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CROATIA › HNL
11.10.2026 16:00
Gradski Stadion
Referee: Ante Terzic
NK Slaven Belupo
Match Timeline
HNK Rijeka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
T. Dantas
HNK Rijeka
🔄
21'
T. Bozic ↔ D. Kovacic
NK Slaven Belupo
⚽
35'
J. Mersinaj · Assist: L. Banovec
NK Slaven Belupo
🟨
43'
Itsuki Urata
NK Slaven Belupo
⚽
52'
L. Banovec · Assist: M. Dabro
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
62'
N. Jankovic ↔ J. Puljic
HNK Rijeka
🔄
62'
A. Barco ↔ T. Fruk
HNK Rijeka
⚽
69'
I. Nestorovski · Assist: J. Mitrovic
NK Slaven Belupo
⚽
74'
I. Nestorovski
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
80'
T. Dantas ↔ A. Gojak
HNK Rijeka
🔄
80'
D. Adu Adjei ↔ A. Juric
HNK Rijeka
🔄
85'
J. Lasickas ↔ N. Bodetic
HNK Rijeka
🔄
89'
L. Banovec ↔ L. Bosnjak
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
89'
I. Nestorovski ↔ V. Papac
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
90+2'
J. Mitrovic ↔ L. Zahora
NK Slaven Belupo
🔄
90+2'
M. Dabro ↔ L. Loncar
NK Slaven Belupo

NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
NK Slaven Belupo Win 65.2%
Draw 5.7%
HNK Rijeka Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
NK Slaven Belupo1.4
HNK Rijeka1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo
WWDLW
34 GF / 41 GA
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
WLDWL
28 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
1.47
2.05
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
13
BTTS Yes
8
16
Over 2.5
8
3.75
Shots on Goal
5.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 20 matches
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 19 matches
NK Slaven Belupo Statistic HNK Rijeka
6 Wins 11
3 Draws 3
11 Losses 5
34 Goals For 28
41 Goals Against 18
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
2.05 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
13 BTTS Yes 8
18 Over 1.5 14
16 Over 2.5 8
11 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 4
3.75 Shots On Goal 5.38
11.5 Total Shots 10.85
4 Corners 5.15
43% Ball Possession 46.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around HNK Rijeka's more proactive style and NK Slaven Belupo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. HNK Rijeka carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 14 points while NK Slaven Belupo sit 8 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward HNK Rijeka. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

NK Slaven Belupo Analysis

So far, NK Slaven Belupo have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 7 points from 8 matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 7:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ilija Nestorovski (5 goals), Josip Mitrović (1 goals), Dominik Kovačić (1 goals), with creative support from Marko Dabro (2 assists), Josip Mitrović (1 assists), Karlo Išasegi (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

HNK Rijeka Analysis

HNK Rijeka approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 14 points after 7 outings. The return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 13:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Daniel Adu-Adjei (4 goals), Toni Fruk (2 goals), Tiago Dantas (2 goals), with creative support from Daniel Adu-Adjei (3 assists), Toni Fruk (3 assists), Tiago Dantas (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, NK Slaven Belupo won 2 times, HNK Rijeka won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:24 from NK Slaven Belupo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: NK Slaven Belupo 4-2-3-1 / HNK Rijeka 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: NK Slaven Belupo wins 2, draws 4, HNK Rijeka wins 9

Standings

HNL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 1 2 19:9 10 22
W W L W W
2 9 6 1 2 23:12 11 19
W L W L W
3 10 5 3 2 14:8 6 18
L W D D D
4 10 5 2 3 19:15 4 17
D L D W L
5 9 5 2 2 16:12 4 17
W L W D W
6 10 3 3 4 17:16 1 12
L W L W D
7 10 3 1 6 13:17 -4 10
W L L D L
8 10 3 1 6 12:22 -10 10
L W D L W
9 10 2 1 7 13:27 -14 7
L W D L L
10 10 1 3 6 7:15 -8 6
D L W D L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL