BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi
Referee: J. Ferreira
Novorizontino
Match Timeline
Athletic Club
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
Tavinho · Assist: Robson
Novorizontino
21'
Belezi
Athletic Club
🟥
33'
Lucas Belezi
Athletic Club
🔄
37'
D. Vera ↔ Gabriel Indio
Athletic Club
🔄
46'
Bruninho ↔ Joao Miguel
Athletic Club
🟨
53'
Jota
Athletic Club
🟨
54'
Diogo Batista de Souza
Athletic Club
🟨
54'
Jhonathan
Athletic Club
🟨
55'
Jhonathan
Athletic Club
🟥
55'
Jhonathan
Athletic Club
🔄
59'
Jota ↔ G. Cabezas
Athletic Club
🔄
60'
Diego Galo ↔ Vinicius Paiva
Novorizontino
🔄
61'
Ivan Alvarino ↔ Juninho
Novorizontino
64'
Robson · Assist: Romulo
Novorizontino
🔄
70'
R. Tavares ↔ Samuel Otusanya
Athletic Club
🔄
71'
Kauan Rodrigues ↔ Marcelo Henrique
Athletic Club
🔄
77'
Romulo ↔ C. Ortiz
Novorizontino
🔄
77'
Robson ↔ Carlao
Novorizontino
🟨
83'
Carlão
Novorizontino
🔄
90+3'
Tavinho ↔ Helio Borges
Novorizontino

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 54.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
54.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Novorizontino Win 33.3%
Draw 0%
Athletic Club Win 66.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Novorizontino1.25
Athletic Club1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Novorizontino Novorizontino
WWDLW
5 GF / 4 GA
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WLDWL
7 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
2
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
2
4.75
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Novorizontino Novorizontino 4 matches
Athletic Club Athletic Club 4 matches
Novorizontino Statistic Athletic Club
1 Wins 2
2 Draws 2
1 Losses 0
5 Goals For 7
4 Goals Against 5
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
2 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
4.75 Shots On Goal 4.5
16.25 Total Shots 10.75
6.75 Corners 3.75
46% Ball Possession 40.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Athletic Club. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Athletic Club carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 8 points while Novorizontino sit 12 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Novorizontino expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Athletic Club in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Athletic Club having the stronger overall control.

Novorizontino Analysis

Novorizontino sit 12 with 5 points after 4 league matches. The record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 5:4 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Carlao (2 goals), Diego Galo (1 goals), Sander (1 goals), with creative support from Juninho (2 assists), Romulo (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Athletic Club Analysis

Athletic Club arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 8 points after 4 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 7:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (1 goals), Jota (1 goals), with creative support from Jota (1 assists), Ruan Assis (1 assists), Zeca (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Novorizontino won 3 times, Athletic Club won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:1 from Novorizontino's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Novorizontino 4-2-3-1 / Athletic Club 4-3-3
H2H summary: Novorizontino wins 3, draws 0, Athletic Club wins 0
Stats
Novorizontino Novorizontino
Athletic Club Athletic Club
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
1
11 Corner Kicks 1
11 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 1
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 4
8 Blocked Shots 1
13 Shots insidebox 5
9 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
502 Total passes 305
455 Passes accurate 250
2.06 expected_goals 0.69
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 2 🟥

Lineups

Novorizontino
Formation
Athletic Club
Cesar Augusto
Cesar Augusto
Ivan Alvarino
Ivan Alvarino
Dantas
Dantas
Patrick
Patrick
Sander
Sander
Matheus Bianqui
Matheus Bianqui
Luis Oyama
Luis Oyama
Tavinho
Tavinho
Romulo
🎯
Romulo
Diego Galo
Diego Galo
Robson
🎯
Robson
Luan Polli
Luan Polli
Diogo Batista
Diogo Batista
Jhonatan Silva
Jhonatan Silva
Belezi
Belezi
Zeca
Zeca
Ian Luccas
Ian Luccas
Jota
Jota
Kauan Rodrigues
Kauan Rodrigues
Bruninho
Bruninho
R. Tavares
R. Tavares
D. Vera
D. Vera
Novorizontino 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
Cesar Augusto
G
22
Ivan Alvarino
↓ 61'
D
25
Dantas
D
4
Patrick
D
5
Sander
D
17
Matheus Bianqui
M
6
Luis Oyama
M
15
Tavinho
⚽ 9' ↓ 90+3'
M
10
Romulo
🎯 64' ↓ 77'
M
19
Diego Galo
↓ 60'
M
11
Robson
⚽ 64' 🎯 9' ↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
12
Joao Scapin
G
18
Leo Naldi
M
21
Kauan Alemao
D
8
C. Ortiz
↑ 77'
F
20
N. Castrillon
D
77
Helio Borges
↑ 90+3'
F
16
Vinicius Paiva
↑ 60'
F
50
Juninho
↑ 61'
M
24
J. Lora
D
9
Carlao
↑ 77' 🟨 83'
F
7
Ronald Barcellos
F
40
Jardiel
M
Athletic Club 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Luan Polli
G
2
Diogo Batista
🟨 54'
D
3
Jhonatan Silva
🟨 54' 🟨 55' 🟥 55'
D
4
Belezi
⚽ 21' 🟥 33'
D
6
Zeca
D
5
Ian Luccas
M
15
Jota
↓ 59'
17
Kauan Rodrigues
↓ 71'
M
7
Bruninho
↓ 46'
F
9
R. Tavares
↓ 70'
F
21
D. Vera
↓ 37'
F
Substitutes
12
Jhonatan Luiz
G
10
Gustavinho
M
19
Leo Chu
F
8
G. Cabezas
↑ 59'
M
20
Samuel Otusanya
↑ 70'
F
16
Joao Miguel
↑ 46'
M
14
Marcelo Henrique
↑ 71'
D
13
Gabriel Indio
↑ 37'
18
Pedro Oliveira
M
Last matches: Novorizontino
21.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Criciuma
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
12.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Operario-PR
1
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Atletico Goianiense
3
0
W
26.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
2
1
W
22.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
10.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Goias
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Ceara
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Cuiaba
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Avai
3
3
D
25.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
3
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
CRB
1
1
D
31.03.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Juventude
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Londrina
1
3
L
Last matches: Athletic Club
23.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
2
1
W
18.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
13.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ceara
0
0
D
07.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Avai
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Londrina
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Goias
1
1
D
11.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
25.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Juventude
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
CRB
3
2
W
05.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Criciuma
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
H2H: Novorizontino vs Athletic Club
19.04.26
H2H
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
2
1
W
19.09.25
H2H
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
1
0
W
17.05.25
H2H
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
0
2
W
Last matches: Novorizontino
21.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Criciuma
0
1
L
04.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Atletico Goianiense
3
0
W
26.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
2
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Ceara
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
CRB
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Londrina
1
3
L
H2H at home: Novorizontino
19.04.26
H2H
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
2
1
W
19.09.25
H2H
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
1
0
W
Last matches: Athletic Club
18.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
13.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ceara
0
0
D
20.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Londrina
0
2
L
11.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
1
1
D
25.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
04.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
CRB
3
2
W
02.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Criciuma
1
1
D
H2H away: Athletic Club
19.04.26
H2H
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
2
1
L
19.09.25
H2H
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
1
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 11 6 2 23:12 11 39
W W W W W
2 19 10 5 4 27:22 5 35
W D W W W
3 19 10 4 5 27:22 5 34
W L L W L
4 19 9 5 5 21:12 9 32
L W W D W
5 19 9 4 6 22:19 3 31
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 28:18 10 30
L L L W W
7 19 8 5 6 21:25 -4 29
D W D W W
8 19 7 7 5 20:19 1 28
W D W L W
9 19 6 10 3 24:18 6 28
D D D L L
10 19 7 6 6 25:19 6 27
L D D L L
11 19 6 9 4 18:17 1 27
W D D L W
12 19 7 5 7 29:32 -3 26
W W D L W
13 19 7 3 9 24:24 0 24
W L L D L
14 19 6 6 7 24:20 4 24
W D D W L
15 19 5 9 5 14:14 0 24
L L D W D
16 19 5 5 9 26:27 -1 20
L D D W D
17 19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
W D W L L
18 19 4 7 8 16:22 -6 19
L D D L L
19 19 2 2 15 14:38 -24 8
L L L L L
20 19 1 5 13 13:31 -18 8
L D D L L
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