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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
22.08.2026 10:00
Toyota Stadium
Referee: Koki Nagamine, Japan
Nagoya Grampus
Match Timeline
Gamba Osaka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
Y. Kimura · Assist: R. Izumi
Nagoya Grampus
⚽
11'
R. Meshino · Assist: R. Yamashita
Gamba Osaka
🟨
40'
Takeru Kishimoto
Gamba Osaka
🟨
43'
Deniz Hümmet
Gamba Osaka
🔄
60'
T. Uchida ↔ Y. Nogami
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
63'
A. Uenaka ↔ E. Adams
Gamba Osaka
🔄
63'
R. Meshino ↔ G. Nawata
Gamba Osaka
🔄
67'
R. Izumi ↔ Mateus
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
78'
K. Nakayama ↔ Y. Sato
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
78'
T. Morishima ↔ M. Ono
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
78'
Y. Yamagishi ↔ Y. Asano
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
79'
D. Hummet ↔ N. Nakatsumi
Gamba Osaka
⚽
83'
Y. Asano
Nagoya Grampus
🟥
86'
Shuto Abe
Gamba Osaka
🔄
86'
R. Mito ↔ T. Usami
Gamba Osaka
⚽
90'
M. Ono · Assist: Y. Asano
Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Nagoya Grampus Win 37.2%
Draw 4.1%
Gamba Osaka Win 58.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nagoya Grampus1.1
Gamba Osaka2.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
L L
1 GF / 3 GA
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
D W
5 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
2
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
3.5
Shots on Goal
6.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2 matches
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2 matches
Nagoya Grampus Statistic Gamba Osaka
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 0
1 Goals For 5
3 Goals Against 4
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2
1 BTTS Yes 2
1 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
3.5 Shots On Goal 6.5
15.5 Total Shots 15.5
8.5 Corners 7
63% Ball Possession 64.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 6 times, Gamba Osaka won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:20 from Nagoya Grampus's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Nagoya Grampus 5-3-2 / Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nagoya Grampus wins 6, draws 2, Gamba Osaka wins 7

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 8 2 1 30:10 20 26
W W W L D
2 11 7 3 1 21:8 13 24
D W W W W
3 11 7 2 2 25:10 15 23
L W W W W
4 11 7 1 3 18:11 7 22
L W L W W
5 11 7 1 3 22:17 5 22
D L W W W
6 11 6 2 3 23:18 5 20
D W W D L
7 11 5 4 2 23:17 6 19
W W L D W
8 11 6 0 5 20:23 -3 18
W W L W L
9 11 4 5 2 15:11 4 17
D D D W D
10 11 5 1 5 14:15 -1 16
W L L L W
11 11 4 2 5 10:16 -6 14
L D W W W
12 11 4 1 6 13:17 -4 13
D W W L L
13 11 3 4 4 10:17 -7 13
D L D D L
14 11 3 3 5 15:18 -3 12
W L D D W
15 11 2 4 5 12:19 -7 10
W D L L L
16 11 2 3 6 12:16 -4 9
L L L L L
17 11 2 3 6 13:21 -8 9
D L L W L
18 11 2 1 8 12:18 -6 7
L L W L L
19 11 1 3 7 10:22 -12 6
L D D L D
20 11 0 5 6 6:20 -14 5
D L L L D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League