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23.10.2026 16:00
David Petriashvili Stadium
Referee: G. Kikacheishvili
Rustavi
Match Timeline
Dinamo Tbilisi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Yuta nakano
Rustavi
⚽
37'
Nika Ninua
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
46'
Giorgi Kharaishvili ↔ Lyes Houri
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
52'
Mate Vatsadze ↔ Algassime Bah
Dinamo Tbilisi
🟨
56'
Lyes Houri
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
58'
kenio jackson ↔ solomon kessi
Rustavi
🔄
59'
Maxime teixeira ↔ tornike kvaratskhelia
Dinamo Tbilisi
🟨
60'
Barnes Osei
Dinamo Tbilisi
🟨
61'
David Oliveira da Silva
Rustavi
⚽
62'
Nika Ninua
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
66'
Barnes Osei ↔ santos leo
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
68'
David Oliveira da Silva ↔ kevin ceijas
Rustavi
🔄
68'
Avtandil gujabidze ↔ Irakli iakobidze
Rustavi
🔄
77'
jean ↔ Luka·Parkadze
Rustavi
🔄
77'
Yuta nakano ↔ Kakhaber Kakashvili
Rustavi

Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 60.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
60.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Rustavi Win 39.3%
Draw 20.3%
Dinamo Tbilisi Win 40.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rustavi1.3
Dinamo Tbilisi1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rustavi Rustavi
W W L W D
6 GF / 4 GA
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi
W L W W W
12 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.58
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
18
BTTS Yes
25
17
Over 2.5
23
3.83
Shots on Goal
4.91

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rustavi Rustavi 36 matches
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 40 matches
Rustavi Statistic Dinamo Tbilisi
17 Wins 17
9 Draws 12
10 Losses 11
45 Goals For 63
35 Goals Against 55
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
18 BTTS Yes 25
24 Over 1.5 31
17 Over 2.5 23
4 Over 3.5 10
12 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 11
3.83 Shots On Goal 4.91
3.66 Total Shots 5.31
3.72 Corners 4.56
45.2% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Dinamo Tbilisi. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Rustavi Analysis

Placed 2 with 49 points from 28 outings, Rustavi continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 14 wins, 7 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 35:24 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Dinamo Tbilisi Analysis

Dinamo Tbilisi come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 48 points after 28 matches. The return of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 45:31, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Rustavi won 3 times, Dinamo Tbilisi won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:20 from Rustavi's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.7%)
Predicted formations: Rustavi 4-3-3 / Dinamo Tbilisi 4-3-3
H2H summary: Rustavi wins 3, draws 2, Dinamo Tbilisi wins 7

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 56:40 16 59
L W W W W
2 32 18 5 9 46:33 13 59
W D W W W
3 32 16 10 6 52:32 20 58
W D W W L
4 32 16 8 8 40:28 12 56
W D L W W
5 32 11 10 11 53:44 9 43
W W L L D
6 32 12 4 16 41:41 0 40
L L L L L
7 32 11 6 15 43:57 -14 39
L D L W W
8 32 6 13 13 41:51 -10 31
W D D L D
9 32 6 13 13 28:46 -18 31
L D D L L
10 32 3 11 18 25:53 -28 20
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2