JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
29.08.2026 10:00
Toyota Stadium
Referee: Hiroki Kasahara, Japan
Nagoya Grampus
Match Timeline
Fagiano Okayama
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
38'
Y. Suzuki · Assist: Lucao
Fagiano Okayama
VAR
40'
Ryuji Izumi
Nagoya Grampus
43'
S. Inagaki
Nagoya Grampus
🟨
60'
Sang-Ho Na
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
62'
Na Sang-Ho ↔ Leo Gaucho
Fagiano Okayama
🟨
66'
Yuya Asano
Nagoya Grampus
🟨
67'
Yuya Yamagishi
Nagoya Grampus
🟨
70'
Léo Gaúcho
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
70'
Y. Nogami ↔ Y. Sato
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
76'
A. Esaka ↔ Kamiya Yuta
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
76'
Lucao ↔ K. Kawano
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
83'
Y. Yamagishi ↔ H. Koda
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
83'
R. Izumi ↔ K. Nagai
Nagoya Grampus
🔄
83'
Y. Suzuki ↔ I. Shu
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
83'
T. Yamane ↔ N. Browne
Fagiano Okayama
🟨
86'
Eiji Miyamoto
Fagiano Okayama
90'
K. Nakayama
Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.4%
Odds 2.51
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 2.12
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.4%
2.51
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
2.12
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.18
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Nagoya Grampus Win 57.4%
Draw 6.3%
Fagiano Okayama Win 36.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nagoya Grampus1.07
Fagiano Okayama0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
WWDLW
4 GF / 4 GA
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
WLDWL
2 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
2
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
1
6.33
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3 matches
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 3 matches
Nagoya Grampus Statistic Fagiano Okayama
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 1
4 Goals For 2
4 Goals Against 2
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
2 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 1
2 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 1
6.33 Shots On Goal 3.67
17.33 Total Shots 18.67
7 Corners 6.33
59.3% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 5 times, Fagiano Okayama won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:4 from Nagoya Grampus's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
Predicted formations: Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1 / Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Nagoya Grampus wins 5, draws 3, Fagiano Okayama wins 0

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 19:6 13 17
D W W D W
2 7 5 1 1 11:5 6 16
W W W W L
3 7 5 0 2 13:10 3 15
W L L W W
4 7 4 2 1 19:6 13 14
W L W D D
5 7 4 2 1 13:8 5 14
W W D W W
6 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
W W W L D
7 7 3 3 1 13:9 4 12
W W L W D
8 7 4 0 3 14:13 1 12
L L L W W
9 7 3 2 2 11:9 2 11
D W D L W
10 7 3 1 3 6:11 -5 10
L D W L W
11 7 2 3 2 11:9 2 9
L D W D W
12 7 3 0 4 13:17 -4 9
L W W W L
13 7 2 1 4 4:7 -3 7
W L D L L
14 7 2 1 4 9:14 -5 7
W L D L L
15 7 1 3 3 8:13 -5 6
L L D D L
16 7 2 0 5 7:13 -6 6
L L L W W
17 7 1 2 4 9:14 -5 5
L L D W L
18 7 1 1 5 9:11 -2 4
L D L L L
19 7 0 4 3 3:9 -6 4
D D L L D
20 7 1 1 5 6:16 -10 4
D W L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League