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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
24.10.2026 21:30
Sports Illustrated Stadium

New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 75%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
75%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
New York Red Bulls Win 25%
Draw 22.4%
Inter Miami Win 52.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
New York Red Bulls1.52
Inter Miami2.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
WWDLW
52 GF / 69 GA
Inter Miami Inter Miami
WLDWL
80 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
2.22
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
22
BTTS Yes
27
23
Over 2.5
27
4.83
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 36 matches
Inter Miami Inter Miami 36 matches
New York Red Bulls Statistic Inter Miami
12 Wins 17
6 Draws 13
18 Losses 6
52 Goals For 80
69 Goals Against 59
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 2.22
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
22 BTTS Yes 27
31 Over 1.5 33
23 Over 2.5 27
16 Over 3.5 20
5 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 4
4.83 Shots On Goal 6
13.9 Total Shots 14.59
5.87 Corners 4.91
53% Ball Possession 57.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Inter Miami's more proactive style and New York Red Bulls's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Inter Miami. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Inter Miami carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 52 points while New York Red Bulls sit 8 on 36, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

New York Red Bulls Analysis

New York Red Bulls are currently 8 in the standings with 36 points from 29 matches. The record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 39:54 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Ruvalcaba (8 goals), J. Hall (6 goals), E. Choupo-Moting (4 goals), with creative support from R. Donkor (4 assists), E. Forsberg (4 assists), J. Hall (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Inter Miami Analysis

Inter Miami come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 52 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 10 draws, and 5 losses, while the 70:50 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Messi (15 goals), L. Suárez (12 goals), G. Berterame (8 goals), with creative support from L. Messi (11 assists), R. De Paul (7 assists), G. Berterame (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, New York Red Bulls won 6 times, Inter Miami won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:25 from New York Red Bulls's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.77 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.6%)
Predicted formations: New York Red Bulls 4-3-3 / Inter Miami 4-3-3
H2H summary: New York Red Bulls wins 6, draws 1, Inter Miami wins 6

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 20 7 3 64:23 41 67
D W W W W
2 30 15 10 5 73:51 22 55
W W W L D
3 30 16 4 10 49:41 8 52
W W L L W
4 30 14 6 10 52:44 8 48
L L W W W
5 30 13 8 9 53:45 8 47
D L W L W
6 30 13 7 10 61:48 13 46
D W W W W
7 30 12 5 13 58:70 -12 41
W D W L L
8 30 10 6 14 39:56 -17 36
L L W L W
9 29 9 9 11 60:70 -10 36
L L W L D
10 30 8 12 10 46:55 -9 36
W D W L L
11 30 10 5 15 46:47 -1 35
W W L W W
12 30 8 10 12 43:41 2 34
D L L D L
13 29 7 12 10 37:51 -14 33
L W L D L
14 30 8 6 16 37:51 -14 30
L W L D W
15 30 6 7 17 36:60 -24 25
D L L W L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)