DENMARK 2. DIVISION
13.09.2026 11:00
Naestved
Match Timeline
Thisted FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
F. Christensen
Naestved
27'
J. Gertsen
Naestved
29'
S. Appiah · Assist: S. Appiah
Thisted FC
56'
S. Hollensted
Naestved
89'
V. Fjeldgaard
Thisted FC

Naestved vs Thisted FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.8%
Odds 1.60
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.69
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.8%
1.60
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.69
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Naestved Win 82.8%
Draw 8.6%
Thisted FC Win 8.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Naestved1.75
Thisted FC1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Naestved Naestved
WWDLW
28 GF / 25 GA
Thisted FC Thisted FC
WLDWL
16 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
2.27
13
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Naestved Naestved 20 matches
Thisted FC Thisted FC 15 matches
Naestved Statistic Thisted FC
6 Wins 4
11 Draws 2
3 Losses 9
28 Goals For 16
25 Goals Against 34
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 2.27
13 BTTS Yes 7
17 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Thisted FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Thisted FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Thisted FC having the stronger overall control. Naestved arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 9 points compared to Thisted FC in 12 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Naestved Analysis

Naestved come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 9 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 7:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Thisted FC Analysis

With 1 points from 5 games and a place of 12, Thisted FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 4:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Naestved won 5 times, Thisted FC won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:17 from Naestved's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.91 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.4%)
H2H summary: Naestved wins 5, draws 2, Thisted FC wins 4

Standings

2nd Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 2 0 23:9 14 20
W W W D W
2 8 4 3 1 13:5 8 15
D D L D W
3 8 3 5 0 15:9 6 14
W D W D D
4 8 3 4 1 15:8 7 13
D D D W L
5 8 3 4 1 11:9 2 13
D W D W L
6 8 3 2 3 11:11 0 11
W D D L W
7 8 2 5 1 11:11 0 11
D W D D D
8 8 2 3 3 12:13 -1 9
L D D D W
9 8 2 1 5 7:15 -8 7
L L W L L
10 8 1 2 5 9:17 -8 5
L D L D W
11 8 1 2 5 9:19 -10 5
L L D D L
12 8 1 1 6 8:18 -10 4
W L L D L
Promotion - 2nd Division (Promotion Group)
2nd Division (Relegation Group)