BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio dos Aflitos
Referee: E. Batista
Nautico Recife
Match Timeline
Goias
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
26'
Djalma Silva · Assist: Lucas Lima
Goias
🔄
46'
Felipe Saraiva ↔ Victor Andrade
Nautico Recife
🔄
58'
Derek ↔ Luiz Claudio
Nautico Recife
🔄
58'
Reginaldo ↔ Matheus Ribeiro
Nautico Recife
🔄
62'
Jean Carlos ↔ Diego Caito
Goias
🔄
63'
Luquinhas ↔ Baldoria
Goias
🔄
69'
Indio ↔ Wanderson
Nautico Recife
🔄
70'
Leo Jance ↔ Luiz Paulo
Nautico Recife
🔄
71'
Djalma Silva ↔ Luisao
Goias
🔄
71'
Kadu ↔ Halerrandrio
Goias
🔄
82'
Cadu ↔ Juninho
Goias
🟨
90+7'
Luiz Felipe
Nautico Recife
🟨
90+4'
Rodrigo Soares
Goias

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.9%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nautico Recife Win 60.9%
Draw 9.7%
Goias Win 29.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nautico Recife1.5
Goias1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
WWDLW
21 GF / 18 GA
Goias Goias
WLDWL
13 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.93
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
4.5
Shots on Goal
3.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 14 matches
Goias Goias 14 matches
Nautico Recife Statistic Goias
6 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
6 Losses 6
21 Goals For 13
18 Goals Against 21
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
5 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 5
4.5 Shots On Goal 3.29
15.86 Total Shots 10.79
6.07 Corners 4.43
59.4% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Nautico Recife's more proactive style and Goias's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Nautico Recife have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Goias. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nautico Recife expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Goias in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Goias having the stronger overall control.

Nautico Recife Analysis

Nautico Recife sit 7 with 20 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats with a 21:18 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Vinícius (7 goals), Dodo (6 goals), Junior Todinho (2 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (2 assists), Dodo (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Goias Analysis

Goias are currently 12 in the standings with 18 points from 13 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 13:18 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), E. Garcia (2 goals), Gege (2 goals), with creative support from E. Garcia (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Anselmo Ramon (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Nautico Recife won 3 times, Goias won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:16 from Nautico Recife's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.89 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.3%)
Predicted formations: Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1 / Goias 4-4-2
H2H summary: Nautico Recife wins 3, draws 0, Goias wins 6
Stats
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
Goias Goias
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
11
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
4
6 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 3
62% Ball Possession 38%
27 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Goal 6
11 Shots off Goal 6
7 Blocked Shots 4
11 Shots insidebox 7
16 Shots outsidebox 9
5 Goalkeeper Saves 9
475 Total passes 307
413 Passes accurate 228
0.99 expected_goals 1.41
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Nautico Recife
Formation
Goias
Muriel Becker
Muriel Becker
Reginaldo
Reginaldo
Indio
Indio
Igor Fernandes
Igor Fernandes
Leo Jance
Leo Jance
Luiz Felipe
Luiz Felipe
Wenderson
Wenderson
Vinicius
Vinicius
Dodo
Dodo
Felipe Saraiva
Felipe Saraiva
Derek
Derek
Thiago Rodrigues
Thiago Rodrigues
Rodrigo Soares
Rodrigo Soares
Luiz Felipe
Luiz Felipe
Ramon Menezes
Ramon Menezes
Djalma Silva
Djalma Silva
Filipe Machado
Filipe Machado
Luquinhas
Luquinhas
Jean Carlos
Jean Carlos
Lucas Lima
🎯
Lucas Lima
Kadu
Kadu
Cadu
Cadu
Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Muriel Becker
G
93
Reginaldo
↓ 58'
D
13
Indio
↓ 69'
D
23
Igor Fernandes
D
66
Leo Jance
↓ 70'
D
27
Luiz Felipe
🟨 90+7'
M
8
Wenderson
M
7
Vinicius
M
10
Dodo
M
98
Felipe Saraiva
↓ 46'
M
72
Derek
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
55
G. Guruceaga
G
5
Auremir
M
11
Victor Andrade
↑ 46'
F
34
Wanderson
↑ 69'
D
46
Gustavo Henrique
30
Felipe Cardoso
M
41
Samuel Felix
M
16
Luiz Claudio
↑ 58'
F
18
Halan
M
60
Luiz Paulo
↑ 70'
D
14
Matheus Ribeiro
↑ 58'
D
99
Isaque Ferreira
F
Goias 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Thiago Rodrigues
G
2
Rodrigo Soares
🟨 90+4'
D
3
Luiz Felipe
D
4
Ramon Menezes
D
54
Djalma Silva
⚽ 26' ↓ 71'
D
5
Filipe Machado
M
35
Luquinhas
↓ 63'
M
21
Jean Carlos
↓ 62'
10
Lucas Lima
🎯 26'
M
40
Kadu
↓ 71'
M
18
Cadu
↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
32
Murillo
G
9
Anselmo Ramon
F
88
Brayann
M
8
Juninho
↑ 82'
M
15
E. Garcia
F
55
Baldoria
↑ 63'
M
20
Diego Caito
↑ 62'
D
25
Luisao
↑ 71'
D
77
Halerrandrio
↑ 71'
29
Murilo Camara
D
Last matches: Nautico Recife
26.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
0
D
23.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
16.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
CRB
1
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Avai
0
2
L
05.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Juventude
0
0
D
20.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
3
4
L
14.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
2
2
D
09.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
0
2
L
22.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
6
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
4
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ceara
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
Last matches: Goias
26.07.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
0
1
L
22.07.26
Ser
Goias
Sport Recife
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Goias
CRB
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ceara
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Goias
Operario-PR
0
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
10.06.26
Ser
Goias
Novorizontino
0
4
L
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Goias
Avai
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Goias
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Goias
Vila Nova
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Goias
Cuiaba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
2
L
07.04.26
Ser
Goias
Criciuma
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
2
2
D
22.03.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
3
1
W
H2H: Nautico Recife vs Goias
28.06.26
H2H
Nautico Recife
Goias
0
1
L
06.10.21
H2H
Nautico Recife
Goias
3
2
W
10.07.21
H2H
Goias
Nautico Recife
0
1
W
07.10.17
H2H
Goias
Nautico Recife
2
0
L
20.06.17
H2H
Nautico Recife
Goias
2
3
L
08.11.16
H2H
Nautico Recife
Goias
1
0
W
16.07.16
H2H
Goias
Nautico Recife
4
2
L
27.10.13
H2H
Nautico Recife
Goias
0
2
L
08.08.13
H2H
Goias
Nautico Recife
2
1
L
Last matches: Nautico Recife
23.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
05.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Juventude
0
0
D
09.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
22.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
4
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
H2H at home: Nautico Recife
28.06.26
H2H
Nautico Recife
Goias
0
1
L
06.10.21
H2H
Nautico Recife
Goias
3
2
W
20.06.17
H2H
Nautico Recife
Goias
2
3
L
08.11.16
H2H
Nautico Recife
Goias
1
0
W
27.10.13
H2H
Nautico Recife
Goias
0
2
L
Last matches: Goias
26.07.26
Ser
Goias
America Mineiro
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ser
Goias
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Goias
CRB
2
2
D
14.06.26
Ser
Goias
Athletic Club
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Goias
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Goias
Avai
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Goias
Fortaleza EC
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Goias
São Bernardo
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Goias
Juventude
0
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Goias
Londrina
2
2
D
H2H away: Goias
28.06.26
H2H
Nautico Recife
Goias
0
1
W
06.10.21
H2H
Nautico Recife
Goias
3
2
L
20.06.17
H2H
Nautico Recife
Goias
2
3
W
08.11.16
H2H
Nautico Recife
Goias
1
0
L
27.10.13
H2H
Nautico Recife
Goias
0
2
W

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 11 7 2 23:12 11 40
D W W W W
2 20 10 5 5 22:12 10 35
W L W W D
3 21 10 5 6 29:28 1 35
L L W D W
4 20 10 4 6 23:19 4 34
W L W L W
5 20 10 4 6 27:24 3 34
L W L L W
6 20 9 6 5 32:19 13 33
W L L L W
7 20 8 7 5 23:20 3 31
W W D W L
8 21 8 6 7 31:24 7 30
W L L D D
9 20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
10
Goias Away
20 8 5 7 21:26 -5 29
L D W D W
11 20 6 11 3 25:19 6 29
D D D D L
12 20 6 10 4 19:18 1 28
D W D D L
13 20 7 4 9 24:24 0 25
D W L L D
14 21 6 7 8 22:25 -3 25
W W L D D
15 20 5 10 5 15:15 0 25
D L L D W
16 20 6 6 8 24:21 3 24
L W D D W
17 20 5 5 10 27:31 -4 20
L L D D W
18 20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 20 2 5 13 14:31 -17 11
W L D D L
20 21 2 3 16 15:41 -26 9
L D L L L
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