ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
19.09.2026 14:00
St. James' Park

Newcastle vs Hull City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.1%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Win 22.8%
Draw 10.1%
Hull City Win 67.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle1.23
Hull City1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle Newcastle
WWDLW
16 GF / 16 GA
Hull City Hull City
WLDWL
11 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
8
BTTS Yes
3
7
Over 2.5
3
2.67
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Newcastle Newcastle 10 matches
Hull City Hull City 9 matches
Newcastle Statistic Hull City
3 Wins 4
4 Draws 4
3 Losses 1
16 Goals For 11
16 Goals Against 6
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
8 BTTS Yes 3
10 Over 1.5 6
7 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 5
0 Failed To Score 3
2.67 Shots On Goal 3.33
10.67 Total Shots 8.33
4.33 Corners 2
46.3% Ball Possession 28.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle won 3 times, Hull City won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:7 from Newcastle's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.9%)
Predicted formations: Newcastle 4-2-3-1 / Hull City 5-4-1
H2H summary: Newcastle wins 3, draws 2, Hull City wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 7:2 5 9
W W W
2 3 3 0 0 6:1 5 9
W W W
3 3 2 1 0 3:0 3 7
D W W
4 3 2 0 1 8:7 1 6
L W W
5 3 1 2 0 5:2 3 5
D D W
6 3 1 2 0 6:4 2 5
W D D
7 3 1 2 0 6:4 2 5
D W D
8 3 1 2 0 5:3 2 5
D D W
9 3 1 2 0 3:2 1 5
D D W
10 3 1 1 1 8:5 3 4
D L W
11 3 1 1 1 7:6 1 4
D W L
12 3 1 1 1 3:3 0 4
D W L
13 3 1 0 2 4:8 -4 3
W L L
14 3 1 0 2 4:8 -4 3
L L W
15 3 0 2 1 4:5 -1 2
D D L
16 3 0 2 1 2:3 -1 2
D D L
17 3 0 1 2 0:5 -5 1
D L L
18 3 0 1 2 0:5 -5 1
D L L
19 3 0 0 3 4:7 -3 0
L L L
20 3 0 0 3 0:5 -5 0
L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship