ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Nueva Chicago
Nueva Chicago
Match Timeline
San Martin Tucuman
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
T. Ocampo · Assist: M. Rogoski
Nueva Chicago
🟨
25'
M. Rogoski
Nueva Chicago
28'
M. Veron · Assist: A. Veliez
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
31'
A. Gonzalez
Nueva Chicago
🟨
49'
G. Paz
Nueva Chicago
🟨
51'
N. Ferreyra
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
56'
M. Rogoski ↔ M. Perez
Nueva Chicago
🔄
56'
L. Ambrogio ↔ D. Barros
Nueva Chicago
🟥
62'
S. Brinone
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
64'
G. Carabajal ↔ M. Rios
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
68'
E. Roldan ↔ F. Castro
Nueva Chicago
🔄
68'
S. Cocimano ↔ A. Ruiz
Nueva Chicago
🟨
75'
A. Graneros
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
76'
T. Ocampo
Nueva Chicago
🔄
76'
A. Veliez ↔ G. Monroy
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
76'
A. Graneros ↔ A. Cisnero
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
76'
B. Cabrera ↔ N. Castro
San Martin Tucuman
84'
M. Perez · Assist: A. Ruiz
Nueva Chicago
🔄
87'
T. Ocampo ↔ R. E. Zalazar
Nueva Chicago
🔄
89'
R. Ayala ↔ G. Rodriguez
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
90'
E. Parnisari
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
90+1'
A. Ruiz
Nueva Chicago
🟨
90+4'
L. Jachfe
Nueva Chicago

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.8%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nueva Chicago Win 56.8%
Draw 5.8%
San Martin Tucuman Win 37.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nueva Chicago0.82
San Martin Tucuman0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
WWDLW
18 GF / 19 GA
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman
WLDWL
21 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
0.88
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
7
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 21 matches
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 24 matches
Nueva Chicago Statistic San Martin Tucuman
6 Wins 7
8 Draws 11
7 Losses 6
18 Goals For 21
19 Goals Against 18
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
7 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 15
6 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 1
9 Clean Sheets 11
10 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights San Martin Tucuman's more proactive style and Nueva Chicago's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Martin Tucuman having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Martin Tucuman. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Nueva Chicago Analysis

Nueva Chicago are currently 10 in the standings with 26 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, while the 18:18 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Martin Tucuman Analysis

San Martin Tucuman are currently 6 in the standings with 30 points from 21 matches. The record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 19:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Nueva Chicago won 3 times, San Martin Tucuman won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:12 from Nueva Chicago's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.9 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Nueva Chicago 4-1-4-1 / San Martin Tucuman -
H2H summary: Nueva Chicago wins 3, draws 2, San Martin Tucuman wins 5

Lineups

Nueva Chicago
Formation
San Martin Tucuman
L. Jachfe
L. Jachfe
D. Gissi
D. Gissi
G. Ferracutti
G. Ferracutti
I. Antunes
I. Antunes
G. Paz
G. Paz
E. Roldan
E. Roldan
A. Gonzalez
A. Gonzalez
M. Rogoski
🎯
M. Rogoski
L. Ambrogio
L. Ambrogio
T. Ocampo
T. Ocampo
S. Cocimano
S. Cocimano
N. Manganelli
N. Manganelli
N. Ferreyra
N. Ferreyra
R. Ayala
R. Ayala
V. Salazar
V. Salazar
E. Parnisari
E. Parnisari
S. Brinone
S. Brinone
A. Graneros
A. Graneros
G. Carabajal
G. Carabajal
B. Cabrera
B. Cabrera
A. Veliez
🎯
A. Veliez
M. Veron
M. Veron
Nueva Chicago 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
L. Jachfe
🟨 90+4'
2
D. Gissi
3
G. Ferracutti
4
I. Antunes
6
G. Paz
🟨 49'
5
E. Roldan
↓ 68'
8
A. Gonzalez
🟨 31'
10
M. Rogoski
🎯 17' ↓ 56' 🟨 25'
11
L. Ambrogio
↓ 56'
7
T. Ocampo
⚽ 17' ↓ 87' 🟨 76'
9
S. Cocimano
↓ 68'
Substitutes
12
F. Masuero
14
R. E. Zalazar
↑ 87'
15
T. Rodriguez
16
G. Trindade
17
M. Perez
⚽ 84' ↑ 56'
18
F. Castro
↑ 68'
19
D. Barros
↑ 56'
20
A. Ruiz
🎯 84' ↑ 68' 🟨 90+1'
13
G. Velozo
San Martin Tucuman 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
N. Manganelli
2
N. Ferreyra
🟨 51'
3
R. Ayala
↓ 89'
4
V. Salazar
6
E. Parnisari
🟨 90'
5
S. Brinone
🟥 62'
8
A. Graneros
↓ 76' 🟨 75'
10
G. Carabajal
↓ 64'
11
B. Cabrera
↓ 76'
7
A. Veliez
🎯 28' ↓ 76'
9
M. Veron
⚽ 28'
Substitutes
12
D. Sand
13
G. Rodriguez
14
G. Monroy
↑ 76'
15
A. Cisnero
↑ 76'
16
J. Juarez
17
M. Garcia
18
N. Castro
↑ 76'
19
G. Rodriguez
↑ 89'
20
M. Rios
↑ 64'
Last matches: Nueva Chicago
29.08.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Midland
0
2
L
22.08.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Atlanta
0
1
L
17.08.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
All Boys
0
1
L
09.08.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
2
L
25.07.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
17.07.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Agropecuario
1
1
D
11.07.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
04.07.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
23.06.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
17.06.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
4
L
13.06.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Chacarita Juniors
2
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Temperley
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Deportivo Maipu
0
1
L
11.05.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Almagro
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Patronato
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Colegiales
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Quilmes
0
0
D
13.04.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Midland
2
2
D
08.04.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Atlanta
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
All Boys
0
0
D
Last matches: San Martin Tucuman
23.08.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Chacarita Juniors
2
1
W
16.08.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Madryn
2
2
D
09.08.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin S.J.
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Temperley
1
2
L
17.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Maipu
0
0
D
12.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
3
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Patronato
1
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Temperley
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Colegiales
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Quilmes
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Midland
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atlanta
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
13.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Jujuy
2
0
W
09.05.26
Cop
San Martin Tucuman
Banfield
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Agropecuario
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
07.04.26
Cop
San Martin Tucuman
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
0
D
H2H: Nueva Chicago vs San Martin Tucuman
01.08.26
H2H
Nueva Chicago
San Martin Tucuman
2
1
W
15.03.26
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Nueva Chicago
2
0
L
25.06.23
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Nueva Chicago
1
1
D
20.02.23
H2H
Nueva Chicago
San Martin Tucuman
1
0
W
23.03.22
H2H
Nueva Chicago
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
30.08.21
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Nueva Chicago
3
1
L
19.04.21
H2H
Nueva Chicago
San Martin Tucuman
0
1
L
03.03.18
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Nueva Chicago
2
1
L
29.07.17
H2H
San Martin Tucuman
Nueva Chicago
2
0
L
20.03.17
H2H
Nueva Chicago
San Martin Tucuman
1
0
W
Last matches: Nueva Chicago
22.08.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Atlanta
0
1
L
17.07.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Agropecuario
1
1
D
04.07.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
23.06.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
13.06.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Chacarita Juniors
2
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Temperley
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Almagro
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Colegiales
0
0
D
13.04.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Midland
2
2
D
29.03.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
All Boys
0
0
D
23.03.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Gimnasia Y Tiro
3
1
W
21.02.26
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
24.05.14
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Comunicaciones
0
1
L
14.05.14
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
03.05.14
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Fénix
3
0
W
22.04.14
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Chacarita Juniors
1
3
L
12.04.14
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Villa Dalmine
2
0
W
29.03.14
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Platense
3
1
W
18.03.14
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Los Andes
3
2
W
08.03.14
Pri
Nueva Chicago
Defensores De Belgrano
1
0
W
H2H at home: Nueva Chicago
01.08.26
H2H
Nueva Chicago
San Martin Tucuman
2
1
W
20.02.23
H2H
Nueva Chicago
San Martin Tucuman
1
0
W
23.03.22
H2H
Nueva Chicago
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
19.04.21
H2H
Nueva Chicago
San Martin Tucuman
0
1
L
20.03.17
H2H
Nueva Chicago
San Martin Tucuman
1
0
W
Last matches: San Martin Tucuman
23.08.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Chacarita Juniors
2
1
W
17.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Maipu
0
0
D
05.07.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Patronato
1
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Temperley
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Colegiales
0
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Midland
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
1
L
09.05.26
Cop
San Martin Tucuman
Banfield
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Agropecuario
0
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
07.04.26
Cop
San Martin Tucuman
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
0
D
29.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Deportivo Madryn
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
San Martin S.J.
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
San Martin Tucuman
Almagro
1
0
W
H2H away: San Martin Tucuman
01.08.26
H2H
Nueva Chicago
San Martin Tucuman
2
1
L
20.02.23
H2H
Nueva Chicago
San Martin Tucuman
1
0
L
23.03.22
H2H
Nueva Chicago
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
19.04.21
H2H
Nueva Chicago
San Martin Tucuman
0
1
W
20.03.17
H2H
Nueva Chicago
San Martin Tucuman
1
0
L

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 9 4 29:15 14 48
L W W W W
2 26 13 6 7 39:32 7 45
D W L L L
3 26 11 10 5 29:22 7 43
W W L L W
4 26 13 3 10 31:27 4 42
L W L W L
5 26 11 8 7 29:19 10 41
W L D W D
6 27 11 8 8 28:25 3 41
W L D W W
7 27 10 9 8 20:20 0 39
W D D W D
8 27 11 5 11 34:28 6 38
L W W L W
9 25 9 8 8 27:24 3 35
W W D D D
10 26 8 11 7 26:23 3 35
W D D L L
11 26 9 7 10 24:25 -1 34
W D L D W
12 26 8 8 10 27:22 5 32
L W D W D
13 26 8 7 11 21:29 -8 31
D L D L D
14 27 7 8 12 20:27 -7 29
L L L L L
15 26 7 8 11 22:30 -8 29
L W W L W
16 26 5 13 8 23:29 -6 28
W D L D D
17 27 7 6 14 19:29 -10 27
L L D L L
18 26 5 7 14 21:43 -22 22
D D D L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation