WORLD WORLD CUP
--.--.---- --:--
NRG Stadium
Referee: Michael Oliver, England
Netherlands
Match Timeline
Sweden
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
B. Brobbey · Assist: C. Gakpo
Netherlands
17'
B. Brobbey · Assist: D. Dumfries
Netherlands
🔄
46'
D. Malen ↔ C. Summerville
Netherlands
47'
C. Gakpo · Assist: D. Dumfries
Netherlands
🟨
53'
G. Gudmundsson
Sweden
54'
C. Gakpo · Assist: C. Summerville
Netherlands
🔄
55'
A. Bernhardsson ↔ A. Elanga
Sweden
🔄
56'
B. Nygren ↔ L. Bergvall
Sweden
🔄
56'
J. Karlstrom ↔ B. Zeneli
Sweden
🔄
59'
T. Reijnders ↔ G. Til
Netherlands
🔄
59'
F. de Jong ↔ T. Koopmeiners
Netherlands
59'
A. Elanga · Assist: A. Isak
Sweden
🔄
72'
B. Brobbey ↔ M. Depay
Netherlands
🟨
75'
Y. Ayari
Sweden
🔄
79'
Y. Ayari ↔ T. Ali
Sweden
🟨
80'
L. Bergvall
Sweden
89'
C. Summerville · Assist: M. Depay
Netherlands
🔄
90'
C. Gakpo ↔ N. Lang
Netherlands
🔄
90+3'
G. Gudmundsson ↔ E. Stroud
Sweden

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.7%
Odds 1.76
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.66
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.7%
1.76
BTTS Yes
78.9%
1.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.66
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.8%
1.29
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.50
Probability Distribution
Netherlands Win 63.7%
Draw 11.9%
Sweden Win 24.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Netherlands1.64
Sweden2.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Netherlands Netherlands
WWDLW
7 GF / 6 GA
Sweden Sweden
WLDWL
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
2.67
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
2
4
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
4.4
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Netherlands Netherlands 5 matches
Sweden Sweden 3 matches
Netherlands Statistic Sweden
2 Wins 1
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
7 Goals For 8
6 Goals Against 6
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 2.67
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 2
4 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
4.4 Shots On Goal 5.67
11.6 Total Shots 11.67
4.8 Corners 2
50.6% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Netherlands won 1 times, Sweden won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Netherlands's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.1%)
Predicted formations: Netherlands 4-3-3 / Sweden 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Netherlands wins 1, draws 1, Sweden wins 0
Stats
Netherlands Netherlands
Sweden Sweden
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
2 Corner Kicks 5
9 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 3
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Goal 8
2 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 7
4 Shots outsidebox 9
7 Goalkeeper Saves 2
450 Total passes 424
397 Passes accurate 361
2.47 expected_goals 0.98
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Netherlands
Formation
Sweden
Bart Verbruggen
Bart Verbruggen
Denzel Dumfries
🎯
Denzel Dumfries
Jan Paul van Hecke
Jan Paul van Hecke
Virgil van Dijk
Virgil van Dijk
Micky van de Ven
Micky van de Ven
Ryan Gravenberch
Ryan Gravenberch
Frenkie de Jong
Frenkie de Jong
Tijjani Reijnders
Tijjani Reijnders
Donyell Malen
Donyell Malen
Brian Brobbey
⚽ 2
Brian Brobbey
Cody Gakpo
⚽ 2 🎯
Cody Gakpo
Kristoffer Nordfeldt
Kristoffer Nordfeldt
Gustaf Lagerbielke
Gustaf Lagerbielke
Isak Hien
Isak Hien
Victor Lindelöf
Victor Lindelöf
Jesper Karlström
Jesper Karlström
Alexander Bernhardsson
Alexander Bernhardsson
Benjamin Nygren
Benjamin Nygren
Yasin Ayari
Yasin Ayari
Gabriel Gudmundsson
Gabriel Gudmundsson
Viktor Gyökeres
Viktor Gyökeres
Alexander Isak
🎯
Alexander Isak
Netherlands 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Bart Verbruggen
G
22
Denzel Dumfries
🎯 17' 🎯 47'
D
6
Jan Paul van Hecke
D
4
Virgil van Dijk
D
15
Micky van de Ven
D
8
Ryan Gravenberch
M
21
Frenkie de Jong
↓ 59'
M
14
Tijjani Reijnders
↓ 59'
M
18
Donyell Malen
↓ 46'
F
19
Brian Brobbey
⚽ 5' ⚽ 17' ↓ 72'
F
11
Cody Gakpo
⚽ 47' ⚽ 54' 🎯 5' ↓ 90'
F
Substitutes
24
Crysencio Summerville
⚽ 89' 🎯 54' ↑ 46'
F
16
Guus Til
↑ 59'
M
20
Teun Koopmeiners
↑ 59'
M
10
Memphis Depay
🎯 89' ↑ 72'
F
17
Noa Lang
↑ 90'
F
23
Mark Flekken
G
13
Robin Roefs
G
25
Jorrel Hato
D
5
Nathan Aké
D
2
Lutsharel Geertruida
D
12
Mats Wieffer
M
7
Justin Kluivert
F
3
Marten de Roon
M
9
Wout Weghorst
F
Sweden 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
23
Kristoffer Nordfeldt
G
2
Gustaf Lagerbielke
D
4
Isak Hien
D
3
Victor Lindelöf
D
16
Jesper Karlström
↓ 56'
M
21
Alexander Bernhardsson
↓ 55'
M
10
Benjamin Nygren
↓ 56'
M
18
Yasin Ayari
↓ 79' 🟨 75'
M
5
Gabriel Gudmundsson
↓ 90+3' 🟨 53'
M
17
Viktor Gyökeres
F
9
Alexander Isak
🎯 59'
F
Substitutes
22
Besfort Zeneli
↑ 56'
M
7
Lucas Bergvall
↑ 56' 🟨 80'
M
11
Anthony Elanga
⚽ 59' ↑ 55'
F
26
Taha Abdi Ali
↑ 79'
M
24
Elliot Stroud
↑ 90+3'
M
1
Jacob Widell Zetterström
G
12
Viktor Johansson
G
15
Carl Starfelt
D
14
Hjalmar Ekdal
D
20
Eric Smith
D
8
Daniel Svensson
D
6
Herman Johansson
M
13
Ken Sema
M
19
Mattias Svanberg
M
25
Gustaf Nilsson
F
Last matches: Netherlands
14.06.26
Wor
Netherlands
Japan
2
2
D
08.06.26
Fri
Netherlands
Uzbekistan
2
1
W
03.06.26
Fri
Netherlands
Algeria
0
1
L
31.03.26
Fri
Netherlands
Ecuador
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Netherlands
Norway
2
1
W
17.11.25
Wor
Netherlands
Lithuania
4
0
W
14.11.25
Wor
Netherlands
Poland
1
1
D
12.10.25
Wor
Netherlands
Finland
4
0
W
09.10.25
Wor
Netherlands
Malta
4
0
W
07.09.25
Wor
Netherlands
Lithuania
3
2
W
04.09.25
Wor
Netherlands
Poland
1
1
D
10.06.25
Wor
Netherlands
Malta
8
0
W
07.06.25
Wor
Netherlands
Finland
2
0
W
23.03.25
UEF
Netherlands
Spain
3
3
D
20.03.25
UEF
Netherlands
Spain
2
2
D
19.11.24
UEF
Netherlands
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
16.11.24
UEF
Netherlands
Hungary
4
0
W
14.10.24
UEF
Netherlands
Germany
0
1
L
11.10.24
UEF
Netherlands
Hungary
1
1
D
10.09.24
UEF
Netherlands
Germany
2
2
D
Last matches: Sweden
15.06.26
Wor
Sweden
Tunisia
5
1
W
04.06.26
Fri
Sweden
Greece
2
2
D
01.06.26
Fri
Sweden
Norway
1
3
L
31.03.26
Wor
Sweden
Poland
3
2
W
26.03.26
Wor
Sweden
Ukraine
3
1
W
18.11.25
Wor
Sweden
Slovenia
1
1
D
15.11.25
Wor
Sweden
Switzerland
1
4
L
13.10.25
Wor
Sweden
Kosovo
0
1
L
10.10.25
Wor
Sweden
Switzerland
0
2
L
08.09.25
Wor
Sweden
Kosovo
0
2
L
05.09.25
Wor
Sweden
Slovenia
2
2
D
19.11.24
UEF
Sweden
Azerbaijan
6
0
W
16.11.24
UEF
Sweden
Slovakia
2
1
W
14.10.24
UEF
Sweden
Estonia
3
0
W
11.10.24
UEF
Sweden
Slovakia
2
2
D
08.09.24
UEF
Sweden
Estonia
3
0
W
05.09.24
UEF
Sweden
Azerbaijan
3
1
W
H2H: Netherlands vs Sweden
10.10.17
H2H
Netherlands
Sweden
2
0
W
06.09.16
H2H
Sweden
Netherlands
1
1
D
Last matches: Netherlands
14.06.26
Wor
Netherlands
Japan
2
2
D
08.06.26
Fri
Netherlands
Uzbekistan
2
1
W
03.06.26
Fri
Netherlands
Algeria
0
1
L
31.03.26
Fri
Netherlands
Ecuador
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Netherlands
Norway
2
1
W
17.11.25
Wor
Netherlands
Lithuania
4
0
W
12.10.25
Wor
Netherlands
Finland
4
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Netherlands
Poland
1
1
D
10.06.25
Wor
Netherlands
Malta
8
0
W
20.03.25
UEF
Netherlands
Spain
2
2
D
16.11.24
UEF
Netherlands
Hungary
4
0
W
10.09.24
UEF
Netherlands
Germany
2
2
D
07.09.24
UEF
Netherlands
Bosnia & Herzegovina
5
2
W
H2H at home: Netherlands
10.10.17
H2H
Netherlands
Sweden
2
0
W
Last matches: Sweden
01.06.26
Fri
Sweden
Norway
1
3
L
26.03.26
Wor
Sweden
Ukraine
3
1
W
15.11.25
Wor
Sweden
Switzerland
1
4
L
08.09.25
Wor
Sweden
Kosovo
0
2
L
05.09.25
Wor
Sweden
Slovenia
2
2
D
14.10.24
UEF
Sweden
Estonia
3
0
W
11.10.24
UEF
Sweden
Slovakia
2
2
D
05.09.24
UEF
Sweden
Azerbaijan
3
1
W
H2H away: Sweden
10.10.17
H2H
Netherlands
Sweden
2
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.77
Draw 4.07
Home 1.76
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.03
Draw 2.56
Home 2.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 1.75 1.25
Over 2.0 1.29
Over 2.25 1.47
Over 2.5 1.66
Over 2.75 1.82
Over 3.0 2.09
Over 3.25 2.35
Over 3.5 2.63
Over 3.75 3.10
Over 4.0 4.02
Under 1.5 3.86
Under 1.75 4.24
Under 2.0 3.78
Under 2.25 2.78
Under 2.5 2.32
Under 2.75 2.07
Under 3.0 1.83
Under 3.25 1.65
Under 3.5 1.53
Under 3.75 1.40
Under 4.0 1.27
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 4.00
Home 1.70
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.40
Home 2.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.62
Home 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.67
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 19.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.20
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.89
Draw 4.14
Home 1.76
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.87
Draw 2.37
Home 2.26
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.52
Draw 2.81
Home 2.03
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.00
Over 1.25 1.10
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 1.75 1.24
Over 2.0 1.28
Over 2.25 1.50
Over 2.5 1.68
Over 2.75 1.84
Over 3.0 2.04
Over 3.25 2.29
Over 3.5 2.55
Over 3.75 3.00
Over 4.0 3.78
Over 4.25 4.12
Over 4.5 4.45
Over 4.75 5.48
Over 5.0 7.50
Over 5.5 8.20
Over 6.5 19.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 14.40
Under 0.75 9.25
Under 1.0 11.20
Under 1.25 6.13
Under 1.5 4.40
Under 1.75 3.96
Under 2.0 3.54
Under 2.25 2.71
Under 2.5 2.27
Under 2.75 2.03
Under 3.0 1.75
Under 3.25 1.57
Under 3.5 1.47
Under 3.75 1.33
Under 4.0 1.22
Under 4.25 1.17
Under 4.5 1.15
Under 4.75 1.08
Under 5.0 1.03
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 4.00
Home 1.72
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 2.35
Home 2.35
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.95
Home 1.92
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.25 1.16
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 1.75 1.35
Over 2.0 1.28
Over 2.25 1.45
Over 2.5 1.63
Over 2.75 1.79
Over 3.0 2.04
Over 3.25 2.32
Over 3.5 2.60
Over 3.75 3.10
Over 4.0 6.25
Over 4.25 6.75
Over 4.5 4.75
Over 5.5 9.50
Under 0.5 14.00
Under 1.25 5.00
Under 1.5 4.70
Under 1.75 3.10
Under 2.0 3.65
Under 2.25 2.75
Under 2.5 2.28
Under 2.75 2.02
Under 3.0 1.78
Under 3.25 1.61
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 3.75 1.37
Under 4.0 1.11
Under 4.25 1.09
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.04

Standings

Group F
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 5:1 4 3
W
2 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
3 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
4 1 0 0 1 1:5 -4 0
L
Round of 32