
Once Caldas
America de Cali
1
1
D

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W L W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L W W D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L L L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W L D W L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W D L W D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
W L L W W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
L L D W D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L L L L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D W L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
L D W L D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W L W W W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W W D L L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
D W L D L
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
D W L D L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D W L L W
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L W D L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D D D L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W L L W L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L D L W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L L W L D
Post season qualification