Nacional vs Benfica Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Benfica Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional1.03
Benfica2.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional
WWDLW
11 GF / 16 GA
Benfica
WLDWL
41 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
3.15
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
5
BTTS Yes
9
4
Over 2.5
11
2.8
Shots on Goal
6.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional
10 matches
Benfica
13 matches
| Nacional | Statistic | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 9 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 5 | Losses | 2 |
| 11 | Goals For | 41 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.15 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.92 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 2.8 | Shots On Goal | 6.5 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 8.4 |
| 3.6 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 48.6% | Ball Possession | 44.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 0 times, Benfica won 14 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:50 from Nacional's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Nacional 3-4-2-1 / Benfica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nacional wins 0, draws 1, Benfica wins 14
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 |
Benfica
Away
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 10 |
W
W
W
D
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 10 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9:8 | 1 | 6 |
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 |
Nacional
Home
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0:11 | -11 | 1 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2