CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 75.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
75.3%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nublense Win 41%
Draw 24.7%
Huachipato Win 34.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nublense1.22
Huachipato1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nublense Nublense
WWDLW
16 GF / 17 GA
Huachipato Huachipato
WLDWL
22 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
7
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
10
3.64
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nublense Nublense 14 matches
Huachipato Huachipato 17 matches
Nublense Statistic Huachipato
5 Wins 7
6 Draws 2
3 Losses 8
16 Goals For 22
17 Goals Against 23
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
7 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 13
4 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 8
3.64 Shots On Goal 5
11.71 Total Shots 12.81
4.29 Corners 3.88
43.6% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Huachipato's more proactive style and Nublense's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nublense expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Huachipato in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Huachipato having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Huachipato. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Nublense Analysis

Nublense are currently 8 in the standings with 21 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, while the 16:17 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on I. Jeraldino (4 goals), D. Sanhueza (2 goals), Franco Rami (2 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Graciani (2 assists), Matías Plaza (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Huachipato Analysis

Huachipato come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 22 points from 14 matches. The record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 21:20 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Altamirano (5 goals), C. Martinez (3 goals), M. Gutierrez (3 goals), with creative support from M. Rodriguez (3 assists), N. Vargas (2 assists), Nelson Guillermo Guaiquil (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Nublense won 5 times, Huachipato won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:19 from Nublense's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.3%)
Predicted formations: Nublense 3-5-2 / Huachipato 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nublense wins 5, draws 2, Huachipato wins 7
Last matches: Nublense
29.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Cobresal
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
2
2
D
17.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Colo Colo
2
6
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nublense
O'Higgins
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Everton de Vina
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Nublense
D. La Serena
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
Nublense
Concepción
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Nublense
U. Catolica
1
2
L
20.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Union La Calera
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Nublense
A. Italiano
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Palestino
1
1
D
Last matches: Huachipato
31.05.26
Pri
Huachipato
U. Catolica
0
3
L
24.05.26
Pri
Huachipato
Concepción
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Huachipato
Union La Calera
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Huachipato
D. La Serena
0
0
D
20.04.26
Pri
Huachipato
A. Italiano
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pri
Huachipato
O'Higgins
2
0
W
07.04.26
Pri
Huachipato
Universidad de Concepcion
5
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
Huachipato
Colo Colo
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
Huachipato
Coquimbo Unido
1
3
L
28.02.26
Pri
Huachipato
Deportes Limache
0
3
L
24.02.26
CON
Huachipato
Carabobo FC
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Huachipato
Palestino
2
1
W
17.02.26
CON
Huachipato
Carabobo FC
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pri
Huachipato
Everton de Vina
3
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Huachipato
Universidad de Chile
2
1
W
31.01.26
Pri
Huachipato
Cobresal
0
1
L
17.01.26
Fri
Huachipato
Coquimbo Unido
0
0
D
H2H: Nublense vs Huachipato
24.11.25
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
0
1
L
16.07.25
H2H
Huachipato
Nublense
2
1
L
13.07.25
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
2
2
D
31.05.25
H2H
Huachipato
Nublense
0
1
W
10.11.24
H2H
Huachipato
Nublense
1
0
L
20.06.24
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
3
0
W
03.12.23
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
0
1
L
14.05.23
H2H
Huachipato
Nublense
2
0
L
22.10.22
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
2
0
W
27.09.22
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
2
1
W
24.09.22
H2H
Huachipato
Nublense
1
0
L
15.05.22
H2H
Huachipato
Nublense
1
3
W
13.09.21
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
2
2
D
17.04.21
H2H
Huachipato
Nublense
5
3
L
Last matches: Nublense
23.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Nublense
O'Higgins
0
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Nublense
D. La Serena
2
2
D
01.03.26
Pri
Nublense
U. Catolica
1
2
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nublense
A. Italiano
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
H2H at home: Nublense
24.11.25
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
0
1
L
13.07.25
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
2
2
D
20.06.24
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
3
0
W
03.12.23
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
0
1
L
22.10.22
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
2
0
W
27.09.22
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
2
1
W
13.09.21
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
2
2
D
Last matches: Huachipato
24.05.26
Pri
Huachipato
Concepción
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Huachipato
D. La Serena
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Huachipato
O'Higgins
2
0
W
16.03.26
Pri
Huachipato
Colo Colo
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Huachipato
Deportes Limache
0
3
L
17.02.26
CON
Huachipato
Carabobo FC
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pri
Huachipato
Everton de Vina
3
0
W
31.01.26
Pri
Huachipato
Cobresal
0
1
L
H2H away: Huachipato
24.11.25
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
0
1
W
13.07.25
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
2
2
D
20.06.24
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
3
0
L
03.12.23
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
0
1
W
22.10.22
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
2
0
L
27.09.22
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
2
1
L
13.09.21
H2H
Nublense
Huachipato
2
2
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 11 0 3 26:12 14 33
?
2 14 7 2 5 30:19 11 23
?
3 14 7 2 5 22:18 4 23
?
4 14 6 4 4 18:13 5 22
?
5 14 7 1 6 21:20 1 22
?
6 14 6 3 5 28:20 8 21
?
7 14 6 3 5 21:20 1 21
?
8 14 5 6 3 16:17 -1 21
?
9 13 5 5 3 13:8 5 20
?
10 13 6 1 6 19:20 -1 19
?
11 14 5 4 5 12:21 -9 19
?
12 14 4 5 5 20:24 -4 17
?
13 14 4 3 7 17:20 -3 15
?
14 14 4 1 9 19:26 -7 13
?
15 14 3 2 9 11:21 -10 11
?
16 14 3 2 9 12:26 -14 11
?