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24.09.2026 18:45
Johan Cruijff Arena
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
Netherlands
Match Timeline
Germany
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
14'
Virgil van Dijk
Netherlands
🟨
22'
Quinten Timber
Netherlands
🟨
24'
Jan Paul van Hecke
Netherlands
🔄
30'
K. Havertz ↔ Y. Ebnoutalib
Germany
⚽
32'
F. Nmecha · Assist: K. Adeyemi
Germany
🔄
35'
B. Brobbey ↔ M. Meerdink
Netherlands
🔄
57'
Q. Timber ↔ J. Veerman
Netherlands
🔄
64'
F. Nmecha ↔ A. Stach
Germany
🔄
64'
K. Schade ↔ C. Fuhrich
Germany
🟨
68'
Nadiem Amiri
Germany
🟨
69'
Virgil van Dijk
Netherlands
🔄
80'
N. Amiri ↔ Y. Engelhardt
Germany
🔄
80'
K. Adeyemi ↔ S. Gnabry
Germany
🔄
83'
T. Reijnders ↔ G. Til
Netherlands
🔄
83'
C. Summerville ↔ R. van Bommel
Netherlands
⚽
90'
C. Gakpo · Assist: R. van Bommel
Netherlands

Netherlands vs Germany Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Netherlands Win 37.4%
Draw 11.7%
Germany Win 50.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Netherlands1.7
Germany2.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Netherlands Netherlands
WWDLW
16 GF / 9 GA
Germany Germany
WLDWL
23 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.88
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
7
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
7
4.75
Shots on Goal
7.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Netherlands Netherlands 8 matches
Germany Germany 8 matches
Netherlands Statistic Germany
4 Wins 6
3 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
16 Goals For 23
9 Goals Against 10
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
7 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 0
4.75 Shots On Goal 7.38
11.75 Total Shots 19.13
4.63 Corners 8.13
50.6% Ball Possession 62.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Netherlands won 2 times, Germany won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:15 from Netherlands's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.44 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Netherlands 4-2-3-1 / Germany 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Netherlands wins 2, draws 3, Germany wins 4

Standings

League A - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 2 2 0 7:5 2 8
W D W D
2 4 2 2 0 5:3 2 8
D D W W
3 4 1 2 1 3:2 1 5
D W L D
4 4 0 0 4 3:8 -5 0
L L L L
Play Offs: Quarter-finals
Possible Play-off