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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
05.09.2026 18:45
Allianz Riviera
Referee: Jeremie Pignard, France
Nice
Match Timeline
Le Mans
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
A. Bourabaa · Assist: J. Vercruysse
Le Mans
⚽
44'
E. Wahi · Assist: S. Diop
Nice
🟨
58'
Alexandre Lauray
Le Mans
🔄
61'
R. Torrente ↔ S. Yohou
Le Mans
🔄
61'
D. Gueye ↔ H. Diallo
Le Mans
🔄
61'
J. Vercruysse ↔ A. Rabillard
Le Mans
🔄
65'
N. Ngoumou ↔ G. Hein
Nice
🔄
65'
S. Diop ↔ M. Amoura
Nice
🔄
70'
A. Bourabaa ↔ B. Brahimi
Le Mans
🔄
74'
N. Nkounkou ↔ A. Abdi
Nice
🔄
74'
A. Witsel ↔ A. Mendy
Nice
🟨
75'
Youssouf Ndayishimiye
Nice
🔄
78'
L. Calodat ↔ Y. Larouci
Le Mans
🟨
82'
Noa Boissé
Le Mans
🟨
84'
Elye Wahi
Nice
🔄
85'
J. Clauss ↔ A. Camara
Nice

Nice vs Le Mans Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.2%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Nice Win 43.7%
Draw 13.8%
Le Mans Win 42.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nice1.18
Le Mans1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nice Nice
L D D D L
0 GF / 5 GA
Le Mans Le Mans
L D L D D
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.56
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
0
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
5
2.5
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nice Nice 7 matches
Le Mans Le Mans 9 matches
Nice Statistic Le Mans
2 Wins 3
3 Draws 3
2 Losses 3
7 Goals For 14
5 Goals Against 13
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
0 BTTS Yes 6
4 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 2
2.5 Shots On Goal 5
14.5 Total Shots 10
6.5 Corners 3.5
57.5% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Nice won 0 times, Le Mans won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Nice's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.2%)
Predicted formations: Nice 3-4-2-1 / Le Mans 3-1-4-2
Missing players: Nice 3, Le Mans 6
H2H summary: Nice wins 0, draws 0, Le Mans wins 1

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 4 2 1 13:5 8 14
W L W D W
2 7 4 2 1 14:9 5 14
W W W W L
3 7 4 2 1 12:7 5 14
W L W D W
4 7 4 2 1 10:5 5 14
D W L W W
5 7 4 2 1 10:6 4 14
L D W D W
6 7 4 1 2 15:14 1 13
L W L W W
7 7 3 2 2 7:6 1 11
W W L D W
8 7 3 1 3 14:11 3 10
W W L D L
9 7 3 0 4 14:10 4 9
W W L L L
10 7 2 3 2 13:10 3 9
D W L L W
11 7 2 3 2 12:11 1 9
W D W D L
12 7 3 0 4 11:17 -6 9
W L W W L
13
Nice Home
7 2 2 3 6:9 -3 8
L W W L D
14 7 2 1 4 12:15 -3 7
L L L D W
15 7 2 1 4 9:15 -6 7
L L W D L
16 7 1 3 3 10:15 -5 6
L L W D D
17 7 1 1 5 5:16 -11 4
L L L L L
18 7 0 2 5 5:11 -6 2
L L L D L
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