Newcastle Jets
Match Timeline
Central Coast Mariners
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
85.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
85.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
85.9%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Jets Win 51.8%
Draw 14.7%
Central Coast Mariners Win 33.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle Jets1.83
Central Coast Mariners1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle Jets
WWDLW
51 GF / 39 GA
Central Coast Mariners
WLDWL
35 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
2.04
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
19
BTTS Yes
17
19
Over 2.5
16
5.52
Shots on Goal
3.4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Newcastle Jets
25 matches
Central Coast Mariners
25 matches
| Newcastle Jets | Statistic | Central Coast Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 8 |
| 3 | Draws | 8 |
| 8 | Losses | 9 |
| 51 | Goals For | 35 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 2.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.52 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.52 | Shots On Goal | 3.4 |
| 14.64 | Total Shots | 10.08 |
| 4.88 | Corners | 3.68 |
| 53.2% | Ball Possession | 43.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle Jets won 3 times, Central Coast Mariners won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:29 from Newcastle Jets's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
Predicted formations: Newcastle Jets 4-1-4-1 / Central Coast Mariners 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Newcastle Jets 6, Central Coast Mariners 4
H2H summary: Newcastle Jets wins 3, draws 2, Central Coast Mariners wins 10
Stats
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
Shots on Goal
7
7
Shots on Goal
2
2
Shots off Goal
7
7
Shots off Goal
7
7
Blocked Shots
4
4
Blocked Shots
2
2
Lineups
Newcastle Jets
Formation
Central Coast Mariners
J. Delianov
J. Bertolissio
J. Shaughnessy
M. Natta
D. Wilmering
M. Burgess
E. Adams
W. Dobson
L. Bayliss
C. Taylor
B. Gibson
A. Redmayne
S. Roux
J. Donachie
B. Tapp
L. Mauragis
C. Donnell
H. Eames
A. Auglah
J. Mantell
O. Lavale
N. Blair
Newcastle Jets
4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
J. Delianov
G
22
J. Bertolissio
D
5
J. Shaughnessy
D
↓ 56'
33
M. Natta
D
23
D. Wilmering
D
14
M. Burgess
M
7
E. Adams
M
⚽ 44'
🎯 25'
↓ 56'
28
W. Dobson
M
⚽ 21'
↓ 68'
8
L. Bayliss
M
🎯 86'
🟨 77'
13
C. Taylor
M
⚽ 25'
↓ 80'
11
B. Gibson
F
🎯 21'
↓ 68'
Substitutes
20
A. Nassiep
G
18
K. Mizunuma
M
⚽ 86'
↑ 68'
43
X. Bertoncello
F
↑ 68'
10
Z. Clough
M
↑ 56'
17
K. Grozos
M
↑ 80'
24
A. Nunes
M
42
M. Cooper
D
↑ 56'
Central Coast Mariners
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
A. Redmayne
G
15
S. Roux
D
2
J. Donachie
D
26
B. Tapp
D
↓ 46'
5
L. Mauragis
D
48
C. Donnell
M
6
H. Eames
M
↓ 86'
72
A. Auglah
M
↓ 80'
45
J. Mantell
M
↓ 62'
23
O. Lavale
M
🟨 78'
18
N. Blair
F
↓ 62'
Substitutes
40
D. Peraic-Cullen
G
7
C. Theoharous
F
↑ 80'
16
H. Steele
M
↑ 86'
3
N. Paull
D
↑ 46'
43
J. Nasso
D
37
B. Brandtman
F
↑ 62'
10
M. Di Pizio
M
↑ 62'
Last matches: Newcastle Jets
16.05.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
1
1
D
09.05.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
1
1
D
17.04.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Melbourne Victory
2
2
D
11.04.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Adelaide United
1
1
D
02.04.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
2
3
L
22.03.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
2
1
W
14.03.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Auckland
1
2
L
07.03.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
28.02.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
0
0
D
22.02.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
1
0
W
13.02.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
3
1
W
08.02.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Adelaide United
3
2
W
31.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Brisbane Roar
4
1
W
23.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Wellington Phoenix
4
1
W
17.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
11.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Melbourne City
1
0
W
01.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Auckland
3
1
W
26.12.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
4
5
L
20.12.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
2
0
W
14.12.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
W
Last matches: Central Coast Mariners
19.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
1
0
W
10.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
2
2
D
07.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne City
1
2
L
04.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
2
2
D
21.03.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory
1
4
L
14.03.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United
1
1
D
04.03.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
3
1
W
28.02.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
0
0
D
22.02.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Western Sydney Wanderers
3
2
W
07.02.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
01.02.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
24.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
2
2
D
18.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
1
1
D
10.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
0
3
L
04.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United
4
0
W
31.12.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
1
2
L
21.12.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Wellington Phoenix
1
3
L
12.12.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
1
2
L
06.12.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Sydney
1
2
L
29.11.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne City
0
0
D
H2H: Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners
25.04.26
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
4
0
W
28.02.26
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
0
0
D
19.10.25
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
3
2
L
12.04.25
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
6
0
W
01.02.25
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
22.11.24
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
2
L
27.04.24
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
3
L
02.03.24
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
25.11.23
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
3
1
L
22.04.23
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
3
L
21.12.22
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
3
0
L
11.12.22
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
1
2
W
07.05.22
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
2
0
L
23.04.22
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
2
4
L
21.11.21
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
2
L
Last matches: Newcastle Jets
16.05.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
1
1
D
11.04.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Adelaide United
1
1
D
14.03.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Auckland
1
2
L
07.03.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
22.02.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
1
0
W
31.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Brisbane Roar
4
1
W
23.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Wellington Phoenix
4
1
W
26.12.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
4
5
L
20.12.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
2
0
W
06.12.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Melbourne City
0
1
L
23.11.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
1
2
L
01.11.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
1
4
L
24.10.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Melbourne Victory
5
2
W
H2H at home: Newcastle Jets
25.04.26
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
4
0
W
12.04.25
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
6
0
W
22.11.24
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
2
L
27.04.24
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
3
L
02.03.24
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
22.04.23
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
3
L
23.04.22
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
2
4
L
21.11.21
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
2
L
Last matches: Central Coast Mariners
19.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
1
0
W
07.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne City
1
2
L
21.03.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory
1
4
L
04.03.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
3
1
W
07.02.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
24.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
2
2
D
10.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
0
3
L
04.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United
4
0
W
21.12.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Wellington Phoenix
1
3
L
22.11.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
3
L
07.11.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
1
0
W
25.10.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Sydney
0
2
L
H2H away: Central Coast Mariners
25.04.26
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
4
0
L
12.04.25
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
6
0
L
22.11.24
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
2
W
27.04.24
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
3
W
02.03.24
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
W
22.04.23
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
3
W
23.04.22
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
2
4
W
21.11.21
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
2
W
Standings
A-League: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Newcastle Jets
Home
|
26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 16 | 48 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 43 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 42 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 11 | 40 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 8 | 39 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 33 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Missing Players
Newcastle Jets
6 missing
-
A. Badolato
OUT
Missing Fixture
Knee Injury
-
J. Baylis
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive
-
C. Bracco
OUT
Missing Fixture
Knee Injury
-
O. Fryer
OUT
Missing Fixture
Knee Injury
-
N. James
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive
-
T. Aquilina
OUT
Missing Fixture
Injury
Central Coast Mariners
4 missing
-
S. Clark
OUT
Missing Fixture
Injury
-
M. Di Pizio
OUT
Missing Fixture
Injury
-
A. McCalmont
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive
-
S. James Ngor
OUT
Questionable
Injury