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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
19.09.2026 14:00
St James' Park
Referee: Tony Harrington, England
Newcastle
Match Timeline
Hull City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
J. Willock · Assist: H. Barnes
Newcastle
⚽
7'
L. Hall · Assist: H. Barnes
Newcastle
🟨
29'
Matt Crooks
Hull City
🟨
39'
Mohamed Belloumi
Hull City
⚽
45+2'
Yoane Wissa
Newcastle
🟨
45+3'
Jacob Murphy
Newcastle
🟨
45+2'
Konstantinos Tzolakis
Hull City
🔄
46'
M. Crooks ↔ T. Iroegbunam
Hull City
🟨
49'
Ryan Giles
Hull City
🔄
63'
S. Thomas ↔ M. Cho
Hull City
🔄
66'
S. Steur ↔ F. Schar
Newcastle
⚽
67'
M. Cho · Assist: M. Belloumi
Hull City
🔄
74'
M. Fernandez-Pardo ↔ B. Toure
Newcastle
🔄
78'
R. Slater ↔ L. Gourna-Douath
Hull City
🔄
78'
J. Egan ↔ R. Vaz
Hull City
🔄
83'
M. Belloumi ↔ J. Gelhardt
Hull City
🔄
87'
J. Willock ↔ A. Bamba
Newcastle

Newcastle vs Hull City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.1%
Odds 5.31
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.1%
5.31 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.70 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
1.68 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.7%
1.55 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
11.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
17.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Win 22.8%
Draw 10.1%
Hull City Win 67.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle1.2
Hull City1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle Newcastle
WWDLW
17 GF / 20 GA
Hull City Hull City
WLDWL
11 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
9
BTTS Yes
3
8
Over 2.5
3
3.25
Shots on Goal
3.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Newcastle Newcastle 11 matches
Hull City Hull City 9 matches
Newcastle Statistic Hull City
3 Wins 4
4 Draws 4
4 Losses 1
17 Goals For 11
20 Goals Against 6
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
9 BTTS Yes 3
11 Over 1.5 6
8 Over 2.5 3
5 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 5
0 Failed To Score 3
3.25 Shots On Goal 3.75
9.75 Total Shots 9.75
4.5 Corners 2.5
47.3% Ball Possession 29.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 3 times, Hull City won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:7 from Newcastle's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-2-3-1 / Hull City 5-4-1
Missing players: Newcastle 8, Hull City 8
H2H summary: Newcastle wins 3, draws 2, Hull City wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 13:5 8 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 0 1 8:4 4 12
L W W W W
3 5 3 1 1 16:5 11 10
W W D L W
4 5 2 3 0 10:4 6 9
W D D D W
5 5 2 3 0 7:3 4 9
D W D D W
6 5 2 3 0 7:4 3 9
W D W D D
7 5 2 3 0 6:3 3 9
W D D D W
8 5 2 2 1 6:4 2 8
L D D W W
9 5 2 2 1 9:9 0 8
W L D W D
10 5 2 1 2 10:12 -2 7
L D L W W
11 5 2 0 3 7:11 -4 6
L W L L W
12 5 1 2 2 8:8 0 5
D L D W L
13 5 1 2 2 4:5 -1 5
L W D D L
14 5 1 1 3 6:10 -4 4
L L D W L
15 5 1 1 3 6:11 -5 4
D L W L L
16 5 1 1 3 4:9 -5 4
W L D L L
17 5 0 3 2 6:8 -2 3
L D D D L
18 5 1 0 4 1:10 -9 3
W L L L L
19 5 0 2 3 5:8 -3 2
D D L L L
20 5 0 2 3 2:8 -6 2
L D D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship