BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Nacional AM
Match Timeline
GAS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
Vanilson
GAS
18'
Vanilson
GAS
64'
Anderson Alagoano
Nacional AM
77'
Kaio Wilker
Nacional AM
87'
Ryan Luka
Nacional AM

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 59.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
59.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
54.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Nacional AM Win 64.6%
Draw 0%
GAS Win 35.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional AM1.5
GAS0
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional AM Nacional AM
WWDLW
3 GF / 0 GA
GAS GAS
WLDWL
0 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
0
BTTS Yes
0
0
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nacional AM Nacional AM 2 matches
GAS GAS 2 matches
Nacional AM Statistic GAS
2 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 2
3 Goals For 0
0 Goals Against 3
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0
0 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
0 BTTS Yes 0
1 Over 1.5 1
0 Over 2.5 0
0 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Nacional AM's more proactive style and GAS's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward GAS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward GAS having the stronger overall control. Nacional AM arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 6 points compared to GAS in 5 on 0, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Nacional AM Analysis

Nacional AM arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 6 points after 2 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, while the 3:0 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Felipe Kauan (1 goals), Giva (1 goals), Ryan Luka (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

GAS Analysis

Placed 5 with 0 points from 2 outings, GAS continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, while the 0:3 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Nacional AM won 3 times, GAS won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:2 from Nacional AM's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Nacional AM wins 3, draws 0, GAS wins 0
Last matches: Nacional AM
18.07.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Iguatu
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
04.07.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Araguaína
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Araguaína
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Monte Roraima
3
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
GAS
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manauara
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Sao Raimundo
2
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Sao Raimundo
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manauara
2
4
L
12.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Monte Roraima
1
0
W
Last matches: GAS
14.06.26
Ser
GAS
Manaus FC
3
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
GAS
Sao Raimundo
0
4
L
23.05.26
Ser
GAS
Nacional AM
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
GAS
Monte Roraima
2
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
GAS
Manauara
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
GAS
Manauara
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
GAS
Monte Roraima
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
GAS
Sao Raimundo
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
GAS
Manaus FC
0
1
L
27.07.25
Ser
GAS
Águia de Marabá
1
1
D
19.07.25
Ser
GAS
Manauara
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
GAS
Trem
3
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
GAS
Independência
1
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
GAS
Humaitá
2
1
W
15.06.25
Ser
GAS
Manaus FC
2
1
W
07.06.25
Ser
GAS
Tuna Luso
0
0
D
01.06.25
Ser
GAS
Tuna Luso
0
3
L
24.05.25
Ser
GAS
Manaus FC
1
2
L
18.05.25
Ser
GAS
Humaitá
4
2
W
10.05.25
Ser
GAS
Independência
1
4
L
H2H: Nacional AM vs GAS
23.05.26
H2H
GAS
Nacional AM
0
1
W
19.04.26
H2H
Nacional AM
GAS
3
2
W
15.04.26
H2H
GAS
Nacional AM
0
3
W
Last matches: Nacional AM
18.07.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Iguatu
1
1
D
04.07.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Capital Brasilia
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Araguaína
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Monte Roraima
3
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manauara
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Sao Raimundo
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Nacional AM
Manaus FC
2
0
W
H2H at home: Nacional AM
19.04.26
H2H
Nacional AM
GAS
3
2
W
Last matches: GAS
30.05.26
Ser
GAS
Sao Raimundo
0
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
GAS
Manauara
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
GAS
Monte Roraima
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
GAS
Manaus FC
0
1
L
19.07.25
Ser
GAS
Manauara
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
GAS
Trem
3
1
W
15.06.25
Ser
GAS
Manaus FC
2
1
W
01.06.25
Ser
GAS
Tuna Luso
0
3
L
18.05.25
Ser
GAS
Humaitá
4
2
W
10.05.25
Ser
GAS
Independência
1
4
L
20.04.25
Ser
GAS
Águia de Marabá
0
1
L
H2H away: GAS
19.04.26
H2H
Nacional AM
GAS
3
2
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6
GAS Away
10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)