Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Win 0%
Draw 0%
Manchester City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle1.24
Manchester City2.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle
WWDLW
16 GF / 16 GA
Manchester City
WLDWL
16 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
2.29
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
8
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
4
2.67
Shots on Goal
7.25
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Newcastle
10 matches
Manchester City
7 matches
| Newcastle | Statistic | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 1 |
| 3 | Losses | 0 |
| 16 | Goals For | 16 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.29 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 2.67 | Shots On Goal | 7.25 |
| 10.67 | Total Shots | 16.5 |
| 4.33 | Corners | 5.75 |
| 46.3% | Ball Possession | 70% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 2 times, Manchester City won 11 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:36 from Newcastle's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-2-3-1 / Manchester City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Newcastle wins 2, draws 2, Manchester City wins 11
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
Away
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 5 |
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 |
Newcastle
Home
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
D
W
D
|
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 4 |
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship