WORLD WORLD CUP
30.06.2026 01:00
Penalties 2-3
1 - 1
Estadio BBVA
Referee: W. Sampaio
Netherlands
Match Timeline
Morocco
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
47'
I. Diop
Morocco
🔄
71'
B. Brobbey ↔ W. Weghorst
Netherlands
🔄
71'
N. Ake ↔ T. Koopmeiners
Netherlands
72'
C. Gakpo · Assist: C. Summerville
Netherlands
🔄
75'
C. Riad ↔ A. Salah-Eddine
Morocco
🔄
79'
A. Bouaddi ↔ S. El Mourabet
Morocco
🔄
79'
B. Diaz ↔ G. Yassine
Morocco
🔄
86'
R. Gravenberch ↔ Q. Timber
Netherlands
🔄
86'
M. van de Ven ↔ J. Hato
Netherlands
🔄
86'
A. Ounahi ↔ S. Rahimi
Morocco
🔄
87'
B. El Khannouss ↔ C. Talbi
Morocco
90'
I. Diop · Assist: C. Talbi
Morocco
🔄
110'
F. de Jong ↔ M. De Roon
Netherlands
🔄
113'
C. Gakpo ↔ J. Kluivert
Netherlands
120+1'
T. Koopmeiners
Netherlands
120+1'
N. El Aynaoui
Morocco
120+2'
J. Kluivert
Netherlands
120+2'
S. Rahimi
Morocco
120+3'
W. Weghorst
Netherlands
120+3'
C. Talbi
Morocco
120+4'
Q. Timber
Netherlands
120+4'
A. Hakimi
Morocco
120+5'
C. Summerville
Netherlands
120+5'
I. Saibari
Morocco

Netherlands vs Morocco Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.9%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Netherlands Win 56.9%
Draw 12.5%
Morocco Win 30.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Netherlands1.58
Morocco1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Netherlands Netherlands
WWDLW
15 GF / 8 GA
Morocco Morocco
WLDWL
19 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.14
Average Goals Scored
2.38
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
6
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
5.14
Shots on Goal
4.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Netherlands Netherlands 7 matches
Morocco Morocco 8 matches
Netherlands Statistic Morocco
4 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
1 Losses 0
15 Goals For 19
8 Goals Against 6
2.14 Avg Goals Scored 2.38
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
6 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 0
5.14 Shots On Goal 4.63
12.57 Total Shots 12.38
4.57 Corners 4.25
53.6% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Netherlands won 1 times, Morocco won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Netherlands's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: Netherlands 3-4-3 / Morocco 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Netherlands wins 1, draws 1, Morocco wins 0

Standings

Group F
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 2 1 0 10:4 6 7
L W W D
2 3 1 2 0 7:3 4 5
L D W D
3 3 1 1 1 7:7 0 4
L D L W
4 3 0 0 3 2:12 -10 0
L L L
Round of 32