NORWAY ELITESERIEN
13.09.2026 15:00
Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.4%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bodo/Glimt Win 84.4%
Draw 3.4%
Sandefjord Win 12.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bodo/Glimt2.22
Sandefjord1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
WWDLW
77 GF / 23 GA
Sandefjord Sandefjord
WLDWL
37 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
2.85
Average Goals Scored
1.28
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
12
BTTS Yes
15
22
Over 2.5
15
6.43
Shots on Goal
4.21

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 27 matches
Sandefjord Sandefjord 29 matches
Bodo/Glimt Statistic Sandefjord
22 Wins 12
3 Draws 7
2 Losses 10
77 Goals For 37
23 Goals Against 37
2.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
12 BTTS Yes 15
25 Over 1.5 20
22 Over 2.5 15
15 Over 3.5 8
13 Clean Sheets 9
2 Failed To Score 7
6.43 Shots On Goal 4.21
16.87 Total Shots 14.21
7.04 Corners 5.68
63% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Bodo/Glimt's more proactive style and Sandefjord's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sandefjord. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bodo/Glimt expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Sandefjord in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sandefjord having the stronger overall control. Bodo/Glimt come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Bodo/Glimt arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 47 points compared to Sandefjord in 12 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Bodo/Glimt Analysis

Bodo/Glimt approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 47 points after 19 outings. With 15 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 49:15, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Helmersen (8 goals), Kasper Høgh (7 goals), Håkon Evjen (5 goals), with creative support from O. Didrik Blomberg (5 assists), Kasper Høgh (4 assists), S. Auklend (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Sandefjord Analysis

Sandefjord sit 12 with 20 points after 19 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 16:24 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Patoulidis (3 goals), Nikolaj Möller (3 goals), Sebastian Holm Mathisen (2 goals), with creative support from A. Foster (2 assists), V. Egeli (2 assists), E. Pettersen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Bodo/Glimt won 10 times, Sandefjord won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:14 from Bodo/Glimt's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.31 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
Predicted formations: Bodo/Glimt 4-4-2 / Sandefjord 5-4-1
H2H summary: Bodo/Glimt wins 10, draws 1, Sandefjord wins 2

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 15 2 2 49:15 34 47
W W W W W
2 19 14 2 3 43:19 24 44
D W L W W
3 19 10 5 4 34:22 12 35
L D L W W
4 19 10 3 6 38:29 9 33
W W W L D
5 19 9 2 8 26:26 0 29
W L D L L
6 19 8 3 8 31:26 5 27
W L W W L
7 19 8 2 9 37:29 8 26
L D W W L
8 19 8 2 9 23:30 -7 26
L W W W W
9 19 6 6 7 22:25 -3 24
D D L L D
10 19 6 5 8 26:36 -10 23
L D L D W
11 19 6 4 9 33:40 -7 22
D L D L L
12 19 5 5 9 16:24 -8 20
D D W L L
13 19 5 4 10 19:29 -10 19
W D L W L
14 19 5 4 10 20:33 -13 19
L L D W W
15 19 3 9 7 30:43 -13 18
W L D D L
16 19 3 4 12 20:41 -21 13
L W L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen