JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE

29.08.2026 10:00

Nagoya Grampus

2 - 1

Fagiano Okayama

Toyota Stadium

Referee: Hiroki Kasahara, Japan

Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama H2H Stats

Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.

View today's football H2H stats

Nagoya Grampus

Match Timeline

Fagiano Okayama

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 57.4%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 71.2%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 70.3%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	57.4%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	71.2%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	70.3%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Nagoya Grampus Win 57.4%

Draw 6.3%

Fagiano Okayama Win 36.3%

Expected Goals (xG)

Nagoya Grampus1.07

Fagiano Okayama0.93

Recent Form (Last 5)

Nagoya Grampus

W L L

4 GF / 4 GA

Fagiano Okayama

D W L

2 GF / 2 GA

Key Stats

1.33

Average Goals Scored

0.67

1.33

Average Goals Conceded

0.67

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

6.33

Shots on Goal

3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nagoya Grampus 3 matches

Fagiano Okayama 3 matches

Nagoya Grampus	Statistic	Fagiano Okayama
1	Wins	1
0	Draws	1
2	Losses	1
4	Goals For	2
4	Goals Against	2
1.33	Avg Goals Scored	0.67
1.33	Avg Goals Conceded	0.67
2	BTTS Yes	1
2	Over 1.5	1
2	Over 2.5	1
1	Over 3.5	0
0	Clean Sheets	2
1	Failed To Score	1
6.33	Shots On Goal	3.67
17.33	Total Shots	18.67
7	Corners	6.33
59.3%	Ball Possession	50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 5 times, Fagiano Okayama won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:4 from Nagoya Grampus's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)

Predicted formations: Nagoya Grampus 3-4-2-1 / Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1

H2H summary: Nagoya Grampus wins 5, draws 3, Fagiano Okayama wins 0

Standings

J-League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Machida Zelvia	11	8	2	1	30:10	20	26	W W W L D
2	FC Tokyo	11	7	3	1	21:8	13	24	D W W W W
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	11	7	2	2	25:10	15	23	L W W W W
4	Vissel Kobe	11	7	1	3	18:11	7	22	L W L W W
5	Kashiwa Reysol	11	7	1	3	22:17	5	22	D L W W W
6	Kashima	11	6	2	3	23:18	5	20	D W W D L
7	Kawasaki Frontale	11	5	4	2	23:17	6	19	W W L D W
8	Urawa	11	6	0	5	20:23	-3	18	W W L W L
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	11	4	5	2	15:11	4	17	D D D W D
10	Fagiano Okayama Away	11	5	1	5	14:15	-1	16	W L L L W
11	Shimizu S-pulse	11	4	2	5	10:16	-6	14	L D W W W
12	Nagoya Grampus Home	11	4	1	6	13:17	-4	13	D W W L L
13	Cerezo Osaka	11	3	4	4	10:17	-7	13	D L D D L
14	V-varen Nagasaki	11	3	3	5	15:18	-3	12	W L D D W
15	Gamba Osaka	11	2	4	5	12:19	-7	10	W D L L L
16	Mito Hollyhock	11	2	3	6	12:16	-4	9	L L L L L
17	Kyoto Sanga	11	2	3	6	13:21	-8	9	D L L W L
18	Avispa Fukuoka	11	2	1	8	12:18	-6	7	L L W L L
19	JEF United Chiba	11	1	3	7	10:22	-12	6	L D D L D
20	Tokyo Verdy	11	0	5	6	6:20	-14	5	D L L L D

Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)

Relegation - J2 League