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WORLD › WORLD CUP
--.--.---- --:--
Netherlands
PEN
1 - 1
Morocco
Estadio BBVA
Referee: W. Sampaio
Netherlands
Match Timeline
Morocco
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
47'
I. Diop
Morocco
🔄
71'
B. Brobbey ↔ W. Weghorst
Netherlands
🔄
71'
N. Ake ↔ T. Koopmeiners
Netherlands
⚽
72'
C. Gakpo · Assist: C. Summerville
Netherlands
🔄
75'
C. Riad ↔ A. Salah-Eddine
Morocco
🔄
79'
A. Bouaddi ↔ S. El Mourabet
Morocco
🔄
79'
B. Diaz ↔ G. Yassine
Morocco
🔄
86'
R. Gravenberch ↔ Q. Timber
Netherlands
🔄
86'
M. van de Ven ↔ J. Hato
Netherlands
🔄
86'
A. Ounahi ↔ S. Rahimi
Morocco
🔄
87'
B. El Khannouss ↔ C. Talbi
Morocco
⚽
90'
I. Diop · Assist: C. Talbi
Morocco
🔄
110'
F. de Jong ↔ M. De Roon
Netherlands
🔄
113'
C. Gakpo ↔ J. Kluivert
Netherlands
⚽
120+1'
T. Koopmeiners
Netherlands
⚽
120+1'
N. El Aynaoui
Morocco
⚽
120+2'
J. Kluivert
Netherlands
⚽
120+2'
S. Rahimi
Morocco
⚽
120+3'
W. Weghorst
Netherlands
⚽
120+3'
C. Talbi
Morocco
⚽
120+4'
Q. Timber
Netherlands
⚽
120+4'
A. Hakimi
Morocco
⚽
120+5'
C. Summerville
Netherlands
⚽
120+5'
I. Saibari
Morocco

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Netherlands Win 56.9%
Draw 12.5%
Morocco Win 30.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Netherlands1.58
Morocco1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Netherlands Netherlands
WWDLW
15 GF / 8 GA
Morocco Morocco
WLDWL
19 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.14
Average Goals Scored
2.38
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
6
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
5.14
Shots on Goal
4.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Netherlands Netherlands 7 matches
Morocco Morocco 8 matches
Netherlands Statistic Morocco
4 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
1 Losses 0
15 Goals For 19
8 Goals Against 6
2.14 Avg Goals Scored 2.38
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
6 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 0
5.14 Shots On Goal 4.63
12.57 Total Shots 12.38
4.57 Corners 4.25
53.6% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Netherlands won 1 times, Morocco won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Netherlands's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: Netherlands 3-4-3 / Morocco 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Netherlands wins 1, draws 1, Morocco wins 0
Stats
Netherlands Netherlands
Morocco Morocco
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 8
18 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 0
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Goal 5
1 Shots off Goal 4
3 Blocked Shots 2
4 Shots insidebox 7
2 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Goalkeeper Saves 1
373 Total passes 878
293 Passes accurate 800
0.23 expected_goals 1.40
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Netherlands
Formation
Morocco
B. Verbruggen
B. Verbruggen
J. P. van Hecke
J. P. van Hecke
V. van Dijk
V. van Dijk
N. Ake
↓
N. Ake
D. Dumfries
D. Dumfries
R. Gravenberch
↓
R. Gravenberch
F. de Jong
↓
F. de Jong
M. van de Ven
↓
M. van de Ven
C. Summerville
⚽ 🎯
C. Summerville
B. Brobbey
↓
B. Brobbey
C. Gakpo
⚽ ↓
C. Gakpo
Bono
Bono
A. Hakimi
⚽
A. Hakimi
I. Diop
⚽
I. Diop
C. Riad
↓
C. Riad
N. Mazraoui
N. Mazraoui
N. El Aynaoui
⚽
N. El Aynaoui
A. Bouaddi
↓
A. Bouaddi
B. Diaz
↓
B. Diaz
A. Ounahi
↓
A. Ounahi
B. El Khannouss
↓
B. El Khannouss
I. Saibari
⚽
I. Saibari
Netherlands 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
B. Verbruggen
G
6
J. P. van Hecke
D
4
V. van Dijk
D
5
N. Ake
↓ 71'
D
22
D. Dumfries
D
8
R. Gravenberch
↓ 86'
M
21
F. de Jong
↓ 110'
M
15
M. van de Ven
↓ 86'
D
24
C. Summerville
⚽ 120+5' 🎯 72'
F
19
B. Brobbey
↓ 71'
F
11
C. Gakpo
⚽ 72' ↓ 113'
F
Substitutes
23
M. Flekken
G
13
R. Roefs
G
10
M. Depay
F
9
W. Weghorst
⚽ 120+3' ↑ 71'
F
18
D. Malen
F
26
Q. Timber
⚽ 120+4' ↑ 86'
M
14
T. Reijnders
M
12
M. Wieffer
D
3
M. De Roon
↑ 110'
M
20
T. Koopmeiners
⚽ 120+1' ↑ 71'
M
7
J. Kluivert
⚽ 120+2' ↑ 113'
F
16
G. Til
M
17
N. Lang
F
2
L. Geertruida
D
25
J. Hato
↑ 86'
D
Morocco 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Bono
G
2
A. Hakimi
⚽ 120+4'
D
14
I. Diop
⚽ 90' 🟨 47'
D
18
C. Riad
↓ 75'
D
3
N. Mazraoui
D
24
N. El Aynaoui
⚽ 120+1'
M
6
A. Bouaddi
↓ 79'
M
10
B. Diaz
↓ 79'
F
8
A. Ounahi
↓ 86'
M
23
B. El Khannouss
↓ 87'
M
11
I. Saibari
⚽ 120+5'
M
Substitutes
22
A. Tagnaouti
G
12
Munir
G
4
S. Amrabat
M
20
A. El Kaabi
F
19
Y. Belammari
D
17
A. Sbai
F
7
C. Talbi
⚽ 120+3' 🎯 90' ↑ 87'
F
15
S. El Mourabet
↑ 79'
M
16
G. Yassine
↑ 79'
F
5
M. Saadane
D
9
S. Rahimi
⚽ 120+2' ↑ 86'
F
26
A. Salah-Eddine
↑ 75'
D
25
R. Halhal
D
21
A. Amaimouni
F
13
Z. El Ouahdi
D
Last matches: Netherlands
25.06.26
Wor
Netherlands
Tunisia
3
1
W
20.06.26
Wor
Netherlands
Sweden
5
1
W
14.06.26
Wor
Netherlands
Japan
2
2
D
08.06.26
Fri
Netherlands
Uzbekistan
2
1
W
03.06.26
Fri
Netherlands
Algeria
0
1
L
31.03.26
Fri
Netherlands
Ecuador
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Netherlands
Norway
2
1
W
17.11.25
Wor
Netherlands
Lithuania
4
0
W
14.11.25
Wor
Netherlands
Poland
1
1
D
12.10.25
Wor
Netherlands
Finland
4
0
W
09.10.25
Wor
Netherlands
Malta
4
0
W
07.09.25
Wor
Netherlands
Lithuania
3
2
W
04.09.25
Wor
Netherlands
Poland
1
1
D
10.06.25
Wor
Netherlands
Malta
8
0
W
07.06.25
Wor
Netherlands
Finland
2
0
W
23.03.25
UEF
Netherlands
Spain
3
3
D
20.03.25
UEF
Netherlands
Spain
2
2
D
19.11.24
UEF
Netherlands
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
16.11.24
UEF
Netherlands
Hungary
4
0
W
14.10.24
UEF
Netherlands
Germany
0
1
L
Last matches: Morocco
09.07.26
Wor
Morocco
France
0
2
L
04.07.26
Wor
Morocco
Canada
3
0
W
24.06.26
Wor
Morocco
Haiti
4
2
W
19.06.26
Wor
Morocco
Scotland
1
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
Morocco
Brazil
1
1
D
07.06.26
Fri
Morocco
Norway
1
1
D
02.06.26
Fri
Morocco
Madagascar
4
0
W
26.05.26
Fri
Morocco
Burundi
5
0
W
31.03.26
Fri
Morocco
Paraguay
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Morocco
Ecuador
1
1
D
H2H: Netherlands vs Morocco
30.06.26
H2H
Netherlands
Morocco
1
1
D
31.05.17
H2H
Morocco
Netherlands
1
2
W
Last matches: Netherlands
20.06.26
Wor
Netherlands
Sweden
5
1
W
14.06.26
Wor
Netherlands
Japan
2
2
D
08.06.26
Fri
Netherlands
Uzbekistan
2
1
W
03.06.26
Fri
Netherlands
Algeria
0
1
L
31.03.26
Fri
Netherlands
Ecuador
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Netherlands
Norway
2
1
W
17.11.25
Wor
Netherlands
Lithuania
4
0
W
12.10.25
Wor
Netherlands
Finland
4
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Netherlands
Poland
1
1
D
10.06.25
Wor
Netherlands
Malta
8
0
W
20.03.25
UEF
Netherlands
Spain
2
2
D
16.11.24
UEF
Netherlands
Hungary
4
0
W
10.09.24
UEF
Netherlands
Germany
2
2
D
07.09.24
UEF
Netherlands
Bosnia & Herzegovina
5
2
W
H2H at home: Netherlands
30.06.26
H2H
Netherlands
Morocco
1
1
D
Last matches: Morocco
09.07.26
Wor
Morocco
France
0
2
L
04.07.26
Wor
Morocco
Canada
3
0
W
19.06.26
Wor
Morocco
Scotland
1
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
Morocco
Brazil
1
1
D
H2H away: Morocco
30.06.26
H2H
Netherlands
Morocco
1
1
D

Standings

Group F
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Netherlands Home
3 2 1 0 10:4 6 7
L W W D
2
Japan
3 1 2 0 7:3 4 5
L D W D
3
Sweden
3 1 1 1 7:7 0 4
L D L W
4
Tunisia
3 0 0 3 2:12 -10 0
L L L
Round of 32