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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
29.08.2026 14:00
Meadow Lane
Referee: K. Dowle
Notts County
Match Timeline
Burton Albion
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
22'
Finn Delap · Assist: Jack Armer
Burton Albion
🟨
34'
Curtis Tilt
Burton Albion
🟨
36'
Rory Finneran
Notts County
🔄
46'
Jack Evans ↔ Luka Smyth
Notts County
🟨
51'
Jack Armer
Burton Albion
🟨
52'
Sulyman Krubally
Burton Albion
🔄
62'
Zac Scutt ↔ Tyrese Shade
Burton Albion
🔄
62'
Sulyman Krubally ↔ Will Collar
Burton Albion
🟨
65'
George Evans
Burton Albion
🔄
66'
Callum Roberts ↔ Conor Grant
Notts County
🔄
66'
Darius Lipsiuc ↔ Qamaruddin Kouhyar
Notts County
⚽
78'
Luka Smyth · Assist: Nick Tsaroulla
Notts County
🟥
83'
Curtis Tilt
Burton Albion
⚽
84'
Luka Smyth
Notts County
🔄
87'
George Evans ↔ Kain Adom
Burton Albion
🔄
90'
Nick Tsaroulla ↔ Ishé Samuels-Smith
Notts County

Notts County vs Burton Albion Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
84.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Notts County Win 40.7%
Draw 25.3%
Burton Albion Win 34%
Expected Goals (xG)
Notts County1.17
Burton Albion1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Notts County Notts County
WWDLW
9 GF / 10 GA
Burton Albion Burton Albion
WLDWL
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
0.71
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
3
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Notts County Notts County 7 matches
Burton Albion Burton Albion 7 matches
Notts County Statistic Burton Albion
1 Wins 2
3 Draws 3
3 Losses 2
9 Goals For 5
10 Goals Against 7
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 3
3 Shots On Goal 4
11 Total Shots 11.5
3 Corners 2.5
33.5% Ball Possession 39%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Notts County won 2 times, Burton Albion won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Notts County's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.7%)
Predicted formations: Notts County 3-4-2-1 / Burton Albion 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Notts County wins 2, draws 0, Burton Albion wins 0

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 18:12 6 19
W W L W W
2 9 5 2 2 8:5 3 17
D D W W W
3 9 5 1 3 20:11 9 16
W W D L W
4 9 4 4 1 16:9 7 16
D W L D D
5 9 4 4 1 14:11 3 16
W D D W D
6 9 4 3 2 22:11 11 15
W D D W L
7 8 4 3 1 16:9 7 15
D W D W W
8 8 4 3 1 15:8 7 15
D D D W W
9 8 3 3 2 12:8 4 12
W L W W D
10 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
L L W D L
11 9 3 3 3 13:15 -2 12
D W D D L
12 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
L D D W W
13 9 3 2 4 13:11 2 11
D L W L D
14 8 3 2 3 16:15 1 11
W L L D W
15 9 2 4 3 14:20 -6 10
L D W W D
16 8 2 3 3 9:9 0 9
W W L L D
17 8 2 3 3 10:14 -4 9
L D W L W
18 8 2 2 4 13:14 -1 8
L L D L L
19 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D L L W
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
W L L D L
21 8 2 2 4 9:20 -11 8
L W D L L
22 8 1 4 3 8:11 -3 7
L L L D D
23 8 0 6 2 9:15 -6 6
L D D D L
24 8 1 1 6 5:13 -8 4
L L D L W
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two