Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
25.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
72.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Newcastle
West Ham
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Newcastle
51 matches
West Ham
40 matches
| Newcastle | Statistic | West Ham |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 11 |
| 11 | Draws | 11 |
| 20 | Losses | 18 |
| 85 | Goals For | 49 |
| 76 | Goals Against | 67 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 1.49 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
| 35 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 42 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 35 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 20 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 5.1 | Shots On Goal | 3.7 |
| 13.43 | Total Shots | 11.25 |
| 5.8 | Corners | 5.43 |
| 51.6% | Ball Possession | 44.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Newcastle expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and West Ham in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward West Ham having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Newcastle have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors West Ham. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Newcastle sit 13 with 46 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 13 wins, 7 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 50:52, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Bruno Guimarães (9 goals), N. Woltemade (8 goals), H. Barnes (7 goals), with creative support from Bruno Guimarães (5 assists), L. Miley (4 assists), N. Woltemade (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
West Ham sit 18 with 36 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 42:62 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Bowen (8 goals), C. Wilson (6 goals), C. Summerville (5 goals), with creative support from J. Bowen (10 assists), M. Diouf (5 assists), M. Fernandes (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 8 times, West Ham won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:24 from Newcastle's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.
Newcastle
7
8
2
3
6
4
Lineups
Newcastle
Fulham
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
Brighton
Newcastle
Arsenal
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
Sunderland
Newcastle
Barcelona
Newcastle
Chelsea
Newcastle
Barcelona
Newcastle
Manchester City
Newcastle
Manchester United
Newcastle
Everton
Newcastle
Qarabag
Newcastle
Manchester City
Newcastle
Qarabag
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Newcastle
Tottenham
Newcastle
Brentford
Newcastle
Liverpool
West Ham
Leeds
West Ham
Arsenal
West Ham
Brentford
West Ham
Everton
West Ham
Crystal Palace
West Ham
Wolves
West Ham
Leeds
West Ham
Aston Villa
West Ham
Manchester City
West Ham
Brentford
West Ham
Fulham
West Ham
Liverpool
West Ham
Bournemouth
West Ham
Burton Albion
West Ham
Manchester United
West Ham
Burnley
West Ham
Chelsea
West Ham
Sunderland
West Ham
Tottenham
West Ham
QPR
Newcastle
Brighton
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Newcastle
Sunderland
Newcastle
Barcelona
Newcastle
Manchester City
Newcastle
Manchester United
Newcastle
Everton
Newcastle
Qarabag
Newcastle
Brentford
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Newcastle
PSV Eindhoven
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Newcastle
Leeds
Newcastle
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
Chelsea
Newcastle
Burnley
Newcastle
Tottenham
Newcastle
Manchester City
Newcastle
Athletic Club
Newcastle
Fulham
West Ham
Brentford
West Ham
Crystal Palace
West Ham
Aston Villa
West Ham
Fulham
West Ham
Liverpool
West Ham
Burton Albion
West Ham
Burnley
West Ham
Chelsea
West Ham
Tottenham
West Ham
Wolves
West Ham
Manchester City
West Ham
Brighton
West Ham
Manchester United
West Ham
Bournemouth
West Ham
Leeds
West Ham
Arsenal
West Ham
Everton
West Ham
Nottingham Forest
West Ham
Sunderland
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Newcastle
Home
|
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 |
West Ham
Away
|
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|