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PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Nacional
FT
4 - 0
Rio Ave
Estádio da Madeira
Referee: I. Vasilica
Nacional
Match Timeline
Rio Ave
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
34'
Gabriel Veron · Assist: Ze Vitor
Nacional
🔄
46'
F. Petrasso ↔ G. Liavas
Rio Ave
🔄
46'
B. Aguilera Zamora ↔ O. Pohlmann
Rio Ave
⚽
46'
J. Ramirez · Assist: A. Nunez
Nacional
🟨
52'
Léo Santos
Nacional
🔄
61'
J. Silva ↔ C. Labidi
Nacional
🔄
67'
D. Spikic ↔ Diogo Bezerra
Rio Ave
🔄
67'
Andre Luiz ↔ A. Papakanellos
Rio Ave
⚽
72'
Leo Santos · Assist: Jose Gomes
Nacional
🔄
77'
Paulinho Boia ↔ Witi
Nacional
🔄
77'
Gabriel Veron ↔ Daniel Junior
Nacional
🔄
77'
J. Tome ↔ O. Richards
Rio Ave
🟨
85'
Ze Vitor
Nacional
🔄
88'
Liziero ↔ A. Sousa
Nacional
🔄
88'
J. Ramirez ↔ L. Joao
Nacional
🟨
90+2'
José Gomes
Nacional
⚽
90'
Witi · Assist: Matheus Dias
Nacional

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Rio Ave Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional1.42
Rio Ave1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional Nacional
WWDLW
22 GF / 28 GA
Rio Ave Rio Ave
WLDWL
22 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.72
12
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
11
3.89
Shots on Goal
3.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nacional Nacional 18 matches
Rio Ave Rio Ave 18 matches
Nacional Statistic Rio Ave
4 Wins 4
5 Draws 8
9 Losses 6
22 Goals For 22
28 Goals Against 31
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.72
12 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 6
3.89 Shots On Goal 3.78
11.83 Total Shots 9.22
4 Corners 3.78
44.2% Ball Possession 45.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 3 times, Rio Ave won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Nacional's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Nacional 3-4-3 / Rio Ave 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Nacional wins 3, draws 5, Rio Ave wins 7
Stats
Nacional Nacional
Rio Ave Rio Ave
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 5
18 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 6
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 6
8 Shots off Goal 2
1 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 9
4 Shots outsidebox 2
6 Goalkeeper Saves 1
347 Total passes 401
277 Passes accurate 345
1.53 expected_goals 0.47
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Nacional
Formation
Rio Ave
Kaique Pereira
Kaique Pereira
Leo Santos
⚽
Leo Santos
Matheus Dias
🎯
Matheus Dias
Ze Vitor
🎯
Ze Vitor
A. Nunez
🎯
A. Nunez
J. Silva
↓
J. Silva
Liziero
↓
Liziero
Jose Gomes
🎯
Jose Gomes
Gabriel Veron
⚽ ↓
Gabriel Veron
J. Ramirez
⚽ ↓
J. Ramirez
Paulinho Boia
↓
Paulinho Boia
K. Chamorro
K. Chamorro
F. Petrasso
↓
F. Petrasso
J. Brabec
J. Brabec
N. Abbey
N. Abbey
J. Tome
↓
J. Tome
T. Nikitscher
T. Nikitscher
B. Aguilera Zamora
↓
B. Aguilera Zamora
M. Vrousai
M. Vrousai
Andre Luiz
↓
Andre Luiz
D. Spikic
↓
D. Spikic
Clayton
Clayton
Nacional 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
Kaique Pereira
G
34
Leo Santos
⚽ 72' 🟨 52'
D
6
Matheus Dias
🎯 90'
D
38
Ze Vitor
🎯 34' 🟨 85'
D
16
A. Nunez
🎯 46'
M
26
J. Silva
↓ 61'
M
28
Liziero
↓ 88'
M
5
Jose Gomes
🎯 72' 🟨 90+2'
M
27
Gabriel Veron
⚽ 34' ↓ 77'
F
9
J. Ramirez
⚽ 46' ↓ 88'
F
11
Paulinho Boia
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
50
K. V. Medeiros de Freitas
G
7
Witi
⚽ 90' ↑ 77'
F
8
M. Baeza
M
10
Daniel Junior
↑ 77'
M
15
C. Labidi
↑ 61'
M
18
A. Sousa
↑ 88'
M
19
L. Joao
↑ 88'
F
33
C. Goncalves
D
88
Deivison
M
Rio Ave 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
22
K. Chamorro
G
23
F. Petrasso
↓ 46'
D
32
J. Brabec
D
6
N. Abbey
D
20
J. Tome
↓ 77'
M
44
T. Nikitscher
M
10
B. Aguilera Zamora
↓ 46'
M
17
M. Vrousai
M
11
Andre Luiz
↓ 67'
F
18
D. Spikic
↓ 67'
F
9
Clayton
F
Substitutes
29
A. Pastor
G
4
J. Panzo
D
5
A. Ntoi
D
7
Diogo Bezerra
↑ 67'
19
A. Papakanellos
↑ 67'
M
54
G. Liavas
↑ 46'
M
63
J. Lomboto
D
77
O. Richards
↑ 77'
D
80
O. Pohlmann
↑ 46'
M
Last matches: Nacional
10.08.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
2
2
D
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
Last matches: Rio Ave
09.08.26
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Tondela
3
1
W
19.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2
2
D
15.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Portimonense
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Arouca
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
1
4
L
03.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Vitória SC
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
AVS
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
2
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estoril
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estrela
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Tondela
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Famalicao
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Moreirense
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
SC Braga
0
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Arouca
0
3
L
H2H: Nacional vs Rio Ave
25.01.26
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
4
0
W
17.08.25
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
1
D
10.05.25
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
3
3
D
29.12.24
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
2
1
L
31.07.24
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
1
D
10.04.22
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
2
0
W
28.11.21
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
0
L
19.05.21
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
2
L
05.02.21
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
0
0
D
17.03.19
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
0
1
L
05.11.18
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
3
3
D
29.04.17
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
0
2
L
18.12.16
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
2
1
L
13.03.16
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
0
W
01.11.15
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
0
L
Last matches: Nacional
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Vitória SC
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
11.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
3
3
D
15.12.25
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
3
1
W
29.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
1
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
04.10.25
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
3
2
W
20.09.25
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
1
2
L
23.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
4
L
09.08.25
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
0
2
L
H2H at home: Nacional
25.01.26
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
4
0
W
10.05.25
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
3
3
D
10.04.22
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
2
0
W
19.05.21
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
2
L
17.03.19
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
0
1
L
29.04.17
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
0
2
L
13.03.16
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
0
W
Last matches: Rio Ave
09.08.26
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
1
L
15.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Portimonense
3
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Vitória SC
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
2
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estoril
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Tondela
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
SC Braga
0
3
L
28.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
0
4
L
20.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
06.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
AVS
2
1
W
08.11.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Estrela
2
1
W
28.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Famalicao
0
0
D
23.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Benfica
1
1
D
13.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Moreirense
1
3
L
23.08.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Arouca
3
3
D
H2H away: Rio Ave
25.01.26
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
4
0
L
10.05.25
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
3
3
D
10.04.22
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
2
0
L
19.05.21
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
2
W
17.03.19
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
0
1
W
29.04.17
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
0
2
W
13.03.16
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
0
L