🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
23.08.2026 00:30
Geodis Park
Referee: V. Rivas
Nashville SC
Match Timeline
Columbus Crew
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
H. Mukhtar · Assist: D. Lovitz
Nashville SC
🟨
39'
Daniel Lovitz
Nashville SC
🟨
49'
Cesar Ruvalcaba
Columbus Crew
58'
M. Farsi · Assist: M. Amundsen
Columbus Crew
🔄
59'
M. Farsi ↔ B. Lennon
Columbus Crew
🔄
59'
C. Adams ↔ J. Martinez
Columbus Crew
🔄
62'
D. Lovitz ↔ R. Baker-Whiting
Nashville SC
🔄
62'
P. Yazbek ↔ E. Tagseth
Nashville SC
🔄
62'
A. Muyl ↔ E. Saad
Nashville SC
68'
A. Gomes
Columbus Crew
🔄
76'
A. Gomes ↔ D. Chambost
Columbus Crew
🔄
84'
B. Mendez ↔ D. Gazdag
Columbus Crew
🔄
84'
T. Habroune ↔ L. Giaccone
Columbus Crew
🔄
88'
M. Corcoran ↔ B. Acosta
Nashville SC
🔄
88'
C. Espinoza ↔ S. Mohammed
Nashville SC
90'
R. Baker-Whiting · Assist: H. Mukhtar
Nashville SC
90'
A. Najar · Assist: J. Palacios
Nashville SC

Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.5%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nashville SC Win 85.5%
Draw 4%
Columbus Crew Win 10.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nashville SC1.68
Columbus Crew1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nashville SC Nashville SC
WWDLW
56 GF / 23 GA
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
WLDWL
33 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.43
0.72
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
13
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
15
3.96
Shots on Goal
3.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nashville SC Nashville SC 32 matches
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 23 matches
Nashville SC Statistic Columbus Crew
19 Wins 6
8 Draws 6
5 Losses 11
56 Goals For 33
23 Goals Against 36
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
0.72 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
13 BTTS Yes 17
18 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 15
11 Over 3.5 8
15 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 4
3.96 Shots On Goal 3.65
10.5 Total Shots 10.15
4.5 Corners 4.65
50.4% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Nashville SC's more proactive style and Columbus Crew's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Nashville SC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 40 points compared to Columbus Crew in 11 on 20, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nashville SC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Columbus Crew in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Columbus Crew having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Columbus Crew. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Nashville SC Analysis

Nashville SC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 40 points after 18 outings. They have recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a 35:14 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on H. Mukhtar (4 goals), Warren Madrigal (3 goals), S. Surridge (3 goals), with creative support from H. Mukhtar (4 assists), Cristian Espinoza (4 assists), A. Najar (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Columbus Crew Analysis

Columbus Crew are currently 11 in the standings with 20 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 27:31 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Diego Rossi (4 goals), Maximilian Arfsten (3 goals), Dániel Gazdag (3 goals), with creative support from Maximilian Arfsten (2 assists), Hugo Picard (2 assists), Mohamed Farsi (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Nashville SC won 6 times, Columbus Crew won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Nashville SC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Nashville SC 4-2-3-1 / Columbus Crew 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Nashville SC 1, Columbus Crew 4
H2H summary: Nashville SC wins 6, draws 4, Columbus Crew wins 4

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 4 2 47:17 30 52
W W W W D
2 22 12 6 4 56:41 15 42
W L D L D
3 21 11 4 6 39:28 11 37
D D W W W
4 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W D W L L
5 22 10 5 7 40:32 8 35
W W D W L
6 22 8 7 7 49:51 -2 31
L D W D W
7 22 7 7 8 36:31 5 28
D D L L D
8 22 7 5 10 32:46 -14 26
L D L L W
9 22 7 4 11 37:54 -17 25
D W L D L
10 22 5 10 7 32:38 -6 25
D W D W D
11 22 5 10 7 28:36 -8 25
D L L D D
12 22 6 6 10 34:39 -5 24
W D D W W
13 22 6 3 13 25:38 -13 21
L W W W L
14 22 5 6 11 30:46 -16 21
L D W D D
15 22 5 5 12 31:39 -8 20
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)