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25.10.2026 02:00
Sky Stadium
Referee: S. Kelly
Wellington Phoenix
Match Timeline
Central Coast Mariners
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
22'
Corban Piper
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
46'
A. Bolton ↔ A. De Lima
Central Coast Mariners
⚽
55'
R. Duran · Assist: M. Sheridan
Wellington Phoenix
⚽
57'
C. Piper · Assist: K. Nagasawa
Wellington Phoenix
🟨
59'
Ali Auglah
Central Coast Mariners
🔄
61'
H. Eames ↔ J. Mantell
Central Coast Mariners
🔄
62'
T. Mckibbin ↔ S. Mutokoyi
Central Coast Mariners
🔄
62'
B. Brandtman ↔ L. Becvinovski
Central Coast Mariners
🔄
70'
R. Duran ↔ R. Bidois
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
72'
A. Auglah ↔ M. Naylor
Central Coast Mariners
🔄
84'
C. Piper ↔ L. Mitchell
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
84'
B. Duke ↔ N. Walker
Wellington Phoenix
🟨
90+2'
Shumba Mutokoyi
Central Coast Mariners

Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Wellington Phoenix Win 62.3%
Draw 7%
Central Coast Mariners Win 30.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wellington Phoenix2.3
Central Coast Mariners1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
W
2 GF / 1 GA
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners
D L L L
5 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.75
1
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
3
4
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 1 matches
Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 4 matches
Wellington Phoenix Statistic Central Coast Mariners
1 Wins 0
0 Draws 1
0 Losses 3
2 Goals For 5
1 Goals Against 11
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.75
1 BTTS Yes 3
1 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 5
9 Total Shots 14
6 Corners 2
38% Ball Possession 41%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Wellington Phoenix won 5 times, Central Coast Mariners won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:23 from Wellington Phoenix's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: Wellington Phoenix 4-4-2 / Central Coast Mariners 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Wellington Phoenix 3, Central Coast Mariners 1
H2H summary: Wellington Phoenix wins 5, draws 5, Central Coast Mariners wins 5

Standings

A-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 7:1 6 10
D W W W
2 4 2 1 1 7:4 3 7
W L W D
3 3 2 1 0 5:3 2 7
W D W
4 4 2 1 1 6:6 0 7
W W D L
5 4 2 0 2 8:5 3 6
W W L L
6 4 1 2 1 6:4 2 5
L D W D
7 4 1 2 1 4:4 0 5
L D D W
8 4 1 2 1 6:7 -1 5
D D L W
9 4 0 3 1 5:6 -1 3
D D D L
10 4 0 2 2 4:8 -4 2
L L D D
11 4 0 2 2 4:9 -5 2
L D L D
12 3 0 1 2 3:8 -5 1
D L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)