WORLD WORLD CUP
20.06.2026 17:00
NRG Stadium
Referee: Michael Oliver, England
Netherlands
Match Timeline
Sweden
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
B. Brobbey · Assist: C. Gakpo
Netherlands
17'
B. Brobbey · Assist: D. Dumfries
Netherlands
🔄
46'
D. Malen ↔ C. Summerville
Netherlands
47'
C. Gakpo · Assist: D. Dumfries
Netherlands
🟨
53'
Gabriel Gudmundsson
Sweden
54'
C. Gakpo · Assist: C. Summerville
Netherlands
🔄
55'
A. Bernhardsson ↔ A. Elanga
Sweden
🔄
56'
B. Nygren ↔ L. Bergvall
Sweden
🔄
56'
J. Karlstrom ↔ B. Zeneli
Sweden
🔄
59'
F. de Jong ↔ T. Koopmeiners
Netherlands
🔄
59'
T. Reijnders ↔ G. Til
Netherlands
59'
A. Elanga · Assist: A. Isak
Sweden
🔄
72'
B. Brobbey ↔ M. Depay
Netherlands
🟨
75'
Yasin Ayari
Sweden
🔄
79'
Y. Ayari ↔ T. Ali
Sweden
🟨
80'
Lucas Bergvall
Sweden
89'
C. Summerville · Assist: M. Depay
Netherlands
🔄
90'
C. Gakpo ↔ N. Lang
Netherlands
🔄
90+3'
G. Gudmundsson ↔ E. Stroud
Sweden

Netherlands vs Sweden Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.7%
-
BTTS Yes
78.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Netherlands Win 63.7%
Draw 11.9%
Sweden Win 24.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Netherlands1.64
Sweden2.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Netherlands Netherlands
WWDLW
7 GF / 6 GA
Sweden Sweden
WLDWL
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
2.67
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
2
4
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
4.4
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Netherlands Netherlands 5 matches
Sweden Sweden 3 matches
Netherlands Statistic Sweden
2 Wins 1
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
7 Goals For 8
6 Goals Against 6
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 2.67
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 2
4 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
4.4 Shots On Goal 5.67
11.6 Total Shots 11.67
4.8 Corners 2
50.6% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Netherlands won 2 times, Sweden won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:2 from Netherlands's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.1%)
Predicted formations: Netherlands 4-3-3 / Sweden 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Netherlands wins 2, draws 1, Sweden wins 0

Standings

Group F
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 2 1 0 10:4 6 7
L W W D
2 3 1 2 0 7:3 4 5
L D W D
3 3 1 1 1 7:7 0 4
L D L W
4 3 0 0 3 2:12 -10 0
L L L
Round of 32