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WORLD › WORLD CUP
--.--.---- --:--
Netherlands
FT
5 - 1
Sweden
NRG Stadium
Referee: Michael Oliver, England
Netherlands
Match Timeline
Sweden
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
B. Brobbey · Assist: C. Gakpo
Netherlands
⚽
17'
B. Brobbey · Assist: D. Dumfries
Netherlands
🔄
46'
D. Malen ↔ C. Summerville
Netherlands
⚽
47'
C. Gakpo · Assist: D. Dumfries
Netherlands
🟨
53'
Gabriel Gudmundsson
Sweden
⚽
54'
C. Gakpo · Assist: C. Summerville
Netherlands
🔄
55'
A. Bernhardsson ↔ A. Elanga
Sweden
🔄
56'
B. Nygren ↔ L. Bergvall
Sweden
🔄
56'
J. Karlstrom ↔ B. Zeneli
Sweden
🔄
59'
F. de Jong ↔ T. Koopmeiners
Netherlands
🔄
59'
T. Reijnders ↔ G. Til
Netherlands
⚽
59'
A. Elanga · Assist: A. Isak
Sweden
🔄
72'
B. Brobbey ↔ M. Depay
Netherlands
🟨
75'
Yasin Ayari
Sweden
🔄
79'
Y. Ayari ↔ T. Ali
Sweden
🟨
80'
Lucas Bergvall
Sweden
⚽
89'
C. Summerville · Assist: M. Depay
Netherlands
🔄
90'
C. Gakpo ↔ N. Lang
Netherlands
🔄
90+3'
G. Gudmundsson ↔ E. Stroud
Sweden

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Netherlands Win 63.7%
Draw 11.9%
Sweden Win 24.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Netherlands1.64
Sweden2.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Netherlands Netherlands
WWDLW
7 GF / 6 GA
Sweden Sweden
WLDWL
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
2.67
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
2
4
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
4.4
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Netherlands Netherlands 5 matches
Sweden Sweden 3 matches
Netherlands Statistic Sweden
2 Wins 1
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
7 Goals For 8
6 Goals Against 6
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 2.67
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 2
4 BTTS Yes 3
4 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
4.4 Shots On Goal 5.67
11.6 Total Shots 11.67
4.8 Corners 2
50.6% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Netherlands won 2 times, Sweden won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:2 from Netherlands's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.1%)
Predicted formations: Netherlands 4-3-3 / Sweden 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Netherlands wins 2, draws 1, Sweden wins 0
Stats
Netherlands Netherlands
Sweden Sweden
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
2 Corner Kicks 5
9 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 3
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Goal 8
2 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 7
4 Shots outsidebox 9
7 Goalkeeper Saves 2
449 Total passes 425
398 Passes accurate 361
2.61 expected_goals 1.01
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Netherlands
Formation
Sweden
B. Verbruggen
B. Verbruggen
D. Dumfries
🎯
D. Dumfries
J. P. van Hecke
J. P. van Hecke
V. van Dijk
V. van Dijk
M. van de Ven
M. van de Ven
R. Gravenberch
R. Gravenberch
F. de Jong
↓
F. de Jong
T. Reijnders
↓
T. Reijnders
D. Malen
↓
D. Malen
B. Brobbey
⚽ 2 ↓
B. Brobbey
C. Gakpo
⚽ 2 🎯 ↓
C. Gakpo
K. Nordfeldt
K. Nordfeldt
G. Lagerbielke
G. Lagerbielke
I. Hien
I. Hien
V. Lindelof
V. Lindelof
J. Karlstrom
↓
J. Karlstrom
A. Bernhardsson
↓
A. Bernhardsson
B. Nygren
↓
B. Nygren
Y. Ayari
↓
Y. Ayari
G. Gudmundsson
↓
G. Gudmundsson
V. Gyökeres
V. Gyökeres
A. Isak
🎯
A. Isak
Netherlands 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
B. Verbruggen
G
22
D. Dumfries
🎯 17' 🎯 47'
D
6
J. P. van Hecke
D
4
V. van Dijk
D
15
M. van de Ven
D
8
R. Gravenberch
M
21
F. de Jong
↓ 59'
M
14
T. Reijnders
↓ 59'
M
18
D. Malen
↓ 46'
F
19
B. Brobbey
⚽ 5' ⚽ 17' ↓ 72'
F
11
C. Gakpo
⚽ 47' ⚽ 54' 🎯 5' ↓ 90'
F
Substitutes
23
M. Flekken
G
13
R. Roefs
G
10
M. Depay
🎯 89' ↑ 72'
F
9
W. Weghorst
F
24
C. Summerville
⚽ 89' 🎯 54' ↑ 46'
F
12
M. Wieffer
M
3
M. De Roon
M
5
N. Ake
D
20
T. Koopmeiners
↑ 59'
M
7
J. Kluivert
F
16
G. Til
↑ 59'
M
17
N. Lang
↑ 90'
F
2
L. Geertruida
D
25
J. Hato
D
Sweden 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
23
K. Nordfeldt
G
2
G. Lagerbielke
D
4
I. Hien
D
3
V. Lindelof
D
16
J. Karlstrom
↓ 56'
M
21
A. Bernhardsson
↓ 55'
M
10
B. Nygren
↓ 56'
M
18
Y. Ayari
↓ 79' 🟨 75'
M
5
G. Gudmundsson
↓ 90+3' 🟨 53'
M
17
V. Gyökeres
F
9
A. Isak
🎯 59'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
G
12
V. Johansson
G
15
C. Starfelt
D
25
G. Nilsson
F
19
M. Svanberg
M
6
H. Johansson
M
26
T. Ali
↑ 79'
M
13
K. Sema
M
20
E. Smith
D
14
H. Ekdal
D
11
A. Elanga
⚽ 59' ↑ 55'
F
24
E. Stroud
↑ 90+3'
M
8
D. Svensson
D
7
L. Bergvall
↑ 56' 🟨 80'
M
22
B. Zeneli
↑ 56'
M
Last matches: Netherlands
30.06.26
Wor
Netherlands
Morocco
1
1
D
25.06.26
Wor
Netherlands
Tunisia
3
1
W
14.06.26
Wor
Netherlands
Japan
2
2
D
08.06.26
Fri
Netherlands
Uzbekistan
2
1
W
03.06.26
Fri
Netherlands
Algeria
0
1
L
31.03.26
Fri
Netherlands
Ecuador
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Netherlands
Norway
2
1
W
17.11.25
Wor
Netherlands
Lithuania
4
0
W
14.11.25
Wor
Netherlands
Poland
1
1
D
12.10.25
Wor
Netherlands
Finland
4
0
W
09.10.25
Wor
Netherlands
Malta
4
0
W
07.09.25
Wor
Netherlands
Lithuania
3
2
W
04.09.25
Wor
Netherlands
Poland
1
1
D
10.06.25
Wor
Netherlands
Malta
8
0
W
07.06.25
Wor
Netherlands
Finland
2
0
W
23.03.25
UEF
Netherlands
Spain
3
3
D
20.03.25
UEF
Netherlands
Spain
2
2
D
19.11.24
UEF
Netherlands
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
16.11.24
UEF
Netherlands
Hungary
4
0
W
14.10.24
UEF
Netherlands
Germany
0
1
L
Last matches: Sweden
30.06.26
Wor
Sweden
France
0
3
L
25.06.26
Wor
Sweden
Japan
1
1
D
15.06.26
Wor
Sweden
Tunisia
5
1
W
04.06.26
Fri
Sweden
Greece
2
2
D
01.06.26
Fri
Sweden
Norway
1
3
L
31.03.26
Wor
Sweden
Poland
3
2
W
26.03.26
Wor
Sweden
Ukraine
3
1
W
18.11.25
Wor
Sweden
Slovenia
1
1
D
15.11.25
Wor
Sweden
Switzerland
1
4
L
13.10.25
Wor
Sweden
Kosovo
0
1
L
10.10.25
Wor
Sweden
Switzerland
0
2
L
08.09.25
Wor
Sweden
Kosovo
0
2
L
05.09.25
Wor
Sweden
Slovenia
2
2
D
19.11.24
UEF
Sweden
Azerbaijan
6
0
W
16.11.24
UEF
Sweden
Slovakia
2
1
W
14.10.24
UEF
Sweden
Estonia
3
0
W
11.10.24
UEF
Sweden
Slovakia
2
2
D
08.09.24
UEF
Sweden
Estonia
3
0
W
05.09.24
UEF
Sweden
Azerbaijan
3
1
W
H2H: Netherlands vs Sweden
20.06.26
H2H
Netherlands
Sweden
5
1
W
10.10.17
H2H
Netherlands
Sweden
2
0
W
06.09.16
H2H
Sweden
Netherlands
1
1
D
Last matches: Netherlands
30.06.26
Wor
Netherlands
Morocco
1
1
D
14.06.26
Wor
Netherlands
Japan
2
2
D
08.06.26
Fri
Netherlands
Uzbekistan
2
1
W
03.06.26
Fri
Netherlands
Algeria
0
1
L
31.03.26
Fri
Netherlands
Ecuador
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Netherlands
Norway
2
1
W
17.11.25
Wor
Netherlands
Lithuania
4
0
W
12.10.25
Wor
Netherlands
Finland
4
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Netherlands
Poland
1
1
D
10.06.25
Wor
Netherlands
Malta
8
0
W
20.03.25
UEF
Netherlands
Spain
2
2
D
16.11.24
UEF
Netherlands
Hungary
4
0
W
10.09.24
UEF
Netherlands
Germany
2
2
D
07.09.24
UEF
Netherlands
Bosnia & Herzegovina
5
2
W
H2H at home: Netherlands
20.06.26
H2H
Netherlands
Sweden
5
1
W
10.10.17
H2H
Netherlands
Sweden
2
0
W
Last matches: Sweden
30.06.26
Wor
Sweden
France
0
3
L
25.06.26
Wor
Sweden
Japan
1
1
D
01.06.26
Fri
Sweden
Norway
1
3
L
26.03.26
Wor
Sweden
Ukraine
3
1
W
15.11.25
Wor
Sweden
Switzerland
1
4
L
08.09.25
Wor
Sweden
Kosovo
0
2
L
05.09.25
Wor
Sweden
Slovenia
2
2
D
14.10.24
UEF
Sweden
Estonia
3
0
W
11.10.24
UEF
Sweden
Slovakia
2
2
D
05.09.24
UEF
Sweden
Azerbaijan
3
1
W
H2H away: Sweden
20.06.26
H2H
Netherlands
Sweden
5
1
L
10.10.17
H2H
Netherlands
Sweden
2
0
L

Standings

Group F
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Netherlands Home
3 2 1 0 10:4 6 7
L W W D
2
Japan
3 1 2 0 7:3 4 5
L D W D
3
Sweden Away
3 1 1 1 7:7 0 4
L D L W
4
Tunisia
3 0 0 3 2:12 -10 0
L L L
Round of 32