Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
85.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nashville SC
32 matches
Columbus Crew
23 matches
| Nashville SC | Statistic | Columbus Crew |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wins | 6 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 5 | Losses | 11 |
| 56 | Goals For | 33 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 0.72 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.57 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.96 | Shots On Goal | 3.65 |
| 10.5 | Total Shots | 10.15 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 4.65 |
| 50.4% | Ball Possession | 51.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Nashville SC's more proactive style and Columbus Crew's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Nashville SC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 40 points compared to Columbus Crew in 11 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nashville SC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Columbus Crew in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Columbus Crew having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Columbus Crew. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Nashville SC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 40 points after 18 outings. They have recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a 35:14 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on H. Mukhtar (4 goals), Warren Madrigal (3 goals), S. Surridge (3 goals), with creative support from H. Mukhtar (4 assists), Cristian Espinoza (4 assists), A. Najar (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Columbus Crew are currently 11 in the standings with 20 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 27:31 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Diego Rossi (4 goals), Maximilian Arfsten (3 goals), Dániel Gazdag (3 goals), with creative support from Maximilian Arfsten (2 assists), Hugo Picard (2 assists), Mohamed Farsi (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Nashville SC won 6 times, Columbus Crew won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Nashville SC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
Home
|
22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 52 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
| 2 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 56:41 | 15 | 42 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 37 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 37 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 40:32 | 8 | 35 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 49:51 | -2 | 31 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 28 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 32:46 | -14 | 26 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 37:54 | -17 | 25 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 32:38 | -6 | 25 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 28:36 | -8 | 25 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 34:39 | -5 | 24 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 25:38 | -13 | 21 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 30:46 | -16 | 21 |
L
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 |
Columbus Crew
Away
|
22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
D
|