SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
10.09.2026 17:00
Jamtkraft Arena
Ostersunds FK
Match Timeline
IK brage
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
40'
Curtis Edwards
Ostersunds FK
🔄
59'
Alex Mortensen ↔ mass sise
IK brage
🔄
70'
Pontus Jonsson ↔ Gideon Granstrom
IK brage
🔄
70'
Anton Lundin ↔ Ozor Victor Okeke
IK brage
🔄
76'
Jabir Abdihakim Ali ↔ Mario Palomino
Ostersunds FK
86'
Amar Begic
Ostersunds FK
🔄
87'
Lasse Bruun Madsen ↔ Jakob Römo Skille
IK brage
🔄
90'
Curtis Edwards ↔ Molls Donald Ntchamda
Ostersunds FK
🔄
90'
Emil Özkan ↔ José Masllorens
Ostersunds FK
🟨
90+3'
Jacob Stensson
IK brage
90+3'
Viktor Frodig · Assist: Albin Sporrong
IK brage

Ostersunds FK vs IK brage Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.6%
Odds 1.82
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.97
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.6%
1.82
BTTS Yes
63.2%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.97
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
87.5%
1.37
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Ostersunds FK Win 82.6%
Draw 10.1%
IK brage Win 7.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ostersunds FK1.48
IK brage1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ostersunds FK Ostersunds FK
WWDLW
39 GF / 36 GA
IK brage IK brage
WLDWL
44 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.74
17
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
19
1.9
Shots on Goal
1.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ostersunds FK Ostersunds FK 30 matches
IK brage IK brage 27 matches
Ostersunds FK Statistic IK brage
12 Wins 10
9 Draws 6
9 Losses 11
39 Goals For 44
36 Goals Against 47
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.74
17 BTTS Yes 17
22 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 19
6 Over 3.5 12
8 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 6
1.9 Shots On Goal 1.58
3.5 Total Shots 2.95
2.8 Corners 2.26
29% Ball Possession 25.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Ostersunds FK's more proactive style and IK brage's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ostersunds FK expected to line up in 3-4-3 and IK brage in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward IK brage having the stronger overall control. Ostersunds FK arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 35 points compared to IK brage in 14 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors IK brage. IK brage arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ostersunds FK Analysis

Ostersunds FK come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 35 points from 21 matches. The record of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 30:23 goal balance, points toward mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

IK brage Analysis

IK brage sit 14 with 21 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 35:42, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Felix Hörberg (2 goals), Albin Sporrong (1 goals), Gideon Granström (1 goals), with creative support from Albin Sporrong (1 assists), Alexander Zetterstrom (1 assists), Gustav Berggren (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Ostersunds FK won 4 times, IK brage won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:11 from Ostersunds FK's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.6%)
Predicted formations: Ostersunds FK 3-4-3 / IK brage 4-3-3
H2H summary: Ostersunds FK wins 4, draws 1, IK brage wins 4

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 4 4 48:16 32 55
W D W D W
2 25 13 6 6 46:33 13 45
D W W L W
3 25 13 5 7 44:33 11 44
W W L D W
4 25 11 10 4 33:24 9 43
D W D W D
5 25 11 7 7 39:26 13 40
W W L W D
6 25 9 9 7 38:34 4 36
L D W W L
7 25 11 3 11 38:38 0 36
L W L L D
8 25 9 9 7 38:40 -2 36
L D L W L
9 25 9 7 9 41:35 6 34
W D L W D
10 25 8 6 11 36:45 -9 30
D L W L D
11 25 8 5 12 33:45 -12 29
W L W D W
12 25 7 7 11 33:36 -3 28
L L W D L
13 25 4 12 9 28:35 -7 24
D L L L L
14 25 5 9 11 27:39 -12 24
L D W L D
15 25 5 8 12 39:48 -9 23
L D D L L
16 25 6 1 18 19:53 -34 19
W L L W W
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