Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Benfica Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional1.13
Benfica1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional
WWDLW
5 GF / 8 GA
Benfica
WLDWL
4 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
3
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional
5 matches
Benfica
3 matches
| Nacional | Statistic | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 1 |
| 3 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 5 | Goals For | 4 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 0 times, Benfica won 14 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:50 from Nacional's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Nacional - / Benfica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nacional wins 0, draws 1, Benfica wins 14
Last matches: Nacional
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
2
L
Last matches: Benfica
23.07.26
UEF
Benfica
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
17.07.26
Fri
Benfica
Villarreal
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Benfica
Flamengo
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Benfica
Estoril
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Benfica
SC Braga
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pri
Benfica
Famalicao
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Moreirense
4
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Sporting CP
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Nacional
2
0
W
06.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Casa Pia
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Benfica
Guimaraes
3
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Benfica
Arouca
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pri
Benfica
FC Porto
2
2
D
02.03.26
Pri
Benfica
GIL Vicente
2
1
W
25.02.26
UEF
Benfica
Real Madrid
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Benfica
AVS
3
0
W
17.02.26
UEF
Benfica
Real Madrid
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pri
Benfica
Santa Clara
2
1
W
08.02.26
Pri
Benfica
Alverca
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
Benfica
Tondela
0
0
D
H2H: Nacional vs Benfica
12.04.26
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
2
0
L
29.11.25
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
2
L
08.03.25
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
3
0
L
19.12.24
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
11.05.21
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
3
L
25.01.21
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
1
1
D
10.02.19
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
10
0
L
02.09.18
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
0
4
L
05.02.17
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
3
0
L
27.08.16
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
3
L
15.05.16
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
4
1
L
11.01.16
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
4
L
04.04.15
H2H
Benfica
Nacional
3
1
L
09.11.14
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
2
L
17.03.14
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
2
4
L
Last matches: Nacional
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
25.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
4
0
W
11.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
3
3
D
15.12.25
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
3
1
W
29.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
1
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
04.10.25
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
3
2
W
20.09.25
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
1
2
L
23.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
4
L
09.08.25
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
0
2
L
H2H at home: Nacional
29.11.25
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
2
L
19.12.24
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
11.05.21
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
3
L
02.09.18
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
0
4
L
27.08.16
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
3
L
11.01.16
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
4
L
09.11.14
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
2
L
17.03.14
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
2
4
L
Last matches: Benfica
23.07.26
UEF
Benfica
FC ST. Gallen
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Benfica
Estoril
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Benfica
Famalicao
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Sporting CP
2
1
W
06.04.26
Pri
Benfica
Casa Pia
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Benfica
Arouca
2
1
W
02.03.26
Pri
Benfica
GIL Vicente
2
1
W
25.02.26
UEF
Benfica
Real Madrid
1
2
L
13.02.26
Pri
Benfica
Santa Clara
2
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
Benfica
Tondela
0
0
D
21.01.26
UEF
Benfica
Juventus
0
2
L
17.01.26
Pri
Benfica
Rio Ave
2
0
W
28.12.25
Pri
Benfica
SC Braga
2
2
D
14.12.25
Pri
Benfica
Moreirense
4
0
W
29.11.25
Pri
Benfica
Nacional
2
1
W
25.11.25
UEF
Benfica
Ajax
2
0
W
01.11.25
Pri
Benfica
Guimaraes
3
0
W
21.10.25
UEF
Benfica
Newcastle
0
3
L
05.10.25
Pri
Benfica
FC Porto
0
0
D
30.09.25
UEF
Benfica
Chelsea
0
1
L
H2H away: Benfica
29.11.25
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
2
W
19.12.24
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
W
11.05.21
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
3
W
02.09.18
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
0
4
W
27.08.16
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
3
W
11.01.16
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
4
W
09.11.14
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
1
2
W
17.03.14
H2H
Nacional
Benfica
2
4
W
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 |
Benfica
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 |
Nacional
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2