FINLAND YKKöNEN
28.06.2026 15:30
Raatin stadion
OLS
Match Timeline
KuPS Akatemia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
K. Jatta
OLS
13'
N. Oksanen
KuPS Akatemia
16'
M. Ajoung
OLS
🟨
18'
J. Omotayo
OLS
🟨
42'
I. Arvola
OLS
🔄
57'
V. Lahtela ↔ O. Balde
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
57'
R. Tikkanen ↔ N. Mattila
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
61'
A. Kone ↔ O. Lamsa
OLS
🔄
68'
P. Hautakangas ↔ K. Prince Ume
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
68'
D. Huttunen ↔ A. Leivonen
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
71'
O. Balde
KuPS Akatemia
🔄
74'
K. Jatta ↔ E. Merikanto
OLS
🔄
74'
J. Omotayo ↔ L. Teppo
OLS
🔄
74'
J. Polvi ↔ A. Korkala
OLS
🔄
82'
P. Tuomainen ↔ E. Karkkainen
KuPS Akatemia
🟨
87'
N. Mattila
KuPS Akatemia
90'
N. Mattila
KuPS Akatemia

OLS vs KuPS Akatemia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
OLS Win 88%
Draw 6%
KuPS Akatemia Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
OLS2.02
KuPS Akatemia1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
OLS OLS
WWDLW
23 GF / 13 GA
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
WLDWL
16 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
2.17
6
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

OLS OLS 12 matches
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia 12 matches
OLS Statistic KuPS Akatemia
6 Wins 2
3 Draws 1
3 Losses 9
23 Goals For 16
13 Goals Against 26
1.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 2.17
6 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around OLS's more proactive style and KuPS Akatemia's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KuPS Akatemia having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors KuPS Akatemia. OLS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 21 points compared to KuPS Akatemia in 10 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

OLS Analysis

With 21 points from 12 games and a place of 3, OLS still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats with a 23:13 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Raittinen (11 goals), A. Kone (2 goals), K. Jatta (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

KuPS Akatemia Analysis

KuPS Akatemia approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 7 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 16:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Huttunen (2 goals), J. Kivijarvi (2 goals), K. Prince Ume (2 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, OLS won 8 times, KuPS Akatemia won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:13 from OLS's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 4.3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
H2H summary: OLS wins 8, draws 1, KuPS Akatemia wins 1

Standings

Group Stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 14 5 4 50:20 30 47
W L W D D
2 23 11 8 4 48:33 15 41
D W L D W
3 23 11 6 6 45:38 7 39
W W W L D
4 23 10 6 7 35:29 6 36
W W D W D
5 23 9 8 6 42:33 9 35
L W D D W
6
OLS Home
23 9 8 6 44:36 8 35
D W L D D
7 23 8 10 5 40:32 8 34
W L D D W
8 23 8 7 8 54:46 8 31
L W D D D
9 23 7 6 10 34:42 -8 27
W L W D D
10 23 5 5 13 33:53 -20 20
L L L L L
11 23 3 6 14 39:55 -16 15
L L W D L
12 23 4 3 16 24:71 -47 15
L L L W L