WORLD WORLD CUP
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio BBVA
Referee: Wilton Pereira Sampaio, Brazil

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.9%
Odds 2.49
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.30
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.9%
2.49
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.30
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.49
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Netherlands Win 56.9%
Draw 12.5%
Morocco Win 30.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Netherlands1.58
Morocco1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Netherlands Netherlands
WWDLW
15 GF / 8 GA
Morocco Morocco
WLDWL
19 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2.14
Average Goals Scored
2.38
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
6
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
5.14
Shots on Goal
4.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Netherlands Netherlands 7 matches
Morocco Morocco 8 matches
Netherlands Statistic Morocco
4 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
1 Losses 0
15 Goals For 19
8 Goals Against 6
2.14 Avg Goals Scored 2.38
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
6 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 0
5.14 Shots On Goal 4.63
12.57 Total Shots 12.38
4.57 Corners 4.25
53.6% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Netherlands won 1 times, Morocco won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Netherlands's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: Netherlands 3-4-2-1 / Morocco 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Netherlands wins 1, draws 0, Morocco wins 0
Stats
Netherlands Netherlands
Morocco Morocco
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Shots off Goal
0
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
0
1 Corner Kicks 0
2 Fouls 2
0 Offsides 0
44% Ball Possession 56%
1 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Goal 0
0 Shots off Goal 0
1 Blocked Shots 0
1 Shots insidebox 0
0 Shots outsidebox 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 0
53 Total passes 70
43 Passes accurate 63
0.02 expected_goals 0.00
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Netherlands
Formation
Morocco
Bart Verbruggen
Bart Verbruggen
Jan Paul van Hecke
Jan Paul van Hecke
Virgil van Dijk
Virgil van Dijk
Nathan Aké
Nathan Aké
Denzel Dumfries
Denzel Dumfries
Ryan Gravenberch
Ryan Gravenberch
Frenkie de Jong
Frenkie de Jong
Micky van de Ven
Micky van de Ven
Crysencio Summerville
Crysencio Summerville
Cody Gakpo
Cody Gakpo
Brian Brobbey
Brian Brobbey
Yassine Bounou
Yassine Bounou
Achraf Hakimi
Achraf Hakimi
Issa Diop
Issa Diop
Chadi Riad
Chadi Riad
Noussair Mazraoui
Noussair Mazraoui
Ayyoub Bouaddi
Ayyoub Bouaddi
Neil El Aynaoui
Neil El Aynaoui
Brahim Díaz
Brahim Díaz
Azzedine Ounahi
Azzedine Ounahi
Bilal El Khannouss
Bilal El Khannouss
Ismael Saibari
Ismael Saibari
Netherlands 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Bart Verbruggen
G
6
Jan Paul van Hecke
D
4
Virgil van Dijk
D
5
Nathan Aké
D
22
Denzel Dumfries
M
8
Ryan Gravenberch
M
21
Frenkie de Jong
M
15
Micky van de Ven
M
24
Crysencio Summerville
F
11
Cody Gakpo
F
19
Brian Brobbey
F
Substitutes
23
Mark Flekken
G
13
Robin Roefs
G
25
Jorrel Hato
D
2
Lutsharel Geertruida
D
12
Mats Wieffer
M
16
Guus Til
M
7
Justin Kluivert
F
3
Marten de Roon
M
26
Quinten Timber
M
20
Teun Koopmeiners
M
14
Tijjani Reijnders
M
18
Donyell Malen
F
10
Memphis Depay
F
9
Wout Weghorst
F
17
Noa Lang
F
Morocco 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Yassine Bounou
G
2
Achraf Hakimi
D
14
Issa Diop
D
18
Chadi Riad
D
3
Noussair Mazraoui
D
6
Ayyoub Bouaddi
M
24
Neil El Aynaoui
M
10
Brahim Díaz
M
8
Azzedine Ounahi
M
23
Bilal El Khannouss
M
11
Ismael Saibari
F
Substitutes
22
Ahmed Reda Tagnaouti
G
12
Munir El Kajoui
G
26
Anass Salah-Eddine
D
5
Marwane Saadane
D
25
Redouane Halhal
D
19
Youssef Belammari
D
13
Zakaria El Ouahdi
D
17
Amine Sbai
F
7
Chemsdine Talbi
F
16
Gessime Yassine
F
15
Samir El Mourabet
M
4
Sofyan Amrabat
M
20
Ayoub El Kaabi
F
21
Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab
F
9
Soufiane Rahimi
F
Last matches: Netherlands
25.06.26
Wor
Netherlands
Tunisia
3
1
W
20.06.26
Wor
Netherlands
Sweden
5
1
W
14.06.26
Wor
Netherlands
Japan
2
2
D
08.06.26
Fri
Netherlands
Uzbekistan
2
1
W
03.06.26
Fri
Netherlands
Algeria
0
1
L
31.03.26
Fri
Netherlands
Ecuador
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Netherlands
Norway
2
1
W
17.11.25
Wor
Netherlands
Lithuania
4
0
W
14.11.25
Wor
Netherlands
Poland
1
1
D
12.10.25
Wor
Netherlands
Finland
4
0
W
09.10.25
Wor
Netherlands
Malta
4
0
W
07.09.25
Wor
Netherlands
Lithuania
3
2
W
04.09.25
Wor
Netherlands
Poland
1
1
D
10.06.25
Wor
Netherlands
Malta
8
0
W
07.06.25
Wor
Netherlands
Finland
2
0
W
23.03.25
UEF
Netherlands
Spain
3
3
D
20.03.25
UEF
Netherlands
Spain
2
2
D
19.11.24
UEF
Netherlands
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
16.11.24
UEF
Netherlands
Hungary
4
0
W
14.10.24
UEF
Netherlands
Germany
0
1
L
Last matches: Morocco
24.06.26
Wor
Morocco
Haiti
4
2
W
19.06.26
Wor
Morocco
Scotland
1
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
Morocco
Brazil
1
1
D
07.06.26
Fri
Morocco
Norway
1
1
D
02.06.26
Fri
Morocco
Madagascar
4
0
W
26.05.26
Fri
Morocco
Burundi
5
0
W
31.03.26
Fri
Morocco
Paraguay
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Morocco
Ecuador
1
1
D
H2H: Netherlands vs Morocco
31.05.17
H2H
Morocco
Netherlands
1
2
W
Last matches: Netherlands
20.06.26
Wor
Netherlands
Sweden
5
1
W
14.06.26
Wor
Netherlands
Japan
2
2
D
08.06.26
Fri
Netherlands
Uzbekistan
2
1
W
03.06.26
Fri
Netherlands
Algeria
0
1
L
31.03.26
Fri
Netherlands
Ecuador
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Netherlands
Norway
2
1
W
17.11.25
Wor
Netherlands
Lithuania
4
0
W
12.10.25
Wor
Netherlands
Finland
4
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Netherlands
Poland
1
1
D
10.06.25
Wor
Netherlands
Malta
8
0
W
20.03.25
UEF
Netherlands
Spain
2
2
D
16.11.24
UEF
Netherlands
Hungary
4
0
W
10.09.24
UEF
Netherlands
Germany
2
2
D
07.09.24
UEF
Netherlands
Bosnia & Herzegovina
5
2
W
Last matches: Morocco
19.06.26
Wor
Morocco
Scotland
1
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
Morocco
Brazil
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.49
Draw 3.07
Away 3.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 3.32
Draw 2.08
Away 3.98
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.40
Under 1.5 3.06
Over 1.75 1.51
Under 1.75 2.68
Over 2.0 1.68
Under 2.0 2.29
Over 2.25 2.01
Under 2.25 1.89
Over 2.5 2.30
Under 2.5 1.67
Over 2.75 2.69
Under 2.75 1.50
Over 1.25 1.26
Under 1.25 4.01
Over 3.0 3.42
Under 3.0 1.33
Over 3.25 3.82
Under 3.25 1.28
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.38
Draw 3.10
Away 3.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 3.00
Draw 2.05
Away 4.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.62
Draw 2.30
Away 3.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.40
Under 1.5 3.00
Over 2.5 2.20
Under 2.5 1.67
Over 3.5 4.00
Under 3.5 1.25
Over 0.5 1.08
Under 0.5 8.00
Over 4.5 8.00
Under 4.5 1.08
Over 5.5 19.00
Under 5.5 1.02
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.46
Draw 3.23
Away 3.33
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 3.16
Draw 1.97
Away 4.07
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.74
Draw 2.37
Away 3.54
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.37
Under 1.5 2.93
Over 1.75 1.49
Under 1.75 2.58
Over 2.0 1.64
Under 2.0 2.22
Over 2.25 1.96
Under 2.25 1.90
Over 2.5 2.25
Under 2.5 1.69
Over 2.75 2.57
Under 2.75 1.49
Over 3.5 3.98
Under 3.5 1.22
Over 0.5 1.03
Under 0.5 7.80
Over 0.75 1.06
Under 0.75 7.23
Over 1.0 1.08
Under 1.0 6.50
Over 1.25 1.23
Under 1.25 3.88
Over 3.0 3.25
Under 3.0 1.33
Over 4.5 8.10
Under 4.5 1.03
Over 3.25 3.58
Under 3.25 1.26
Over 3.75 5.06
Under 3.75 1.13
Over 4.0 7.40
Under 4.0 1.06
Over 4.25 7.70
Under 4.25 1.03
Over 5.0 15.00
Under 5.0 1.01
Over 5.5 19.00
Under 5.5 1.02
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 2.35
Draw 3.05
Away 3.35
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.95
Draw 2.08
Away 3.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 2.63
Draw 2.43
Away 3.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.32
Under 1.5 3.25
Over 1.75 1.42
Under 1.75 2.85
Over 2.0 1.55
Under 2.0 2.43
Over 2.25 1.83
Under 2.25 1.97
Over 2.5 2.08
Under 2.5 1.72
Over 2.75 2.43
Under 2.75 1.56
Over 3.5 3.75
Under 3.5 1.26
Over 0.5 1.05
Under 0.5 9.00
Over 3.0 3.00
Under 3.0 1.38
Over 4.5 8.00
Under 4.5 1.07
Over 3.25 3.40
Under 3.25 1.32

Standings

Group F
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 2 1 0 10:4 6 7
W W D
2 3 1 2 0 7:3 4 5
D W D
3 3 1 1 1 7:7 0 4
D L W
4 3 0 0 3 2:12 -10 0
L L L
Round of 32