AUSTRALIA A-LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
McDonald Jones Stadium
Referee: C. Berg
Newcastle Jets
Match Timeline
Central Coast Mariners
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
W. Dobson · Assist: B. Gibson
Newcastle Jets
25'
C. Taylor · Assist: E. Adams
Newcastle Jets
44'
E. Adams
Newcastle Jets
🔄
46'
B. Tapp ↔ N. Paull
Central Coast Mariners
🔄
56'
E. Adams ↔ Z. Clough
Newcastle Jets
🔄
56'
J. Shaughnessy ↔ M. Cooper
Newcastle Jets
🔄
62'
N. Blair ↔ B. Brandtman
Central Coast Mariners
🔄
62'
J. Mantell ↔ M. Di Pizio
Central Coast Mariners
🔄
68'
W. Dobson ↔ K. Mizunuma
Newcastle Jets
🔄
68'
B. Gibson ↔ X. Bertoncello
Newcastle Jets
🟨
77'
Lachlan Bayliss
Newcastle Jets
🟨
78'
Oliver Lavale
Central Coast Mariners
🔄
80'
C. Taylor ↔ K. Grozos
Newcastle Jets
🔄
80'
A. Auglah ↔ C. Theoharous
Central Coast Mariners
🔄
86'
H. Eames ↔ H. Steele
Central Coast Mariners
86'
K. Mizunuma · Assist: L. Bayliss
Newcastle Jets

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 85.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 85.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
85.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
85.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Newcastle Jets Win 51.8%
Draw 14.7%
Central Coast Mariners Win 33.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Newcastle Jets1.83
Central Coast Mariners1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets
WWDLW
51 GF / 39 GA
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
WLDWL
35 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
2.04
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
19
BTTS Yes
17
19
Over 2.5
16
5.52
Shots on Goal
3.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets 25 matches
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 25 matches
Newcastle Jets Statistic Central Coast Mariners
14 Wins 8
3 Draws 8
8 Losses 9
51 Goals For 35
39 Goals Against 38
2.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
19 BTTS Yes 17
21 Over 1.5 20
19 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 4
5.52 Shots On Goal 3.4
14.64 Total Shots 10.08
4.88 Corners 3.68
53.2% Ball Possession 43.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Newcastle Jets won 3 times, Central Coast Mariners won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:29 from Newcastle Jets's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
Predicted formations: Newcastle Jets 4-1-4-1 / Central Coast Mariners 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Newcastle Jets 6, Central Coast Mariners 4
H2H summary: Newcastle Jets wins 3, draws 2, Central Coast Mariners wins 10
Stats
Newcastle Jets Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 3
14 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 3
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Goal 2
7 Shots off Goal 7
4 Blocked Shots 2
12 Shots insidebox 4
6 Shots outsidebox 7
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
488 Total passes 419
410 Passes accurate 339
3.06 expected_goals 0.40
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Newcastle Jets
Formation
Central Coast Mariners
J. Delianov
J. Delianov
J. Bertolissio
J. Bertolissio
J. Shaughnessy
J. Shaughnessy
M. Natta
M. Natta
D. Wilmering
D. Wilmering
M. Burgess
M. Burgess
E. Adams
🎯
E. Adams
W. Dobson
W. Dobson
L. Bayliss
🎯
L. Bayliss
C. Taylor
C. Taylor
B. Gibson
🎯
B. Gibson
A. Redmayne
A. Redmayne
S. Roux
S. Roux
J. Donachie
J. Donachie
B. Tapp
B. Tapp
L. Mauragis
L. Mauragis
C. Donnell
C. Donnell
H. Eames
H. Eames
A. Auglah
A. Auglah
J. Mantell
J. Mantell
O. Lavale
O. Lavale
N. Blair
N. Blair
Newcastle Jets 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
J. Delianov
G
22
J. Bertolissio
D
5
J. Shaughnessy
↓ 56'
D
33
M. Natta
D
23
D. Wilmering
D
14
M. Burgess
M
7
E. Adams
⚽ 44' 🎯 25' ↓ 56'
M
28
W. Dobson
⚽ 21' ↓ 68'
M
8
L. Bayliss
🎯 86' 🟨 77'
M
13
C. Taylor
⚽ 25' ↓ 80'
M
11
B. Gibson
🎯 21' ↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
20
A. Nassiep
G
18
K. Mizunuma
⚽ 86' ↑ 68'
M
43
X. Bertoncello
↑ 68'
F
10
Z. Clough
↑ 56'
M
17
K. Grozos
↑ 80'
M
24
A. Nunes
M
42
M. Cooper
↑ 56'
D
Central Coast Mariners 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
A. Redmayne
G
15
S. Roux
D
2
J. Donachie
D
26
B. Tapp
↓ 46'
D
5
L. Mauragis
D
48
C. Donnell
M
6
H. Eames
↓ 86'
M
72
A. Auglah
↓ 80'
M
45
J. Mantell
↓ 62'
M
23
O. Lavale
🟨 78'
M
18
N. Blair
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
40
D. Peraic-Cullen
G
7
C. Theoharous
↑ 80'
F
16
H. Steele
↑ 86'
M
3
N. Paull
↑ 46'
D
43
J. Nasso
D
37
B. Brandtman
↑ 62'
F
10
M. Di Pizio
↑ 62'
M
Last matches: Newcastle Jets
16.05.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
1
1
D
09.05.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
1
1
D
17.04.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Melbourne Victory
2
2
D
11.04.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Adelaide United
1
1
D
02.04.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
2
3
L
22.03.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
2
1
W
14.03.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Auckland
1
2
L
07.03.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
28.02.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
0
0
D
22.02.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
1
0
W
13.02.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
3
1
W
08.02.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Adelaide United
3
2
W
31.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Brisbane Roar
4
1
W
23.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Wellington Phoenix
4
1
W
17.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
11.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Melbourne City
1
0
W
01.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Auckland
3
1
W
26.12.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
4
5
L
20.12.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
2
0
W
14.12.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Wellington Phoenix
3
1
W
Last matches: Central Coast Mariners
19.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
1
0
W
10.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
2
2
D
07.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne City
1
2
L
04.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
2
2
D
21.03.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory
1
4
L
14.03.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United
1
1
D
04.03.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
3
1
W
28.02.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
0
0
D
22.02.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Western Sydney Wanderers
3
2
W
07.02.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
01.02.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory
1
0
W
24.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
2
2
D
18.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
1
1
D
10.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
0
3
L
04.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United
4
0
W
31.12.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
1
2
L
21.12.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Wellington Phoenix
1
3
L
12.12.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
1
2
L
06.12.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Sydney
1
2
L
29.11.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne City
0
0
D
H2H: Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners
25.04.26
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
4
0
W
28.02.26
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
0
0
D
19.10.25
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
3
2
L
12.04.25
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
6
0
W
01.02.25
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
2
2
D
22.11.24
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
2
L
27.04.24
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
3
L
02.03.24
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
25.11.23
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
3
1
L
22.04.23
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
3
L
21.12.22
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
3
0
L
11.12.22
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
1
2
W
07.05.22
H2H
Central Coast Mariners
Newcastle Jets
2
0
L
23.04.22
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
2
4
L
21.11.21
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
2
L
Last matches: Newcastle Jets
16.05.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
1
1
D
11.04.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Adelaide United
1
1
D
14.03.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Auckland
1
2
L
07.03.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
1
W
22.02.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
1
0
W
31.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Brisbane Roar
4
1
W
23.01.26
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Wellington Phoenix
4
1
W
26.12.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Macarthur
4
5
L
20.12.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
2
0
W
06.12.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Melbourne City
0
1
L
23.11.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
1
2
L
01.11.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Sydney
1
4
L
24.10.25
A-L
Newcastle Jets
Melbourne Victory
5
2
W
H2H at home: Newcastle Jets
25.04.26
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
4
0
W
12.04.25
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
6
0
W
22.11.24
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
2
L
27.04.24
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
3
L
02.03.24
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
L
22.04.23
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
3
L
23.04.22
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
2
4
L
21.11.21
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
2
L
Last matches: Central Coast Mariners
19.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
1
0
W
07.04.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne City
1
2
L
21.03.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Melbourne Victory
1
4
L
04.03.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
3
1
W
07.02.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Brisbane Roar
2
1
W
24.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Auckland
2
2
D
10.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
0
3
L
04.01.26
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United
4
0
W
21.12.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Wellington Phoenix
1
3
L
22.11.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Western Sydney Wanderers
2
3
L
07.11.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Perth Glory
1
0
W
25.10.25
A-L
Central Coast Mariners
Sydney
0
2
L
H2H away: Central Coast Mariners
25.04.26
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
4
0
L
12.04.25
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
6
0
L
22.11.24
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
2
W
27.04.24
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
3
W
02.03.24
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
0
1
W
22.04.23
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
3
W
23.04.22
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
2
4
W
21.11.21
H2H
Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
1
2
W

Standings

A-League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 3 8 55:39 16 48
W D D L W
2 26 12 7 7 46:36 10 43
W W D D W
3 26 11 9 6 42:29 13 42
D L D D L
4 26 11 7 8 44:33 11 40
W D D L W
5 26 11 6 9 33:25 8 39
D D W D L
6 26 10 8 8 33:33 0 38
L W W W W
7 26 9 7 10 37:44 -7 34
W L L W W
8 26 9 6 11 36:48 -12 33
L W L W W
9 26 8 8 10 35:42 -7 32
L W D L D
10 26 8 7 11 32:39 -7 31
W D W D D
11 26 6 8 12 27:36 -9 26
L L D D L
12 26 5 6 15 27:43 -16 21
L L L L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)

Missing Players

Newcastle Jets 6 missing
-
A. Badolato
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Baylis
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
C. Bracco
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
O. Fryer
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
N. James
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
T. Aquilina
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Central Coast Mariners 4 missing
-
S. Clark
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
M. Di Pizio
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
A. McCalmont
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
S. James Ngor
Questionable Injury
OUT