FRANCE › LIGUE 1
05.09.2026 18:45
Allianz Riviera
Referee: Jeremie Pignard, France
Nice
Match Timeline
Le Mans
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
A. Bourabaa · Assist: J. Vercruysse
Le Mans
⚽
44'
E. Wahi · Assist: S. Diop
Nice
🟨
58'
Alexandre Lauray
Le Mans
🔄
61'
R. Torrente ↔ S. Yohou
Le Mans
🔄
61'
D. Gueye ↔ H. Diallo
Le Mans
🔄
61'
J. Vercruysse ↔ A. Rabillard
Le Mans
🔄
65'
N. Ngoumou ↔ G. Hein
Nice
🔄
65'
S. Diop ↔ M. Amoura
Nice
🔄
70'
A. Bourabaa ↔ B. Brahimi
Le Mans
🔄
74'
N. Nkounkou ↔ A. Abdi
Nice
🔄
74'
A. Witsel ↔ A. Mendy
Nice
🟨
75'
Youssouf Ndayishimiye
Nice
🔄
78'
L. Calodat ↔ Y. Larouci
Le Mans
🟨
82'
Noa Boissé
Le Mans
🟨
84'
Elye Wahi
Nice
🔄
85'
J. Clauss ↔ A. Camara
Nice

Nice vs Le Mans Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.2%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 2.11
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.2%
1.28 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
2.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
2.11 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
9.00 ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Nice Win 43.7%
Draw 13.8%
Le Mans Win 42.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nice1.18
Le Mans1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nice Nice
WWDLW
7 GF / 5 GA
Le Mans Le Mans
WLDWL
14 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.56
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
0
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
5
2.5
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nice Nice 7 matches
Le Mans Le Mans 9 matches
Nice Statistic Le Mans
2 Wins 3
3 Draws 3
2 Losses 3
7 Goals For 14
5 Goals Against 13
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
0 BTTS Yes 6
4 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 2
2.5 Shots On Goal 5
15 Total Shots 10
6.5 Corners 3.5
57.5% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Nice won 0 times, Le Mans won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Nice's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.2%)
Predicted formations: Nice 3-4-2-1 / Le Mans 3-1-4-2
Missing players: Nice 3, Le Mans 6
H2H summary: Nice wins 0, draws 0, Le Mans wins 1

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
2 5 3 2 0 10:2 8 11
W D W D W
3 5 3 2 0 8:3 5 11
W D W W D
4 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
L W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
6 5 2 2 1 8:7 1 8
W W L D D
7 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D L W L
8 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
9 5 1 3 1 9:9 0 6
W D D L D
10 5 2 0 3 7:12 -5 6
W W L L L
11 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
L L W D D
12 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
L D W L D
13 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
W D L D L
14
Nice Home
5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
W L D L D
15 5 1 1 3 9:9 0 4
L D L L W
16 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
17 5 1 0 4 7:8 -1 3
L L L L W
18 5 0 2 3 4:7 -3 2
L D L D L
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