FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
12.09.2026 13:00
Mikkelin Urheilupuisto
MP
Match Timeline
SJK Akatemia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
43'
A. Traore
MP
44'
A. C. Achi · Assist: I. Berjali
SJK Akatemia
🔄
63'
T. Afshari ↔ A. Tervaniemi
MP
🔄
63'
S. Stenius ↔ N. Forsell
MP
🟨
68'
R. Kawale
MP
🔄
69'
O. Pihlaja ↔ A. Machaal
SJK Akatemia
🔄
79'
R. Kawale ↔ M. Al Sheikh
MP
🔄
82'
T. Kangaskokko ↔ P. Padera
SJK Akatemia
🔄
82'
E. Nzoko ↔ M. Cisse
SJK Akatemia
🟨
86'
N. Forsell
MP
🔄
87'
S. Seppanen ↔ E. Ylonen
MP
90'
M. Al Sheikh · Assist: S. Obioha
MP
🔄
90+1'
I. Berjali ↔ D. Bulgakov
SJK Akatemia

MP vs SJK Akatemia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.3%
Odds 1.80
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.61
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.3%
1.80
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.61
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.15
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.88
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
MP Win 63.3%
Draw 6.9%
SJK Akatemia Win 29.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
MP1.43
SJK Akatemia0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
MP MP
WWDLW
35 GF / 42 GA
SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia
WLDWL
14 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
0.61
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
14
BTTS Yes
8
13
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

MP MP 28 matches
SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 23 matches
MP Statistic SJK Akatemia
10 Wins 2
4 Draws 6
14 Losses 15
35 Goals For 14
42 Goals Against 39
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 0.61
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
14 BTTS Yes 8
20 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 4
9 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring SJK Akatemia. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward SJK Akatemia having the stronger overall control.

MP Analysis

MP approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 21 points from 21 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 22:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

SJK Akatemia Analysis

SJK Akatemia sit 10 with 12 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 11:33, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, MP won 2 times, SJK Akatemia won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:24 from MP's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
H2H summary: MP wins 2, draws 5, SJK Akatemia wins 8

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 41:21 20 54
W W W W W
2 23 14 6 3 41:15 26 48
W D W W D
3 23 12 5 6 43:26 17 41
D L L W W
4 22 10 7 5 29:19 10 37
L W W L L
5 23 10 2 11 21:34 -13 32
L W D L L
6 23 8 4 11 28:35 -7 28
D D L L W
7
MP Home
22 7 3 12 24:33 -9 24
W L L L L
8 22 4 8 10 27:31 -4 20
D W W D L
9 23 4 6 13 24:41 -17 18
L D D L L
10 22 2 6 14 13:36 -23 12
L L L W L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen