BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Aflitos
Referee: B. Vasconcelos
Nautico Recife
Match Timeline
America Mineiro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
26'
Vinicius · Assist: Wenderson
Nautico Recife
🟨
31'
Wenderson
Nautico Recife
🟨
31'
Otávio Gonçalves
America Mineiro
🟥
42'
Emerson Santos
America Mineiro
45'
Jhonny
Nautico Recife
🔄
46'
Thauan ↔ Artur
America Mineiro
🔄
46'
Yago Souza ↔ Ale
America Mineiro
🔄
46'
Jhonny ↔ Leo Alaba
America Mineiro
🔄
46'
Willian Bigode ↔ Jhonatan Lima
America Mineiro
52'
Dodo
Nautico Recife
🟨
67'
Rafael Barcelos
America Mineiro
🔄
68'
Samuel Felix ↔ Auremir
Nautico Recife
🔄
68'
Wenderson ↔ Halan
Nautico Recife
🔄
68'
Victor Andrade ↔ Felipe Saraiva
Nautico Recife
73'
Vinicius · Assist: Reginaldo
Nautico Recife
🔄
78'
Dodo ↔ Junior Todinho
Nautico Recife
🔄
79'
Derek ↔ Felipe Cardoso
Nautico Recife
🟨
87'
Jhonatan Junio Jesus de Lima
America Mineiro
🟨
90+3'
Yuri
Nautico Recife

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nautico Recife Win 66.9%
Draw 27%
America Mineiro Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nautico Recife1.11
America Mineiro0.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
WWDLW
5 GF / 7 GA
America Mineiro America Mineiro
WLDWL
4 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
0.57
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
2
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
4
2.71
Shots on Goal
4.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 7 matches
America Mineiro America Mineiro 7 matches
Nautico Recife Statistic America Mineiro
3 Wins 0
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 5
5 Goals For 4
7 Goals Against 12
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 0.57
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
2 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 3
2.71 Shots On Goal 4.71
13.43 Total Shots 14
5.57 Corners 7.29
57.6% Ball Possession 59.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nautico Recife expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and America Mineiro in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward America Mineiro having the stronger overall control. Nautico Recife arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 10 points compared to America Mineiro in 20 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. America Mineiro arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors America Mineiro.

Nautico Recife Analysis

Nautico Recife are currently 8 in the standings with 10 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 5:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Victor Andrade (2 goals), Vinícius (2 goals), Igor Fernandes (1 goals), with creative support from Yuri (2 assists), Dodo (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

America Mineiro Analysis

America Mineiro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 2 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats with a 4:12 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gonzalo Mastriani (3 goals), Emerson Santos (1 goals), with creative support from Willian Bigode (2 assists), Paulinho (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Nautico Recife won 3 times, America Mineiro won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:11 from Nautico Recife's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.44 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1 / America Mineiro 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Nautico Recife wins 3, draws 2, America Mineiro wins 4
Stats
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
America Mineiro America Mineiro
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 3
19 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 2
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Goal 0
10 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 3
11 Shots outsidebox 2
0 Goalkeeper Saves 3
423 Total passes 297
353 Passes accurate 223
1.24 expected_goals 0.17
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Nautico Recife
Formation
America Mineiro
Muriel Becker
Muriel Becker
Reginaldo
🎯
Reginaldo
Betao
Betao
Igor Fernandes
Igor Fernandes
Yuri
Yuri
Samuel Felix
Samuel Felix
Wenderson
🎯
Wenderson
Vinicius
⚽ 2
Vinicius
Dodo
Dodo
Victor Andrade
Victor Andrade
Derek
Derek
Gustavo
Gustavo
Jhonny
Jhonny
Nathan Pelae
Nathan Pelae
Emerson Santos
Emerson Santos
Rafa Barcelos
Rafa Barcelos
Felipe Amaral
Felipe Amaral
Thauan
Thauan
Yago Souza
Yago Souza
O. Goncalves
O. Goncalves
Paulinho
Paulinho
Willian Bigode
Willian Bigode
Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Muriel Becker
G
93
Reginaldo
🎯 73'
D
3
Betao
D
23
Igor Fernandes
D
6
Yuri
🟨 90+3'
D
41
Samuel Felix
↓ 68'
M
8
Wenderson
🎯 26' ↓ 68' 🟨 31'
M
7
Vinicius
⚽ 26' ⚽ 73'
M
10
Dodo
⚽ 52' ↓ 78'
M
11
Victor Andrade
↓ 68'
M
72
Derek
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
55
G. Guruceaga
G
5
Auremir
↑ 68'
M
34
Wanderson
D
46
Gustavo Henrique
30
Felipe Cardoso
↑ 79'
M
18
Halan
↑ 68'
M
2
Arnaldo
D
14
Matheus Ribeiro
D
29
Junior Todinho
↑ 78'
F
98
Felipe Saraiva
↑ 68'
F
40
Ramon
M
22
Vitinho
M
America Mineiro 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Gustavo
G
42
Jhonny
⚽ 45' ↓ 46'
D
3
Nathan Pelae
D
2
Emerson Santos
🟥 42'
D
4
Rafa Barcelos
🟨 67'
D
8
Felipe Amaral
M
11
Thauan
↓ 46'
10
Yago Souza
↓ 46'
M
55
O. Goncalves
🟨 31'
M
6
Paulinho
M
9
Willian Bigode
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
19
William
G
17
Gonzalo Mastriani
F
96
Artur
↑ 46'
D
16
Ale
↑ 46'
M
77
M. Segovia
F
23
Everton Brito
F
22
Leo Alaba
↑ 46'
D
88
Jhonatan Lima
↑ 46' 🟨 87'
F
67
Yarlen
F
5
F. Elizari
M
Last matches: Nautico Recife
23.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
16.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
CRB
1
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Avai
0
2
L
05.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Juventude
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Goias
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
3
4
L
14.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
2
2
D
09.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
0
2
L
22.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
6
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ceara
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
Last matches: America Mineiro
21.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Avai
1
2
L
17.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ceara
1
1
D
13.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Londrina
1
1
D
02.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
0
1
L
23.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Criciuma
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
3
0
W
08.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Juventude
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
CRB
1
2
L
24.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
3
L
H2H: Nautico Recife vs America Mineiro
10.05.26
H2H
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
4
0
W
12.01.21
H2H
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
0
0
D
09.10.20
H2H
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
2
0
L
12.08.17
H2H
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
1
0
L
13.05.17
H2H
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
0
0
D
12.09.15
H2H
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
2
1
L
05.06.15
H2H
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
2
1
W
07.10.14
H2H
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
1
4
L
31.05.14
H2H
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
1
3
W
Last matches: Nautico Recife
23.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
05.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Juventude
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Goias
0
1
L
09.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
22.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
0
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
H2H at home: Nautico Recife
10.05.26
H2H
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
4
0
W
12.01.21
H2H
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
0
0
D
13.05.17
H2H
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
0
0
D
05.06.15
H2H
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
2
1
W
07.10.14
H2H
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
1
4
L
Last matches: America Mineiro
21.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Avai
1
2
L
02.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
3
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Juventude
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
1
1
D
24.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
3
L
H2H away: America Mineiro
10.05.26
H2H
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
4
0
L
12.01.21
H2H
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
0
0
D
13.05.17
H2H
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
0
0
D
05.06.15
H2H
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
2
1
L
07.10.14
H2H
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
1
4
W

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 11 6 2 23:12 11 39
W W W W W
2 19 10 5 4 27:22 5 35
W D W W W
3 19 10 4 5 27:22 5 34
W L L W L
4 19 9 5 5 21:12 9 32
L W W D W
5 19 9 4 6 22:19 3 31
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 28:18 10 30
L L L W W
7 19 8 5 6 21:25 -4 29
D W D W W
8 19 7 7 5 20:19 1 28
W D W L W
9 19 6 10 3 24:18 6 28
D D D L L
10 19 7 6 6 25:19 6 27
L D D L L
11 19 6 9 4 18:17 1 27
W D D L W
12 19 7 5 7 29:32 -3 26
W W D L W
13 19 7 3 9 24:24 0 24
W L L D L
14 19 6 6 7 24:20 4 24
W D D W L
15 19 5 9 5 14:14 0 24
L L D W D
16 19 5 5 9 26:27 -1 20
L D D W D
17 19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
W D W L L
18 19 4 7 8 16:22 -6 19
L D D L L
19 19 2 2 15 14:38 -24 8
L L L L L
20 19 1 5 13 13:31 -18 8
L D D L L
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