Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Nice Win 0%
Draw 0%
Marseille Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nice1.67
Marseille1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nice
WWDLW
36 GF / 25 GA
Marseille
WLDWL
40 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.22
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
14
BTTS Yes
13
12
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nice
18 matches
Marseille
18 matches
| Nice | Statistic | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 11 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 4 | Losses | 3 |
| 36 | Goals For | 40 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.22 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Nice won 6 times, Marseille won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:21 from Nice's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.21 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Nice 3-4-2-1 / Marseille 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nice wins 6, draws 3, Marseille wins 5
Last matches: Nice
22.08.26
Lig
Nice
Lorient
0
0
D
15.08.26
Fri
Nice
Hull City
0
0
D
08.08.26
Fri
Nice
Cagliari
0
0
D
31.07.26
Fri
Nice
Juventus
0
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Nice
Marseille
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Nice
Nimes
4
0
W
29.05.26
Lig
Nice
Saint Etienne
4
1
W
26.05.26
Lig
Nice
Saint Etienne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Cou
Nice
Lens
1
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Nice
Metz
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Nice
Auxerre
1
2
L
02.05.26
Lig
Nice
Lens
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
Nice
Marseille
1
1
D
22.04.26
Cou
Nice
Strasbourg
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
Nice
Lille
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Nice
Le Havre
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Nice
Strasbourg
1
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Nice
Paris Saint Germain
0
4
L
14.03.26
Lig
Nice
Angers
2
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Nice
Rennes
0
4
L
Last matches: Marseille
21.08.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
4
0
W
14.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
H2H: Nice vs Marseille
25.07.26
H2H
Marseille
Nice
0
3
W
26.04.26
H2H
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
21.11.25
H2H
Nice
Marseille
1
5
L
26.01.25
H2H
Nice
Marseille
2
0
W
14.09.24
H2H
Marseille
Nice
2
0
L
24.04.24
H2H
Marseille
Nice
2
2
D
21.10.23
H2H
Nice
Marseille
1
0
W
05.02.23
H2H
Marseille
Nice
1
3
W
28.08.22
H2H
Nice
Marseille
0
3
L
20.03.22
H2H
Marseille
Nice
2
1
L
09.02.22
H2H
Nice
Marseille
4
1
W
27.10.21
H2H
Nice
Marseille
1
1
D
20.03.21
H2H
Nice
Marseille
3
0
W
17.02.21
H2H
Marseille
Nice
3
2
L
26.04.20
H2H
Marseille
Nice
0
0
D
Last matches: Nice
22.08.26
Lig
Nice
Lorient
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nice
Nimes
4
0
W
29.05.26
Lig
Nice
Saint Etienne
4
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Nice
Metz
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lig
Nice
Lens
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Nice
Le Havre
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lig
Nice
Paris Saint Germain
0
4
L
08.03.26
Lig
Nice
Rennes
0
4
L
22.02.26
Lig
Nice
Lorient
3
3
D
08.02.26
Lig
Nice
Monaco
0
0
D
04.02.26
Cou
Nice
Montpellier
3
2
W
01.02.26
Lig
Nice
Stade Brestois 29
2
2
D
22.01.26
UEF
Nice
GO Ahead Eagles
3
1
W
03.01.26
Lig
Nice
Strasbourg
1
1
D
21.12.25
Cou
Nice
Saint Etienne
2
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
Nice
SC Braga
0
1
L
07.12.25
Lig
Nice
Angers
0
1
L
21.11.25
Lig
Nice
Marseille
1
5
L
06.11.25
UEF
Nice
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
29.10.25
Lig
Nice
Lille
2
0
W
H2H at home: Nice
21.11.25
H2H
Nice
Marseille
1
5
L
26.01.25
H2H
Nice
Marseille
2
0
W
21.10.23
H2H
Nice
Marseille
1
0
W
28.08.22
H2H
Nice
Marseille
0
3
L
09.02.22
H2H
Nice
Marseille
4
1
W
27.10.21
H2H
Nice
Marseille
1
1
D
20.03.21
H2H
Nice
Marseille
3
0
W
Last matches: Marseille
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
07.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
31.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris FC
2
2
D
28.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Club Brugge KV
0
3
L
17.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Angers
5
2
W
13.01.26
Cou
Marseille
Bayeux
9
0
W
21.12.25
Cou
Marseille
Bourg-en-bresse 01
6
0
W
09.12.25
UEF
Marseille
Union St. Gilloise
3
2
W
05.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Lille
0
1
L
21.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Nice
5
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
25.10.25
Lig
Marseille
Lens
1
2
L
22.10.25
UEF
Marseille
Sporting CP
1
2
L
04.10.25
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
0
W
26.09.25
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
1
W
H2H away: Marseille
21.11.25
H2H
Nice
Marseille
1
5
W
26.01.25
H2H
Nice
Marseille
2
0
L
21.10.23
H2H
Nice
Marseille
1
0
L
28.08.22
H2H
Nice
Marseille
0
3
W
09.02.22
H2H
Nice
Marseille
4
1
L
27.10.21
H2H
Nice
Marseille
1
1
D
20.03.21
H2H
Nice
Marseille
3
0
L
Standings
Ligue 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92:35 | 57 | 84 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 2 |
Away
|
34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74:47 | 27 | 65 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 |
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63:41 | 22 | 61 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 |
Home
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66:41 | 25 | 60 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 |
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52:36 | 16 | 60 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 |
|
34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65:46 | 19 | 57 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 7 |
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:44 | 12 | 57 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 8 |
|
34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 52 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 9 |
|
34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52:59 | -7 | 50 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 10 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44:43 | 1 | 42 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 11 |
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48:51 | -3 | 42 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 |
|
34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51:50 | 1 | 41 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 13 |
|
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39:52 | -13 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 14 |
|
34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32:53 | -21 | 36 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
| 15 |
|
34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40:71 | -31 | 34 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
| 16 |
|
34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:47 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 17 |
|
34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39:77 | -38 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 18 |
|
34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23:79 | -56 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
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Relegation