JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
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Toyota Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.7%
Odds 3.01
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.87
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.7%
3.01
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.87
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.5%
1.80
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Nagoya Grampus Win 37.2%
Draw 4.1%
Gamba Osaka Win 58.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nagoya Grampus1.1
Gamba Osaka2.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
WWDLW
1 GF / 3 GA
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
WLDWL
5 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
2
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
3.5
Shots on Goal
6.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2 matches
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2 matches
Nagoya Grampus Statistic Gamba Osaka
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 0
1 Goals For 5
3 Goals Against 4
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2
1 BTTS Yes 2
1 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
3.5 Shots On Goal 6.5
15.5 Total Shots 16
8.5 Corners 7
63% Ball Possession 64.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 5 times, Gamba Osaka won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:21 from Nagoya Grampus's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1 / Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nagoya Grampus wins 5, draws 3, Gamba Osaka wins 7
Last matches: Nagoya Grampus
15.08.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Kashima
1
2
L
08.08.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Nagoya Grampus
Consadole Sapporo
0
1
L
21.07.26
Fri
Nagoya Grampus
FC Tokyo
1
2
L
06.06.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
1
2
L
30.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
23.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
4
L
17.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
1
6
L
10.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
3
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
1
W
03.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
2
1
W
29.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
2
0
W
19.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
2
3
L
04.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
3
0
W
22.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
18.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
0
3
L
07.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
5
1
W
Last matches: Gamba Osaka
15.08.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
07.08.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Urawa
4
3
W
24.07.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Kanazawa
6
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Red Bull Salzburg
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Sparta Praha
0
3
L
06.06.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
4
2
W
30.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2
1
W
10.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
1
L
06.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
02.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
5
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
1
1
D
22.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
2
L
19.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
2
D
11.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
0
1
L
04.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
2
0
W
21.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
18.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
14.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
H2H: Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka
06.05.26
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
1
W
15.02.26
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
0
0
D
25.10.25
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
2
L
12.04.25
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
2
0
L
23.10.24
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
3
2
L
11.05.24
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
1
L
21.10.23
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
0
1
W
06.05.23
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
1
0
W
27.08.22
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
2
L
02.04.22
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
3
1
L
20.11.21
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
1
3
W
22.04.21
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
0
W
23.09.20
H2H
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
2
1
L
08.07.20
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
20.07.19
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
Last matches: Nagoya Grampus
08.08.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
0
1
L
30.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
10.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
3
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
1
W
29.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
1
1
D
19.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
04.04.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
3
0
W
18.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2
1
W
14.03.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Vissel Kobe
0
3
L
21.02.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
V-varen Nagasaki
1
3
L
08.02.26
J1
Nagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
1
0
W
H2H at home: Nagoya Grampus
06.05.26
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
1
W
25.10.25
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
2
L
11.05.24
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
1
L
06.05.23
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
1
0
W
27.08.22
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
2
L
22.04.21
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
0
W
08.07.20
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
20.07.19
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
Last matches: Gamba Osaka
15.08.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
24.07.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Kanazawa
6
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Red Bull Salzburg
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Gamba Osaka
Sparta Praha
0
3
L
06.06.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
4
2
W
24.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
2
1
W
06.05.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
29.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
1
1
D
25.04.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
1
1
D
21.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
2
D
18.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
14.03.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
22.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
W
07.02.26
J1
Gamba Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
0
0
D
H2H away: Gamba Osaka
06.05.26
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
1
L
25.10.25
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
2
W
11.05.24
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
1
W
06.05.23
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
1
0
L
27.08.22
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
0
2
W
22.04.21
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
0
L
08.07.20
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
20.07.19
H2H
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
2
2
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.01
Draw 3.54
Home 2.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.63
Draw 2.28
Home 2.92
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.0 1.41
Over 2.25 1.64
Over 2.5 1.87
Over 2.75 2.10
Over 3.0 2.50
Over 3.5 3.13
Over 4.5 5.91
Under 1.5 3.76
Under 2.0 2.92
Under 2.25 2.28
Under 2.5 1.97
Under 2.75 1.75
Under 3.0 1.54
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 4.5 1.13
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 3.40
Home 2.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.20
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.50
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 3.5 3.25
Over 4.5 6.00
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.01
Draw 3.53
Home 2.32
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.54
Draw 2.14
Home 2.82
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.22
Draw 2.49
Home 2.55
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.12
Over 1.5 1.23
Over 1.75 1.29
Over 2.0 1.38
Over 2.25 1.66
Over 2.5 1.88
Over 2.75 2.02
Over 3.0 2.41
Over 3.25 2.67
Over 3.5 2.99
Over 3.75 3.58
Over 4.0 4.95
Over 4.25 5.29
Over 4.5 5.65
Over 4.75 8.00
Over 5.0 9.30
Over 5.5 12.00
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 9.85
Under 0.75 8.60
Under 1.0 8.70
Under 1.25 4.80
Under 1.5 3.44
Under 1.75 3.16
Under 2.0 2.73
Under 2.25 2.26
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 2.75 1.68
Under 3.0 1.48
Under 3.25 1.37
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 3.75 1.21
Under 4.0 1.11
Under 4.25 1.09
Under 4.5 1.08
Under 4.75 1.04
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.90
Draw 3.30
Home 2.28
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.35
Draw 2.20
Home 2.80
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.55
Home 2.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.0 1.40
Over 2.25 1.62
Over 2.5 1.83
Over 3.0 2.43
Over 3.25 2.70
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 4.0 4.80
Over 4.25 5.10
Over 4.5 5.40
Under 1.5 3.45
Under 2.0 2.70
Under 2.25 2.14
Under 2.5 1.84
Under 3.0 1.47
Under 3.25 1.38
Under 3.5 1.32
Under 4.0 1.13
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.11

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 9:1 8 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 7:1 6 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 5:2 3 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 6:4 2 6
W W
5 2 1 1 0 5:4 1 4
D W
6 2 1 1 0 3:2 1 4
D W
7 2 1 0 1 3:1 2 3
W L
8 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
W L
9 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
L W
11 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
L W
12 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
L W
13 2 0 2 0 3:3 0 2
D D
14 2 0 1 1 3:4 -1 1
D L
15 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
D L
16 2 0 1 1 2:4 -2 1
L D
17 2 0 1 1 3:7 -4 1
D L
18 2 0 0 2 1:3 -2 0
L L
19 2 0 0 2 4:8 -4 0
L L
20 2 0 0 2 0:7 -7 0
L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League