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BRAZIL › SERIE B
15.09.2026 22:30
Estádio dos Aflitos
Referee: Matheus De Moraes Silva, Brazil
Nautico Recife
Match Timeline
Operario-PR
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Moraes Júnior
Operario-PR
⚽
1'
Vinicius · Assist: Kauan Maranhao
Nautico Recife
🟨
28'
Gabriel Boschilia
Operario-PR
🔄
45+1'
Moraes ↔ Gabriel Feliciano
Operario-PR
⚽
45'
Vinicius Diniz · Assist: Indio
Operario-PR
🟨
57'
Samuel Felix Rodrigues
Nautico Recife
🔄
67'
Kauan Maranhao ↔ Luiz Claudio
Nautico Recife
🔄
67'
B. Borasi ↔ Derek
Nautico Recife
🔄
74'
Indio ↔ J. Zuluaga
Operario-PR
🔄
74'
Maxwell ↔ Neto Paraiba
Operario-PR
🔄
74'
Caio Dantas ↔ Aylon
Operario-PR
🟨
81'
Aylon
Operario-PR
⚽
83'
Jean Carlos
Nautico Recife
🔄
84'
A. Torres ↔ H. Pereira
Operario-PR
🔄
87'
Jean Carlos ↔ Danielzinho
Nautico Recife
🔄
87'
Wenderson ↔ P. Nunez
Nautico Recife
⚽
88'
Danielzinho
Nautico Recife
🟨
90+8'
Patricio Núñez
Nautico Recife
🔄
90'
Igor Fernandes ↔ Gustavo Henrique
Nautico Recife
⚽
90'
Boschilia
Operario-PR
⚽
90'
J. Cuenu · Assist: Gabriel Feliciano
Operario-PR

Nautico Recife vs Operario-PR Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
34.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Nautico Recife Win 60.9%
Draw 8.3%
Operario-PR Win 30.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nautico Recife1.2
Operario-PR1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
L W W D W
6 GF / 4 GA
Operario-PR Operario-PR
W W D D L
6 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
12
BTTS Yes
15
10
Over 2.5
17
4.7
Shots on Goal
4.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 27 matches
Operario-PR Operario-PR 27 matches
Nautico Recife Statistic Operario-PR
10 Wins 12
7 Draws 7
10 Losses 8
32 Goals For 36
30 Goals Against 33
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
12 BTTS Yes 15
16 Over 1.5 19
10 Over 2.5 17
4 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 6
4.7 Shots On Goal 4.3
16.3 Total Shots 14.07
6.04 Corners 4.85
58.3% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Nautico Recife's more proactive style and Operario-PR's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Operario-PR. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Nautico Recife Analysis

So far, Nautico Recife have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 37 points from 26 matches. The record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 31:28 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Vinícius (4 goals), Kaua Almeida da Costa (3 goals), Dodô (2 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (2 assists), Jean Carlos (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Operario-PR Analysis

From their first 26 matches, Operario-PR have collected 40 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 11 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 33:33 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Boschilia (10 goals), Pablo (5 goals), Vinícius Diniz (3 goals), with creative support from Mikael Doka (3 assists), Boschilia (2 assists), Aylon (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Nautico Recife won 4 times, Operario-PR won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:8 from Nautico Recife's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1 / Operario-PR 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nautico Recife wins 4, draws 2, Operario-PR wins 2

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 18 8 8 48:33 15 62
D W D W W
2 34 17 10 7 61:30 31 61
D W W W D
3 34 17 10 7 41:23 18 61
D D W W W
4 34 16 12 6 41:29 12 60
W D W D D
5 35 17 8 10 36:30 6 59
L W W L W
6 34 14 12 8 42:32 10 54
D D L W W
7 35 14 12 9 47:38 9 54
W L D W W
8 34 15 7 12 51:48 3 52
L D W L W
9 35 14 9 12 45:46 -1 51
W L L L L
10 34 14 7 13 34:40 -6 49
D W W L L
11 34 11 14 9 32:27 5 47
L L D W L
12 34 12 10 12 46:37 9 46
L D L W D
13 34 12 8 14 38:38 0 44
W W W L W
14 35 10 14 11 40:40 0 44
L D D L L
15 34 11 10 13 39:42 -3 43
D L L D W
16 34 11 10 13 37:42 -5 43
D L W W D
17 34 10 7 17 33:43 -10 37
D W W L L
18 34 8 8 18 43:49 -6 32
W D L L L
19 34 5 5 24 22:54 -32 20
W L L L L
20 34 3 5 26 19:74 -55 14
D L L L L
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